I will admit that my perception of this may be colored by living in an very red area in Kansas.
it's pretty depressing in salina, feel like it's 20:1 yes:no yard signs
A friend of mine visited her dad in lindsborg and said she was pleasantly surprised with the no support. She convinced him to put out a no sign and he's one of those crazy republicans with a literal armory bunker with hundreds of guns.
Another, granted anecdotal point that makes me thing this will be very close.
I also know it's just my circle of friends on facebook, but I have a pretty significant group of Catholics in it, and again when Roe was overturned only a handful of people were happy, and none were women, and most did not say
anything about it. In fact the only woman I know was happy is a fairly over religious lutheran.
Also had some friends report in on the day of election in lenexa, they said it was a lengthy wait to vote, which tells me turnout is going to be bananas, which given that 99k joco have already voted, may also push it over the edge.