Conference wins

[CHONGS]

2013: 14
2014: 10
2015:  8
2016:  ?

kenpom is "projecting" 6, what say you?  8 conference wins you take the over or the under?

[AppleJack]

Way under. 5 or 6.

[Trim]

Under, but with the caveat that the schedule-makers certainly didn't do us any favors this year.

[Skipper44]

2013: 14
2014: 10
2015:  8
2016:  ?

kenpom is "projecting" 6, what say you?  8 conference wins you take the over or the under?

6 just looks the the right number there

[star seed 7]

Under, but with the caveat that the schedule-makers certainly didn't do us any favors this year.

 

[sys]

i trust kenpom on this one, it has paid more attention to kstate bball than any of us have.

[chum1]

6 wins would be one of the worst Big 12 conference winning percentages in history. This team doesn't seem nearly inept enough to be categorized with those teams. Of course, that doesn't mean they can't pull it off!

[kso_FAN]

i trust kenpom on this one, it has paid more attention to kstate bball than any of us have.

OSU and TCU are worse than us. We probably can win 3 of those 4.

Tech and Texas are about the same. Likely a split.

We've already lost to ISU and WVU at home and probably won't beat either on the road.

Maybe we can beat Baylor at home and maybe one win between KU/OU at home.

We'll also probably win at least one more road win we don't expect when we have an unusual good shooting night from 3 because that will happen at some point.

I can still see 7 or 8 wins.

[sys]

I can still see 7 or 8 wins.

kenpom can see that too.  it just thinks 6 is more likely.  am i imagining things or did kp formerly give probabilities for the range of expected wins?  not just the most likely outcome as it does now.

[SleepFighter]

I can still see 7 or 8 wins.

kenpom can see that too.  it just thinks 6 is more likely.  am i imagining things or did kp formerly give probabilities for the range of expected wins?  not just the most likely outcome as it does now.

At some point during the season, he would post a chart of number of confy wins vs probability. I don't remember at which point during the season that went live though.

[renocat]

At some.point we will move from fighting in a hole.of.our own making, and hole up the holes of the other team's and eviscerate them.

[CHONGS]

I could have mocatted my math up tho

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

Fwiw,

We have 6 losses.
4 to teams ranked in the top 10
1 to #19 isu
1 @ ut by 3 pts

The two home losses to wvu and isu are the most disappointing.  But I didn't think we'd be more than an average p5 team, and I think we're probably a little better than that.  It's a tough year in the big 12 to be a little above average.

I'll reserve judgment until year end.

[michigancat]

The schedule-makers didn't do us any favors.

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

Some people just can't handle the truth.

[sys]

I could have mocatted my math up tho

what data say 7 wins?

[CHONGS]

I could have mocatted my math up tho

what data say 7 wins?

kenpom win% for the remaining conference games

[CHONGS]

Oh I see my mistake now, this also includes the weird ole miss game too.  So... six conference wins then...I will correct tomorrow.

[mocat]

It's 7 bc you take previous year, divide in half, add 3

[Dr Rick Daris]

fsd is right in that the home losses to wvu and isu are the most damning. in my wildest of wild dreams i cannot fathom a way that this team can win 8 conference games.

we are 1-4 and about to be 1-5. 8 wins means that you think there is a possibility that they can close out the season 7-3. that means that you think we can win one against ku or either of the isu/wvu road games when we already lost to them at home and then win every single other game.

[Mixed-Nutz]

fsd is right in that the home losses to wvu and isu are the most damning. in my wildest of wild dreams i cannot fathom a way that this team can win 8 conference games.

we are 1-4 and about to be 1-5. 8 wins means that you think there is a possibility that they can close out the season 7-3. that means that you think we can win one against ku or either of the isu/wvu road games when we already lost to them at home and then win every single other game.

I thinking losing @Texas might edge out losing to WVU at home.

[sys]

7-5, modaris. 

[Dr Rick Daris]

fsd is right in that the home losses to wvu and isu are the most damning. in my wildest of wild dreams i cannot fathom a way that this team can win 8 conference games.

we are 1-4 and about to be 1-5. 8 wins means that you think there is a possibility that they can close out the season 7-3. that means that you think we can win one against ku or either of the isu/wvu road games when we already lost to them at home and then win every single other game.

I thinking losing @Texas might edge out losing to WVU at home.

historically speaking, you've always thought a bunch of stupid crap so yeah.

[CHONGS]

Oh I see my mistake now, this also includes the weird ole miss game too.  So... six conference wins then...I will correct tomorrow.

corrected:

[pissclams]

does that 6 include factoring in the team folding up shop after losing 5 straight-
@ #6 wvu
ole miss
@ #3 kansas
#1 ou
#13 baylor