CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread

[Phil Titola]

https://twitter.com/pbump/status/1308393663509213184

“What has evolved now is that almost people take sides, like wearing a mask is or not is a political statement, and that’s really very unfortunate. Totally unfortunate because this is a purely public health issue. It should not be one against the other,” Fauci told Noah.

https://thehill.com/homenews/news/517513-fauci-divisive-nature-in-us-hampering-coronavirus-response

[sonofdaxjones]

The same Fauci that told us for nearly a month not to wear masks and that wearing masks can actually help spread the virus because people will be touching their face. 

[star seed 7]

I'd definitely be in for a Trump team glossy one pager.

Imagine having even the bare minimum of national leadership for this thing. Would take.

[sonofdaxjones]

Imagine supporting a party whose leaders tell their constituency to ignore the President and to go out and gather in large groups and party in the midst of a National Health Emergency.    Then turning around and locking down everyone in their homes at the worst possible time after telling them to go party.

Then having the movements chief media supporters write a litany of articles that start something like this, "You'll have a better chance of dying from _______ then you will from Covid" or "Don't let Trump use Covid to consolidate power" or similar.

[Phil Titola]

"I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot 200,000 somebodys, and I wouldn't lose any voters, OK?" Trump remarked at a campaign stop at Dordt College in Sioux Center, Iowa. "It's, like, incredible."

[Phil Titola]

Looks like August 29th is the first week where deaths didn't materially exceed the predicted death count for the US 

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm#:~:text=Excess%20deaths%20are%20typically%20defined,in%20which%20the%20death%20occurred.

[Kat Kid]

I just saw someone say we could potentially get to 400,000 deaths by end of year.  That seems insane.

[catastrophe]

Seems high, but maybe it depends a little on how they count people who also get the flu.

[Rage Against the McKee]

I just saw someone say we could potentially get to 400,000 deaths by end of year.  That seems insane.

I think that if there is anything to vitamin D lowering the mortality rate, it's not insane at all that we would have a lot of deaths this fall and winter.

[Phil Titola]

400k+ deaths by end of the year is from the IMHE model that doesn't have the best track record

https://covid19-projections.com/about/#historical-performance

[star seed 7]

My mom told me (at least relative to the hospitals she works with) that they aren't necessarily worried about increased covid cases in the winter, but they are very worried about hospital resources with covid during the winter due to the seasonal increase in other illnesses. Mask wearing should help that out though.

[michigancat]

My mom told me (at least relative to the hospitals she works with) that they aren't necessarily worried about increased covid cases in the winter, but they are very worried about hospital resources with covid during the winter due to the seasonal increase in other illnesses. Mask wearing should help that out though.

it also doesn't get super cold out here and most offices and churches and indoor dining is closed which should help.

[Dugout DickStone]

time for stone to get his tanning bed game fired up

[DQ12]

time for stone to get his tanning bed game fired up

as if it's ever not

[michigancat]

Bay Area is almost all purple to red!



https://covid19.ca.gov/safer-economy/

[sonofdaxjones]

U.S. hospitalizations down 52% in last 60 days 

Testing levels up 23% in the last 7 days.   As our good friends in the German CDC pointed out, increases in cases are likely attributable to the increase in the volume of testing.

Positive rate lowest level in 3 months.



 

[Dugout DickStone]

U.S. hospitalizations down 52% in last 60 days 

Testing levels up 23% in the last 7 days.   As our good friends in the German CDC pointed out, increases in cases are likely attributable to the increase in the volume of testing.

Positive rate lowest level in 3 months.

I'm going to hug dax

[Cire]

Sweet


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[IPA4Me]

Four weeks to burnout.

[Dugout DickStone]

Four weeks to burnout.

amaze

[Phil Titola]

Four weeks to burnout.

Let's not go sucking each other off quite yet.  Even CDC says to not trust the newest weeks.

[IPA4Me]

That's the cdc excess deaths graph and is accurate through 8.29.

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[Phil Titola]

That's the cdc excess deaths graph and is accurate through 8.29.

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Yeah I know, I posted the link earlier as good news.  It also says "Note: Data in recent weeks is incomplete"

[IPA4Me]

That's the cdc excess deaths graph and is accurate through 8.29.

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Yeah I know, I posted the link earlier as good news.  It also says "Note: Data in recent weeks is incomplete"

10 day lag. Give or take. Won't see much movement from there.

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[michigancat]

Four weeks to burnout.

wonder what regional/state humps look like