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Author Topic: 2020 General Election Thread  (Read 132474 times)

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Online sys

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #950 on: October 03, 2020, 08:03:00 PM »
Quote from: memphis on October 03, 2020, 07:47:57 PM
POLITICO: Biden flip-flops on door-knocking with just 33 days left.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/01/biden-flip-flops-on-door-knocking-with-33-days-left-424642

really dumb.  kinda pisses me off, actually.
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Offline MakeItRain

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #951 on: October 03, 2020, 11:55:34 PM »
Quote from: sys on October 03, 2020, 08:03:00 PM
Quote from: memphis on October 03, 2020, 07:47:57 PM
POLITICO: Biden flip-flops on door-knocking with just 33 days left.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/01/biden-flip-flops-on-door-knocking-with-33-days-left-424642

really dumb.  kinda pisses me off, actually.

The fantastic things about doors is that you only have to open then when you want to.
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Offline chum1

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #952 on: October 04, 2020, 08:19:07 AM »
Safe to say the poll average moved after the debate.

https://twitter.com/JoshNBCNews/status/1312739616731074560
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Online sys

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #953 on: October 04, 2020, 06:44:02 PM »
this is now day 5, so starting to breathe a little easier.  could easily still show up in the next couple days, though.

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1312897794395398144
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Online sys

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #954 on: October 04, 2020, 09:28:31 PM »
praying we don't lose any presidential candidates until after election day.

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsCo/status/1312931178995879939
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Offline MakeItRain

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #955 on: October 05, 2020, 01:37:06 AM »
Quote from: sys on October 04, 2020, 09:28:31 PM
praying we don't lose any presidential candidates until after election day.

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsCo/status/1312931178995879939

Predictable
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Online Trim

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #956 on: October 05, 2020, 10:33:47 PM »
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Offline IPA4Me

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #957 on: October 06, 2020, 07:29:54 AM »
Quote from: MakeItRain on October 03, 2020, 11:55:34 PM
Quote from: sys on October 03, 2020, 08:03:00 PM
Quote from: memphis on October 03, 2020, 07:47:57 PM
POLITICO: Biden flip-flops on door-knocking with just 33 days left.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/01/biden-flip-flops-on-door-knocking-with-33-days-left-424642

really dumb.  kinda pisses me off, actually.

The fantastic things about doors is that you only have to open then when you want to.
Fiance opened the door to a MAGA supporter. "Get off my porch before I shoot you." Door promptly closed.  :shakesfist:
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Offline IPA4Me

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #958 on: October 06, 2020, 07:30:19 AM »
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Offline cfbandyman

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #959 on: October 06, 2020, 09:19:08 AM »
I might live in a bubble, but that is pretty crazy that 1) Between the last 32 combined polls for Michigan-Minnesota-Wisky-Penn exactly 1 goes for trump (Michigan +1 for trump) and the same group did another poll a week later an gave the lead back to Biden (+2)

2) That NM is not even really considered competitive

But, I guess, that guy can do what he wants. I think FWIW it's going to be obnoxiously close this election, and laughable to think it'll be like 2016 

I also don't put much stock in Biden winning NC or Florida or Ohio or Zona, but I wouldn't be surprised if he gets one of those.

Where I was getting those polls

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
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Offline steve dave

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #960 on: October 06, 2020, 09:35:02 AM »
If Biden wins Florida there is zero path to victory for Trump. That’s game over. Agree that’s a long shot.


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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #961 on: October 06, 2020, 09:40:17 AM »
I think Biden gets 2 of NC, Florida, Ohio, and Arizona. Maybe 3. I'd be surprised with 1 or fewer.
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Offline steve dave

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #962 on: October 06, 2020, 09:51:53 AM »
If Trump wins all "toss up" states and and all "lean Biden" states (538 definitions) he'd still lose. 
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Offline chum1

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #963 on: October 06, 2020, 09:56:55 AM »
Florida
Biden +3.6 in 538 poll average, +2.3 in RCP, and hasn't trailed in either since April.

Arizona
Biden +4.4 in 538 poll average, +3.4 in RCP, and hasn't trailed in either since March.

North Carolina
Biden +2.0 in 538 poll average, +1.2 in RCP, trailed some in RCP in May and August.
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #964 on: October 06, 2020, 09:58:45 AM »
Yeah, he's favored in all of them, but the margins are small enough that he probably ends up with 2 or 3.
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Offline cfbandyman

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #965 on: October 06, 2020, 10:12:38 AM »
Quote from: Rage Against the McKee on October 06, 2020, 09:58:45 AM
Yeah, he's favored in all of them, but the margins are small enough that he probably ends up with 2 or 3.

That, and I see them reverting back to "norms" I guess. If it still looks like that in 3 weeks, then yeah, would agree
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Offline Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #966 on: October 06, 2020, 10:21:29 AM »
Quote from: chum1 on October 06, 2020, 09:56:55 AM
Florida
Biden +3.6 in 538 poll average, +2.3 in RCP, and hasn't trailed in either since April.

Arizona
Biden +4.4 in 538 poll average, +3.4 in RCP, and hasn't trailed in either since March.

North Carolina
Biden +2.0 in 538 poll average, +1.2 in RCP, trailed some in RCP in May and August.

How many people answer these polls that will be voting Trump but then when it comes down to it, their opinion of him will just keep them away totally kind of like happened to Hilldog in 16?
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #967 on: October 06, 2020, 10:25:45 AM »
Quote from: Phil Titola on October 06, 2020, 10:21:29 AM
Quote from: chum1 on October 06, 2020, 09:56:55 AM
Florida
Biden +3.6 in 538 poll average, +2.3 in RCP, and hasn't trailed in either since April.

Arizona
Biden +4.4 in 538 poll average, +3.4 in RCP, and hasn't trailed in either since March.

North Carolina
Biden +2.0 in 538 poll average, +1.2 in RCP, trailed some in RCP in May and August.

How many people answer these polls that will be voting Trump but then when it comes down to it, their opinion of him will just keep them away totally kind of like happened to Hilldog in 16?

Not many. I can't imagine being willing to voice to someone that you are going to vote for Trump but be unwilling to do so anonymously.
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Offline Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #968 on: October 06, 2020, 10:36:45 AM »
Quote from: Rage Against the McKee on October 06, 2020, 10:25:45 AM
Quote from: Phil Titola on October 06, 2020, 10:21:29 AM
Quote from: chum1 on October 06, 2020, 09:56:55 AM
Florida
Biden +3.6 in 538 poll average, +2.3 in RCP, and hasn't trailed in either since April.

Arizona
Biden +4.4 in 538 poll average, +3.4 in RCP, and hasn't trailed in either since March.

North Carolina
Biden +2.0 in 538 poll average, +1.2 in RCP, trailed some in RCP in May and August.

How many people answer these polls that will be voting Trump but then when it comes down to it, their opinion of him will just keep them away totally kind of like happened to Hilldog in 16?

Not many. I can't imagine being willing to voice to someone that you are going to vote for Trump but be unwilling to do so anonymously.

I can definitely see it.  It for sure happened in 16.
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Offline chum1

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #969 on: October 06, 2020, 10:48:25 AM »
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Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #970 on: October 06, 2020, 11:17:13 AM »
I'm just happy that we'll have a POTUS like Joe "another lid" Biden.

We'll get a solid 4 to 5 hours a day out of Joe for the 6 months he'll be in office (give or take 1 or 2 months).

The few press conferences will be a two-fold treat.   The first being the absolutely leading softball "questions" he'll be asked, and the 2nd will be watching/listening to Joe read canned responses off a monitor on the podium.

The lack of gotcha's, and anally dissecting every decision, thought and movement will be absolutely palpable as well.   Likely a welcome multi-month vacation for the "media" and notably the end of racism on the entire planet as well.

A small respite may be had if Pubs hold the Senate and continue their ongoing and necessary investigation into the Biden's and the Chinese (and Russians/Ukrainians)








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Online LickNeckey

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #971 on: October 06, 2020, 11:34:53 AM »
Quote from: sonofdaxjones on October 06, 2020, 11:17:13 AM
I'm just happy that we'll have a POTUS like Joe "another lid" Biden.

We'll get a solid 4 to 5 hours a day out of Joe for the 6 months he'll be in office (give or take 1 or 2 months).

The few press conferences will be a two-fold treat.   The first being the absolutely leading softball "questions" he'll be asked, and the 2nd will be watching/listening to Joe read canned responses off a monitor on the podium.

The lack of gotcha's, and anally dissecting every decision, thought and movement will be absolutely palpable as well.   Likely a welcome multi-month vacation for the "media" and notably the end of racism on the entire planet as well.

A small respite may be had if Pubs hold the Senate and continue their ongoing and necessary investigation into the Biden's and the Chinese (and Russians/Ukrainians)











 :love: :love: :love: :love:

they investigated Benghazi for four years
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Offline IPA4Me

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #972 on: October 06, 2020, 01:07:28 PM »
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Offline steve dave

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #973 on: October 06, 2020, 01:09:30 PM »
lmao


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Online Pete

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #974 on: October 06, 2020, 01:17:00 PM »
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