Author Topic: Tornado Season 2024 (Read 127330 times)

CNS · « **Reply #175 on:** May 17, 2011, 03:10:02 PM »

Accuweather.com is now charging for a premium service, which you need if you want to see the % chance of precip for the forecast.

Bullshit.

WillieWatanabe · « **Reply #176 on:** May 17, 2011, 03:16:24 PM »

re: Accuweather

Last year, Jeremy Goodwin mentioned how Accuweather was delaying information coming from NOAA to the stations. I wasn't sure what he meant and he wouldn't expand on it. thought it was interesting.

CNS · « **Reply #177 on:** May 17, 2011, 03:32:19 PM »

Quote from: WillieWatanabe on May 17, 2011, 03:16:24 PM

re: Accuweather

Last year, Jeremy Goodwin mentioned how Accuweather was delaying information coming from NOAA to the stations. I wasn't sure what he meant and he wouldn't expand on it. thought it was interesting.

I have used it for a few years. Always seems more accurate than Stormy's Weather.com

pissclams · « **Reply #178 on:** May 17, 2011, 03:33:20 PM »

guys i've got my chaser cam all mounted and ready to go for today and tonight's action. i'm literally foaming at the mouth thinking about these massive thunderbusters that are coming our way!!

my models are showing some pretty interesting stuff and the low front should set up nicely for a cold/warm blanket, mix that in with the barometric pressure and we could be in for a long night gentlemen!!

i'll be sure and update my models throughout the day and let everyone here know what part of the storm i'm going to be chasin' so that if anyone wants to hop into the fan and chase with me they can - if i'm in your neck of the woods.

i've got my fingers crossed that these models don't lie because it could be one interesting night! i'll check back later- good chasin' to everyone, over and out and BE SAFE OUT THERE, TORNADOS DON'T LIE!!

WillieWatanabe · « **Reply #179 on:** May 17, 2011, 03:35:48 PM »

Quote from: CNS Casey on May 17, 2011, 03:32:19 PM

Quote from: WillieWatanabe on May 17, 2011, 03:16:24 PM
re: Accuweather

Last year, Jeremy Goodwin mentioned how Accuweather was delaying information coming from NOAA to the stations. I wasn't sure what he meant and he wouldn't expand on it. thought it was interesting.

I have used it for a few years. Always seems more accurate than Stormy's Weather.com

I visit their site frequent as well. Just didn't know how Accuweather could impact local tv stations through NOAA.

pike · « **Reply #180 on:** May 17, 2011, 07:24:47 PM »

Quote from: pissclams on May 17, 2011, 03:33:20 PM

guys i've got my chaser cam all mounted and ready to go for today and tonight's action. i'm literally foaming at the mouth thinking about these massive thunderbusters that are coming our way!!

my models are showing some pretty interesting stuff and the low front should set up nicely for a cold/warm blanket, mix that in with the barometric pressure and we could be in for a long night gentlemen!!

i'll be sure and update my models throughout the day and let everyone here know what part of the storm i'm going to be chasin' so that if anyone wants to hop into the fan and chase with me they can - if i'm in your neck of the woods.

i've got my fingers crossed that these models don't lie because it could be one interesting night! i'll check back later- good chasin' to everyone, over and out and BE SAFE OUT THERE, TORNADOS DON'T LIE!!

There's a whole BBS of this at stormtrack.org

the ELITE of the elite post there as far as meteorology goes

bigwillie20 · « **Reply #181 on:** May 18, 2011, 08:30:19 AM »

Will be

around north central KS tomorrow afternoon, hopefully this doesn't turn into a dud like last week

WillieWatanabe · « **Reply #182 on:** May 18, 2011, 08:43:16 AM »

looking promising.

pissclams · « **Reply #183 on:** May 18, 2011, 10:50:05 AM »

ya let's hope for tons of storm damage and stuff. sounds like a blast (for idiot losers).

bigwillie20 · « **Reply #184 on:** May 18, 2011, 11:05:10 AM »

Quote from: pissclams on May 18, 2011, 10:50:05 AM

ya let's hope for tons of storm damage and stuff. sounds like a blast (for idiot losers).

Tornados rolling across massive fields of nothingness.....

Gooch · « **Reply #185 on:** May 18, 2011, 08:08:19 PM »

Stormnut and his lolly gagging almost killed Emawgeddon today

WillieWatanabe · « **Reply #186 on:** May 18, 2011, 08:25:19 PM »

Stormnut

"storm"nut · « **Reply #187 on:** May 18, 2011, 08:31:50 PM »

Quote from: Gooch on May 18, 2011, 08:08:19 PM

Stormnut and his lolly gagging almost killed Emawgeddon today

More to come

bigwillie20 · « **Reply #188 on:** May 19, 2011, 09:31:21 AM »

Quote

SPC AC 191237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

VALID 191300Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WEST CENTRAL TX INTO
KS/NEB...

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...
THE WESTERN UPPER LOW CENTER WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD DURING THIS
FORECAST PERIOD...WHILE A 70-80 KNOT MID LEVEL JET MAX ROTATES
AROUND THE LOW AND INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. AMPLE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS ALREADY IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND WILL
ONLY INCREASE TODAY AS CONTINUED SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS TRANSPORT
MID 60S DEWPOINTS INTO SOUTHERN KS. A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE DRYLINE
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME ESTABLISHED BY MID AFTERNOON FROM
SOUTH-CENTRAL KS INTO WESTERN OK...AND WILL BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE
MID AFTERNOON OVER NORTHWEST OK AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KS ALONG THE
DRYLINE. TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID
60S WILL YIELD MLCAPE VALUES OF 2500-3000 J/KG AND VERY LITTLE CINH.
A FEW DISCRETE SUPERCELLS APPEAR LIKELY WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES POSSIBLE. ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
INTO CENTRAL KS DURING THE EVENING WITH A CONTINUED RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS. STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS DURING THE EARLY
EVENING COULD RESULT IN A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO IN THIS AREA.
OVERNIGHT...STRONG STORMS PRODUCING HAIL MAY SPREAD AS FAR NORTH AS
SOUTHERN NEB. THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WILL BE THE WEAK LARGE SCALE FORCING...WHICH
MAY LIMIT THE NUMBER OF INTENSE STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER SOUTHWEST OK INTO NORTHWEST TX IS MORE CONDITIONAL.
HOWEVER...SEVERAL MODELS DO SHOW AT LEAST ISOLATED STORMS ALONG THIS
CORRIDOR. STORMS THAT CAN FORM SHOULD BE RESTRICTED TO THE NARROW
AXIS IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE DRYLINE...AND SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS
THEY MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOURCE OF CONVERGENCE AND INTO A MORE CAPPED
ENVIRONMENT.

LATE TONIGHT...A STRONGER UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT INTO TX.
THIS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
OVER WEST CENTRAL TX...MAINLY AFTER 06Z. LARGE HAIL APPEARS LIKELY
WITH THESE STORMS SO HAVE EXTENDED THE SLIGHT RISK SOUTHWARD.

...MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE UPPER OH VALLEY IS FORECAST TO MOVE
EASTWARD AND INTO PA/NY BY FRIDAY MORNING. SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW
DAYS...SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS PRESENT ACROSS THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND FOR SOME RISK OF
ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW MAY ALSO RESULT IN HAIL IN THE
STRONGEST CORES. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL THREAT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS RATHER MINIMAL SO WILL MAINTAIN ONLY 5%
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

..HART/STOPPKOTTE.. 05/19/2011

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1431Z (9:31AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

bigwillie20 · « **Reply #189 on:** May 19, 2011, 01:48:31 PM »

Quote

WOUS64 KWNS 191840
   WOU9

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 309
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   145 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

   TORNADO WATCH 309 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR THE
   FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   KSC007-009-015-017-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-047-051-053-057-
   063-065-077-079-083-089-095-097-101-105-113-115-123-127-135-137-
   141-143-145-147-151-155-157-159-163-165-167-169-173-179-183-185-
   191-195-200200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0309.110519T1845Z-110520T0200Z/

   KS
   . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BARBER BARTON BUTLER
   CHASE CLARK CLAY
   CLOUD COMANCHE COWLEY
   DECATUR DICKINSON EDWARDS
   ELLIS ELLSWORTH FORD
   GOVE GRAHAM HARPER
   HARVEY HODGEMAN JEWELL
   KINGMAN KIOWA LANE
   LINCOLN MARION MCPHERSON
   MITCHELL MORRIS NESS
   NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA
   PAWNEE PHILLIPS PRATT
   RENO REPUBLIC RICE
   ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL
   SALINE SEDGWICK SHERIDAN
   SMITH STAFFORD SUMNER
   TREGO


   ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GID...GLD...TOP...

wetwillie · « **Reply #190 on:** May 19, 2011, 05:07:58 PM »

stormy what are my chances of surviving tonight?

OK_Cat · « **Reply #191 on:** May 20, 2011, 10:28:54 AM »

Quote from: wetwillie on May 19, 2011, 05:07:58 PM

stormy what are my chances of surviving tonight?

what the f does it matter, tomorrow is the end of the world anyway.

WillieWatanabe · « **Reply #192 on:** May 21, 2011, 06:55:37 PM »

pike · « **Reply #193 on:** May 21, 2011, 07:18:20 PM »

No reports, yet

pike · « **Reply #194 on:** May 21, 2011, 10:29:14 PM »

pike · « **Reply #195 on:** May 21, 2011, 10:35:31 PM »

steve dave · « **Reply #196 on:** May 21, 2011, 10:36:08 PM »

<--during every tornado

WillieWatanabe · « **Reply #197 on:** May 21, 2011, 10:37:09 PM »

apparently Reading took it up the ass tonite.

PowercatPat · « **Reply #198 on:** May 21, 2011, 11:27:42 PM »

My tornado sirens went off.

steve dave · « **Reply #199 on:** May 21, 2011, 11:28:15 PM »