I see a MINIMUM of 3 losses on your schedule this year, and possibly as many as five... Same ol' Auburn.

That is certainly possible; that is why they play the games. I will say though that this year's team is significantly better than last year's.
And you know this, how?? You've played exactly nobody so far...
You lost three 1st rd NFL draft picks plus another key part of your OL to injury and the already sieve-like (#86 nationally LY) defense looks to be weaker up front than before.
The drop off from those 1st rounders is negligible - we have excellent players moving up to those positions. Believe it or not, the DL looks better than it did at the same point last year.
I am basing that opinion not on what we have seen on the field so far, I am basing it on other factors:
1) With the exception of Robinson, the rest of the O-Line is the same as last year, and Robinson's replacement is a stud even though he had to take a few years off to fight leukemia. (He originally signed in 2010 and is now a Sophomore)
2) MUCH improved skill levels at the receiver positions.
3) QB actually had time to learn the system. Last year he first showed up in time for Fall camp.
4) More depth at RB
As to the defense, I believe it is at about the same skill level as last year at this time.