and yet another death poll

[sys]

this one is much harder.

[mocat]

deaths have been doubling every 5-6 days pretty consistently, and you placed the o/u date to *less than* double 8 days away. what am i missing? are you just anticipating stay at home orders to finally have an effect on the death numbers?

[Justwin]

deaths have been doubling every 5-6 days pretty consistently, and you placed the o/u date to *less than* double 8 days away. what am i missing? are you just anticipating stay at home orders to have an effect the death numbers?

The growth rate of deaths has been slowing pretty consistently the last two weeks.  The growth rate is what determines the doubling time.

[sys]

deaths have been doubling every 5-6 days pretty consistently, and you placed the o/u date to *less than* double 8 days away. what am i missing? are you just anticipating stay at home orders to finally have an effect on the death numbers?

yeah, i expect growth to level off or at least slow a lot.  but that's why i said this one was hard.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Mark me down for "as little death as possible"....  I don't want people to die.

[mocat]

low voter turnout so far in this poll, but i'm happy with my value pick

[sys]

low voter turnout so far in this poll, but i'm happy with my value pick

yeah, if i could revote, i'd probably join you.

[sys]

for the purposes of both this poll and the 30k poll, the 3778 deaths purported to be retroactively added to the total will not count.

[DQ12]

for the purposes of both this poll and the 30k poll, the 3778 deaths purported to be retroactively added to the total will not count.

[Spracne]

for the purposes of both this poll and the 30k poll, the 3778 deaths purported to be retroactively added to the total will not count.

This poll is bullshit.

[sys]

we can't let the polls be destroyed by the nyt's filthy agenda, spracne.

[sys]

results will now be determined by when the worldometers count goes over 43778.  it's not ideal, but i'd have to go look up the probable deaths from a separate data source and subtract out the probable deaths after 4-16 to do better and that's too much work.  so we'll subtract out the already reported 3778 probables but not any new probables added in going forward.

[waks]

My pick isn't looking as good as I would have hoped. 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

How did you end up scoring this?  The "current total" crested 40k yesterday, but I think that includes the extra 4k they randomly added in, correct?

Maybe our next poll should be "Will more people die from starvation, suicide, depression, etc, than from complications of COVID-19"?

This is just nuts and almost unfathomable in the USA.   

https://twitter.com/TruthRaiderHQ/status/1252174495831425025

[8manpick]

How did you end up scoring this?  The "current total" crested 40k yesterday, but I think that includes the extra 4k they randomly added in, correct?

results will now be determined by when the worldometers count goes over 43778.  it's not ideal, but i'd have to go look up the probable deaths from a separate data source and subtract out the probable deaths after 4-16 to do better and that's too much work.  so we'll subtract out the already reported 3778 probables but not any new probables added in going forward.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

How did you end up scoring this?  The "current total" crested 40k yesterday, but I think that includes the extra 4k they randomly added in, correct?

results will now be determined by when the worldometers count goes over 43778.  it's not ideal, but i'd have to go look up the probable deaths from a separate data source and subtract out the probable deaths after 4-16 to do better and that's too much work.  so we'll subtract out the already reported 3778 probables but not any new probables added in going forward.

 

[cfbandyman]

You might as well award it for tomorrow. And given what FL and GA are doing, as well as a lot of these protests, I think 100k is pretty much a lock for June 1st (unless we find a miracle cure in the next 45 days)

[sys]

You might as well award it for tomorrow.

i have to admit, i'm pretty satisfied with myself on this one.  a lot of luck was involved, but it wasn't easy to pick a day.

[star seed 7]

These polls have been amazingly accurate, great job Dr sys

[cfbandyman]

And confirmed

[sys]