Author Topic: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015) (Read 1570 times)

CHONGS · « **on:** November 25, 2015, 02:10:44 PM »

rank	name	score	adj off	adj def	luck
1	Iowa	92.7	0.54	-0.27	24.2
2	Alabama	91.5	0.42	-1.44	2.9
3	Clemson	91	1.27	-1.02	-3.2
4	Ohio St.	90.4	0.31	-1.07	1.6
5	Oklahoma	90.3	0.79	-1.01	2.2
6	Michigan	90.2	0.73	-0.77	2.5
7	Baylor	90.1	1.74	-0.59	4.8
8	Notre Dame	87.9	0.99	-0.51	10.1
9	Florida	86.9	0.09	-0.85	6.1
10	Oklahoma St.	86.8	0.59	-0.64	10.7
11	North Carolina	86.6	0.71	-0.46	7.5
12	Stanford	81.5	1.31	-0.36	-6
13	Michigan St.	80.4	0.66	-0.66	-2.6
14	Florida St.	79.9	0.5	-0.57	0.4
15	Washington St.	76.2	0.47	-0.31	-3
16	Mississippi St.	74.5	0.7	-0.75	0.7
17	Wisconsin	74.2	-0.1	-0.73	-4.8
18	UCLA	73.8	0.45	-0.53	-3.7
19	Mississippi	73.3	0.96	-0.35	-3.1
20	Utah	72.6	0.03	-0.73	0.5
21	Georgia	72.1	0.19	-0.72	-7
22	Penn St.	70.9	-0.11	-0.73	-1.2
23	Oregon	70.8	0.93	-0.11	13.2
24	Louisiana St.	69.9	0.76	-0.43	-7.7
25	TCU	69.4	0.46	-0.19	2.2

rank	name	score	adj off	adj def	luck
5	Oklahoma	90.3	0.79	-1.01	2.2
7	Baylor	90.1	1.74	-0.59	4.8
10	Oklahoma St.	86.8	0.59	-0.64	10.7
25	TCU	69.4	0.46	-0.19	2.2
31	West Virginia	64.1	0.38	-0.76	-2.2
38	Texas Tech	53.4	1.01	0.63	4.4
50	Texas	38.1	-0.64	-0.09	6.2
53	Iowa St.	36.4	-0.22	-0.2	2.6
56	Kansas St.	29.9	-0.15	0	0.9
66	Kansas	1.9	-1.38	0.97	1.6

Even with the win, the Cats fell a bit more in the CHiPPER

#7 in offense efficiency
#8 in defensive efficiency

CHONGS · « **Reply #1 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:12:34 PM »

Predicto for the Cats - Hawks Sunflower Showdown!!!

Cats - 31
Hawks - 12

That 20pt spread looks like it's on the money (HA!).

mocat · « **Reply #2 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:19:56 PM »

Iowa?

CHONGS · « **Reply #3 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:24:03 PM »

ChIPPS

Automatic bid:
Winner of each P5 conference
Hightest ranked midmajor
Two wildcards (two highest ranked P5 teams remaining, with the caveat that a conference can have at most two representatives in the playoffs)

1. Iowa
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. Ohio St.

6. Baylor
3. Clemson

7. Navy
2. Alabama

mocat · « **Reply #4 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:24:44 PM »

1   Alabama   97.5
2   Clemson   96.6
3   Ohio State   95.7
4   Oklahoma   94.7
5   North Carolina   94.1
6   Baylor   93.9
7   Iowa   93.0
8   Navy   92.4
9   Florida   91.7
10   Notre Dame   91.6
11   Florida State   91.3
12   Michigan   91.0
13   Mississippi   90.4
14   Toledo   89.4
15   Appalachian State   89.3
16   Houston   89.2
17   Oklahoma State   89.2
18   Stanford   88.0
19   TCU   87.8
20   Michigan State   87.8
21   Marshall   87.6
22   Mississippi State   87.3
23   Western Kentucky   87.3
24   Wisconsin   86.8
25   Georgia   86.8

4   Oklahoma   94.7
6   Baylor   93.9
17   Oklahoma State   89.2
19   TCU   87.8
51   West Virginia   80.1
58   Texas Tech   78.1
82   Texas   72.9
88   Kansas State   71.2
94   Iowa State   68.4
127   Kansas   53.8

Kansas State 44
Kansas 22

Texas Tech 39
Texas 33

Baylor 40
TCU 35

Iowa State 24
West Virginia 37

Oklahoma 36
Oklahoma State 31

mocat · « **Reply #5 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:26:01 PM »

Quote from: Chingon on November 25, 2015, 02:24:03 PM

ChIPPS

Automatic bid:
Winner of each P5 conference
Hightest ranked midmajor
Two wildcards (two highest ranked P5 teams remaining, with the caveat that a conference can have at most two representatives in the playoffs)

1. Iowa
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. Ohio St.

6. Baylor
3. Clemson

7. Navy
2. Alabama

i like it!

CHONGS · « **Reply #6 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:28:38 PM »

Quote from: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:19:56 PM

Iowa?

They have earned it so far, but its very close between 1-11 honestly. But If they played Alabama tomorrow CHiPPER thinks they would lose by a touchdown.

mocat · « **Reply #7 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:36:35 PM »

ChIPPS using SAGARAG

1. Alabama
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. North Carolina

6. Baylor
3. Ohio State

7. Navy
2. Clemson

wetwillie · « **Reply #8 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:42:49 PM »

can you guys simulate the score of a KSU vs WVU game if it happened this weekend?

CHONGS · « **Reply #9 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:43:11 PM »

I mean if you look at the adj off and def, you can see Iowa is primed to lose a game, but they just haven't yet.

CHONGS · « **Reply #10 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:43:41 PM »

Quote from: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:36:35 PM

ChIPPS using SAGARAG

1. Alabama
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. North Carolina

6. Baylor
3. Ohio State

7. Navy
2. Clemson

How is OSU winning the Big Ten?

CHONGS · « **Reply #11 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:45:26 PM »

Quote from: wetwillie on November 25, 2015, 02:42:49 PM

can you guys simulate the score of a KSU vs WVU game if it happened this weekend?

WVU - 34
Cats - 14

but I dunno man....

wetwillie · « **Reply #12 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:47:21 PM »

that makes me very sad

mocat · « **Reply #13 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:47:33 PM »

Quote from: Chingon on November 25, 2015, 02:43:11 PM

I mean if you look at the adj off and def, you can see Iowa is primed to lose a game, but they just haven't yet.

yeah, do you calculate "luck" like kenpom?

sagarag luck:

1. UTEP 0.133
2. Michigan State 0.123
3. Washington State 0.116
4. Rice 0.107
5. Iowa 0.100
.
.
.
124. Mississippi -0.116
125. Washington -0.142
126. Maryland -0.163
127. Georgia Tech -0.169
128. Boston College -0.223

mocat · « **Reply #14 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:50:28 PM »

Quote from: Chingon on November 25, 2015, 02:43:41 PM

Quote from: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:36:35 PM
ChIPPS using SAGARAG

1. Alabama
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. North Carolina

6. Baylor
3. Ohio State

7. Navy
2. Clemson
How is OSU winning the Big Ten?

hmm i just took my highest rated big 10 team. if msu loses at home to penn state, tosu has a chance

mocat · « **Reply #15 on:** November 25, 2015, 02:51:29 PM »

Quote from: Chingon on November 25, 2015, 02:45:26 PM

Quote from: wetwillie on November 25, 2015, 02:42:49 PM
can you guys simulate the score of a KSU vs WVU game if it happened this weekend?
WVU - 34
Cats - 14

but I dunno man....

West Virginia 35
Kansas State 27

CHONGS · « **Reply #16 on:** November 25, 2015, 03:03:37 PM »

oh I found a slight mistake in my computations... (yes while looking at luck). I am going to modify the above rankings... stay tuned!

CHONGS · « **Reply #17 on:** November 25, 2015, 03:12:22 PM »

Sooooo. Iowa has a "luck" of 24% which means they have an actual win% about 24% higher than should be expected with their efficiency numbers. As it turns out, they are in fact the "luckiest" P5 team. Washington seems to be the "unluckiest" at -23%

mocat · « **Reply #18 on:** November 25, 2015, 04:10:23 PM »

Quote from: Chingon on November 25, 2015, 03:12:22 PM

Sooooo. Iowa has a "luck" of 24% which means they have an actual win% about 24% higher than should be expected with their efficiency numbers. As it turns out, they are in fact the "luckiest" P5 team. Washington seems to be the "unluckiest" at -23%

that's pretty close to what i got! where does Mich St rank in your luck ranking?

The Big Train · « **Reply #19 on:** November 25, 2015, 04:32:16 PM »

Quote from: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:26:01 PM

Quote from: Chingon on November 25, 2015, 02:24:03 PM
ChIPPS

Automatic bid:
Winner of each P5 conference
Hightest ranked midmajor
Two wildcards (two highest ranked P5 teams remaining, with the caveat that a conference can have at most two representatives in the playoffs)

1. Iowa
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. Ohio St.

6. Baylor
3. Clemson

7. Navy
2. Alabama

i like it!

It's not nice to lie mocat

CHONGS · « **Reply #20 on:** November 25, 2015, 04:55:29 PM »

Quote from: mocat on November 25, 2015, 04:10:23 PM

Quote from: Chingon on November 25, 2015, 03:12:22 PM
Sooooo. Iowa has a "luck" of 24% which means they have an actual win% about 24% higher than should be expected with their efficiency numbers. As it turns out, they are in fact the "luckiest" P5 team. Washington seems to be the "unluckiest" at -23%

that's pretty close to what i got! where does Mich St rank in your luck ranking?

-2.6%

Author Topic: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015) (Read 1570 times)

The Big Train