j rake, please do an analysis of Bret Bielema as a head coach candidate.
perfect example of a solid coach who probably won't get a serious look by a good BCS program anytime soon because he "failed" at Arkansas.
he took over a program that was #65 the year before he arrived.
here was his five years:
#77 first year
#10 second year
#15 third year
#46 fourth year
#74 fifth yearso in his 2nd and 3rd years, he had top-15 level teams. i can't imagine many people even realized how good his arkansas teams were those two years because they were so fixated on his record - which was 7-6 and 8-5.
but when you're coaching in the SEC West, you're gonna lose some games.
here's the level of opponent he played his second year:
at Auburn (#11)
at Texas Tech (#79)
vs NIU (#72)
vs Texas A&M (#22)
vs Alabama (#3)
vs Georgia (#5)
vs UAB (#84)
at Miss St (#9)
vs LSU (#14)
vs Ole Miss (#8)
at Mizzou (#15)
vs Texas (#53)
so he played #3, #5, #8, #9, #11, #14, #15, #22.
he lost to bama by one point, lost to A&M in OT, lost by 7 to then-#1 miss st, beat LSU and Ole Miss (both top-10 at the time), etc.
road games at Texas Tech and a bowl game vs Texas were his breathers.
needless to say, i don't know what happened those last two years. i assume the negative energy engulfed the program, he lost games he'd lose no matter what to alabama, lsu or whoever, and then things snowballed.
i actually think it'd be a great hire.