Do I owe K S U Wildcats a dollar or what?
No you're good. We didn't bet, remember?

Based on info being reported, I don't see how the PM had enough to make an announcement to the families, so they either know more than they're telling, or dumbasses. Both equally possible, and not mutually exclusive.
Even if they've finally found debris, it's been two weeks. Trying to backtrack from there based on weather, currents, and a vague trajectory leaves a very big search area.
And good point about the voice recorders. Still, finding the wreckage, data recorders, and bodies - particularly those of pilots - could tell us a lot.