Author Topic: Kobach running for Senate  (Read 3356 times)

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Offline Kat Kid

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Kobach running for Senate
« on: July 08, 2019, 06:25:26 AM »


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Offline bucket

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2019, 10:04:11 AM »

Offline Kat Kid

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Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #2 on: July 08, 2019, 12:22:22 PM »
Just fantastic stuff. You absolutely love to see it.
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Offline steve dave

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #3 on: July 08, 2019, 08:23:31 PM »
?s=21


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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #4 on: July 08, 2019, 08:40:49 PM »
 :pray:
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Offline steve dave

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #5 on: July 09, 2019, 07:35:21 AM »
He for sure knows his base

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Offline steve dave

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #6 on: July 09, 2019, 07:51:42 AM »



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Offline IPA4Me

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #7 on: July 09, 2019, 07:52:24 AM »
Holy crap. I thought for sure that was 'shopped. Nope.


Offline ChiCat

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #8 on: July 09, 2019, 08:05:30 AM »
On a number of boards, the KS Senate seat just moved from solid R to likely R

Offline Kat Kid

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #9 on: July 09, 2019, 08:36:15 AM »
Kobach and Roy Moore could legit swing the Senate. Incredible.
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Offline sys

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #10 on: July 09, 2019, 11:32:11 AM »
if he wins the nomination, he'll win the seat.
we understand it better now that the american century is over and some of us sound more and more like serbs.

Offline steve dave

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #11 on: July 09, 2019, 11:33:53 AM »
if he wins the nomination, he'll win the seat.

For sure. Not 100% certain a lot of you have been to KS.


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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #12 on: July 09, 2019, 11:58:55 AM »
Just like the governor's race
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Offline sys

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #13 on: July 09, 2019, 12:05:28 PM »
Just like the governor's race

people vote cross party for governors much more often than for senators.  also, this is a presidential election year.  how many trump/dem senator instead of kobach voters do you think there are in kansas?
we understand it better now that the american century is over and some of us sound more and more like serbs.

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #14 on: July 09, 2019, 12:06:48 PM »
Kkkris being the nominee is win-win for KS libderps. He's easily the most vulnerable candidate, and also if he wins the general he'll have zero difference in voting record from any other pub, but also do further brand damage while in power (which most KS pubs wouldn't do)
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Offline Kat Kid

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #15 on: July 09, 2019, 12:26:27 PM »
Just like the governor's race

people vote cross party for governors much more often than for senators.  also, this is a presidential election year.  how many trump/dem senator instead of kobach voters do you think there are in kansas?

This is true, but he's also very likely going to run ~8-10 points behind Moran even in a Presidential year.  Maybe Beto can establish Kansas residency?
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #16 on: July 09, 2019, 01:20:31 PM »
Just like the governor's race

people vote cross party for governors much more often than for senators.  also, this is a presidential election year.  how many trump/dem senator instead of kobach voters do you think there are in kansas?

This is true, but he's also very likely going to run ~8-10 points behind Moran even in a Presidential year.  Maybe Beto can establish Kansas residency?

I'm not sure what Moran has to do with anything. Isn't he running for the seat being vacated by Roberts?

Offline sys

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #17 on: July 09, 2019, 01:45:27 PM »
he's also very likely going to run ~8-10 points behind Moran even in a Presidential year.  Maybe Beto can establish Kansas residency?

seems optimistic.


i'd like to see more carpetbagger politicians.  i think it would probably work out better than people seem to assume.
we understand it better now that the american century is over and some of us sound more and more like serbs.

Offline sys

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #18 on: July 09, 2019, 01:46:13 PM »
if he wins the general he'll have zero difference in voting record from any other pub, but also do further brand damage while in power.

that's a good point.
we understand it better now that the american century is over and some of us sound more and more like serbs.

Offline Kat Kid

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #19 on: July 09, 2019, 02:39:14 PM »
Just like the governor's race

people vote cross party for governors much more often than for senators.  also, this is a presidential election year.  how many trump/dem senator instead of kobach voters do you think there are in kansas?

This is true, but he's also very likely going to run ~8-10 points behind Moran even in a Presidential year.  Maybe Beto can establish Kansas residency?

I'm not sure what Moran has to do with anything. Isn't he running for the seat being vacated by Roberts?

Yes, he's running for the Senate seat vacated by Roberts.  My point is Moran won with 62% in a Presidential election year (8 points ahead of Trump!) and there is no possible way Kobach does that.  I think Pompeo would be a very safe pick and there are probably other very safe picks out there.  Kobach is likely going to absolutely max out at low 50's assuming no credible 3rd party and a bad Dem.
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Offline Kat Kid

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #20 on: July 10, 2019, 07:21:11 PM »
https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump/

Trump is only +2 approval in Kansas. It is still unlikely but if Kobach is the nominee it will be competitive if he runs worse than Trump again at that number he could easily lose.
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Offline sys

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #21 on: July 10, 2019, 07:25:19 PM »
approval isn't the same as voting intention.  show me a poll that puts trump within 10 of a generic dem candidate in ks and i'll consider if kobach matters.
we understand it better now that the american century is over and some of us sound more and more like serbs.

Offline Chingon

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #22 on: July 10, 2019, 08:02:43 PM »
if he wins the general he'll have zero difference in voting record from any other pub, but also do further brand damage while in power.

that's a good point.
What brand damage lol?

Offline Kat Kid

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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #23 on: July 10, 2019, 08:05:22 PM »
approval isn't the same as voting intention.  show me a poll that puts trump within 10 of a generic dem candidate in ks and i'll consider if kobach matters.

Of course not, but we also have the last election to go on.
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Re: Kobach running for Senate
« Reply #24 on: July 17, 2019, 08:57:39 AM »
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite