Poll

what do you guys think

no way
3 (4.4%)
nit
32 (47.1%)
ncaa
33 (48.5%)

Total Members Voted: 66

Author Topic: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????  (Read 5990 times)

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Offline Panjandrum

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #25 on: January 02, 2014, 10:20:39 AM »
something we have going for us is the committee will put astericks by the early losses if Jevon plays well all season. so that's good.

No. Colorado is pretty much already nullified because we didn't have Gip or Thomas, so, yeah.

Offline mocat

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #26 on: January 02, 2014, 10:24:15 AM »
RPI is 85 right now

Offline TheFormerKCCat

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #27 on: January 02, 2014, 10:38:43 AM »
40-60 seems to fit what IMHO is a .500-ish Big 12 team that will be on the bubble.
I tend to agree with this, BUT with a caveat of the perceived and/or measurable strength of the Big 12. Forgive the LRPIIQ, but once OOC is done, is our conference RPI locked in too?

I think it would help the Big 12 perception-wise if one team (OSU?) dominated and then the other top-tier teams (KU and ISU) did well. Baylor has impressed me, so I might add them to the 'other top-tier' (but Scott Drew...). Texas has looked better than expected too, but I'm not sold on them yet.

If the Big 12 continues to be perceived as a decent (or even good?) conference, then our chances improve. 6 Big 12 teams in the tourney would be great for us IF we continue to improve. I don't see us as lower than 6th in the conference, but perhaps the 'Zags, GW, and Ole Miss are all fool's gold?
I'm in it purely for the entertainment value.

Offline sys

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #28 on: January 02, 2014, 02:39:30 PM »
5% chance of ncaas, which is up about 500% from my opening day assessment.
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Offline yoga-like_abana

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #29 on: January 02, 2014, 06:19:21 PM »
When we host the NIT and lose at home to Depaul or somebody like that it will have all come full circle

Offline Mr Bread

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #30 on: January 03, 2014, 04:11:26 PM »
NCAAs
My prescience is fully engorged.  It throbs with righteous accuracy.  I am sated.

Offline sunny_cat

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #31 on: January 03, 2014, 04:12:39 PM »

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #32 on: January 03, 2014, 04:22:49 PM »
I believe.
My prescience is fully engorged.  It throbs with righteous accuracy.  I am sated.

Offline 1863

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #33 on: January 03, 2014, 04:35:47 PM »
TCU- 2 wins
Tech- 2 wins
WVU- 1.5 wins
Texas- 1 win
OU- 1 win
Baylor- 1 win
ISU- 1 win
OSU- 0 wins
KU- 0 wins

This is going to sound really "well, duh, no crap" but whatever. Take care of business against the bottom 3 and beat the middle of the road at home. Maybe steal a game at home against the top 3 or on the road against the middle of the pack? I think this is pretty realistic. 9-10 wins. Key out of conference win against Zaga. Bad losses to start the season but without key players, the committee looks at more recent play. Get a win, maybe 2 in the B12 tourney and be a 7/8 seed...

I think it looks roughly like this give or take a loss or two. I think we are a bit more bubble, but on the inside rather than outside looking in. It would take some realllly good bubble teams to bump us where we stand right now (hovering within reach of top 25 and middle of the Big 12 pack), but I do think it could happen. Looking at Sagarins rankings for conference championships we should be middle of the pack, and Big 12 should get 6 teams in.

Key words there are 'should' and 'I think'. Who knows?

Offline Gooch

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #34 on: January 03, 2014, 04:47:14 PM »
I will not go to the NIT game that we host.

Offline michigancat

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #35 on: January 03, 2014, 04:54:37 PM »
I voted NIT. I think we have approximately a 25% chance of going to the NCAA's. I do not know what that percentage is based upon.

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #36 on: January 03, 2014, 09:43:36 PM »
I voted NIT. I think we have approximately a 25% chance of going to the NCAA's. I do not know what that percentage is based upon.

Perhaps nonsensical guestimates should be required to be expressed in fractions, while statistical conclusions could be expressed in percentages.

I think we're looking at a 7 seed this season.  Maybe an 11 or 10 if the NCAA is looking for a tight primetime matchip and decide to make us the lower seed.
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Offline michigancat

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #37 on: January 03, 2014, 10:03:59 PM »
I voted NIT. I think we have approximately a 25% chance of going to the NCAA's. I do not know what that percentage is based upon.

Perhaps nonsensical guestimates should be required to be expressed in fractions, while statistical conclusions could be expressed in percentages.

I think we're looking at a 7 seed this season.  Maybe an 11 or 10 if the NCAA is looking for a tight primetime matchip and decide to make us the lower seed.

kenpom has us 8-10. So 25% is probably a little low. Maybe 35%. What fraction are you guesstimating,  you loveable old coot?

Offline Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #38 on: January 03, 2014, 10:09:54 PM »
I think we have a 55/64 chance of making the NCAA's. 

I also don't give a eff about kenpom because his modelling includes games when we played like mongoloid bumblefucks.
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Offline Tobias

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #39 on: January 03, 2014, 10:10:54 PM »
I also don't give a eff about kenpom because his modelling includes games when we played like mongoloid bumblefucks.

never quit us, fsd :D

Offline Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #40 on: January 03, 2014, 10:16:51 PM »
I also don't give a eff about kenpom because his modelling includes games when we played like mongoloid bumblefucks.

never quit us, fsd :D

I hate it when shitty posters post @ me. 
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Offline michigancat

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #41 on: January 03, 2014, 10:19:54 PM »
I think we have a 55/64 chance of making the NCAA's. 

I also don't give a eff about kenpom because his modelling includes games when we played like mongoloid bumblefucks.

He also includes games where we played spectacularly*.

*He includes all games

Offline michigancat

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #42 on: January 03, 2014, 10:21:23 PM »
55/64 is almost 90%! :surprised:

Offline Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #43 on: January 03, 2014, 10:21:57 PM »
I think we have a 55/64 chance of making the NCAA's. 

I also don't give a eff about kenpom because his modelling includes games when we played like mongoloid bumblefucks.

He also includes games where we played spectacularly*.

*He includes all games

Shitty post
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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #44 on: January 03, 2014, 10:23:45 PM »
55/64 is almost 90%! :surprised:

Welp throw michigancat back in the shitty poster pile
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Offline chum1

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #45 on: January 03, 2014, 10:24:27 PM »
I think a .500 conference record gets us in based on what I call the "oscar factor."

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #46 on: January 03, 2014, 10:29:20 PM »
I think a .500 conference record gets us in based on what I call the "oscar factor."

.500 conf record would mean we won as many conf games as we lost

- signed michigancat
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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #47 on: January 03, 2014, 11:23:07 PM »

Offline sunny_cat

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #48 on: January 03, 2014, 11:25:14 PM »
Leti Romero :love:

Offline Spracne

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Re: POSTSEASON PLAY?!!????
« Reply #49 on: January 03, 2014, 11:26:08 PM »
Can't tell if these are both men's bball or both women's bball photos. :dunno:
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