I'm heavy on the favorites for week 1
TCU -15
Utah -5.5
Baylor -34.5
Notre Dame - 9.5
Bama -10.5
Louisville +11
BYU +7
What makes you like Baylor here?
Their non home games last year...
63-21 at Buffalo
49-28 at Iowa State
28-7 at Texas
Lost 27-41 at West Virginia
48-14 at Oklahoma
48-46 neutral against Texas Tech
Lost 42-41 neutral against Michigan State
I'm seeing Baylor -36. They could roll 42-6 and still not cover. I don't know much about the matchup, but this smells a lot like knee-jerk reactions pushing a line from 21 all the way to 36. I like going against the trends, because Vegas didn't get rich by missing lines by 15 points, but if something tangible happened to move the line that much, I'd rethink things.