New cases is a really dumb thing to look at imo. As we test more people (which we are, finally), the rate of new cases is going to continue to rise even if the rate of growth stays the same.
Much harder to hide a covid death from the data than a covid case.
i will ask again. what do deaths have to do with transmission?
X number of people die from the virus. If you can get your arms around X, and you know how many people are dying, you could extrapolate a solid estimate or people that have/had it.
Also, deaths are kind of the point. We're not shutting crap down to prevent people from getting a cough/fever, we're shutting it down to prevent people from dying. Stated differently, who gives a eff about the virus if it's hardly killing anyone?
Prior to the last three days, every wednesday had more people die than the last wednesday; every thursday more than the last thursday; every friday more than the last friday. Three days in a row there have been fewer. Maybe you're right and there's nothing to be drawn from that, and we should instead stare at the number of new positive tests (despite testing over 50% more people than we did last Friday).
