Match ups.
We match-up well with TCU, plus they aren't very good. Granted, they were capable last year of knocking off good teams (KU, OU), but those were their only Big 12 wins. Saturday against WVU team at home they hit 9-19 from 3PT and still lost. WVU destroyed them on the offensive boards (44% OR%, something we're good at) and forced them into a TO% of 22% (something we're also good at). I don't see this team losing to TCU.
However, KU is a terrible match-up for us. They have a bunch of really good bigs to run at us and when they get Gip and DJamer in foul trouble we'll be throwing Nino out there at the 5. Our hope is to force a bunch of TOs (which is entirely possible) and hit 40% or better from 3 while shooting a lot of them (not likely). KU probably wins by 12-15, I think we'll ugly it up enough to not get destroyed.