Author Topic: Char ADV; Sad.  (Read 5126 times)

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Offline kso_FAN

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Char ADV; Sad.
« on: November 21, 2013, 11:49:01 AM »
1st   Pace   PPP   eFG%   TO%   OR%   FTR
KSU   32   0.93   48.3%   21.8%   27.8%   6.7%
Opp   32   0.93   44.4%   24.9%   38.9%   40.7%

2nd   Pace   PPP   eFG%   TO%   OR%   FTR
KSU   36   0.87   33.3%   11.2%   33.3%   56.7%
Opp   36   1.06   41.4%   30.7%   50.0%   62.1%

Total   Pace   PPP   eFG%   TO%   OR%   FTR
KSU   68   0.89   40.8%   16.1%   31.0%   31.7%
Opp   68   0.99   42.9%   27.8%   44.7%   51.8%

Will: 3-9/1-6
Shane: 4-14/0-6 3-8 FTs

Foster: 5-14/1-8

Nigel: 5-13/3-7

Gip/Johnson 1-3 3 boards.

Beaten soundly on the boards and FTR.

 :frown:



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Offline CNS

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2013, 11:51:16 AM »
Have we had a more complete across the board meltdown?  Even against a moderately decent team?

this is not just embarrassing that it happened, but it happened against a crap team.

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #2 on: November 21, 2013, 12:00:26 PM »
What we play is #finesseketball. The only remotely aggressive thing we do is ball pressure/force TOs. Last year showed #finesseketball can only work if you shoot 50% eFG%. We're not close to being able to do that consistently.

Offline CNS

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #3 on: November 21, 2013, 12:01:58 PM »
#finesseketball is super horrible to watch without shooters.


Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #4 on: November 21, 2013, 12:02:56 PM »
Yes it is. I don't mind it when you drain 3s at decent clip, but it's sad when you don't.

Offline 8manpick

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #5 on: November 21, 2013, 12:05:19 PM »
Thanks _FWN
:adios:

Offline Panjandrum

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #6 on: November 21, 2013, 12:08:50 PM »
What we play is #finesseketball. The only remotely aggressive thing we do is ball pressure/force TOs. Last year showed #finesseketball can only work if you shoot 50% eFG%. We're not close to being able to do that consistently.

Long term, with the new rules, I'm okay with finesseketballTM as a long term strategy.  But you need to really get guys that can rebound and shoot.

If Tre Harris is a 40% guy, then fine.  Decent pick up.  If Hurt can board, fine.  Decent pick up.

But oscar brought in six new guys this past year, and I'm not sure any of them are good shooters or rebounders.  Foster is a scorer, which you need, and Westicles is a good glue guy who excels in transition (which we do do very much), and Johnson is a streaky shooter, but none of the guys he brought in are shooters.  I thought Bolden's MO from Georgetown was that he was soft inside, so that means he probably won't be a very good rebounder either, and Krap is just a really horrible one year loaner.

Maybe that's the most discouraging thing for me.  If we knew that this is how we wanted to play, why didn't we get a shooter in this last class?

Offline Mr Bread

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #7 on: November 21, 2013, 12:19:45 PM »
#finesseketball is super horrible to watch without shooters.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=290490356

oscar's best all-oscar Illinois team. 
My prescience is fully engorged.  It throbs with righteous accuracy.  I am sated.

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #8 on: November 21, 2013, 12:21:08 PM »
What we play is #finesseketball. The only remotely aggressive thing we do is ball pressure/force TOs. Last year showed #finesseketball can only work if you shoot 50% eFG%. We're not close to being able to do that consistently.

Long term, with the new rules, I'm okay with finesseketballTM as a long term strategy.  But you need to really get guys that can rebound and shoot.

If Tre Harris is a 40% guy, then fine.  Decent pick up.  If Hurt can board, fine.  Decent pick up.

But oscar brought in six new guys this past year, and I'm not sure any of them are good shooters or rebounders.  Foster is a scorer, which you need, and Westicles is a good glue guy who excels in transition (which we do do very much), and Johnson is a streaky shooter, but none of the guys he brought in are shooters.  I thought Bolden's MO from Georgetown was that he was soft inside, so that means he probably won't be a very good rebounder either, and Krap is just a really horrible one year loaner.

Maybe that's the most discouraging thing for me.  If we knew that this is how we wanted to play, why didn't we get a shooter in this last class?

Yeah, the tough things is how good can these guys become as shooters? Can they be like last year's team?

#bruceketball IS #finesseketball and it always has been. The 3PT stats over his career bear that out. The TO% advantage oscar's system produces can/should overcome the loss of JYC #s, but only if his teams shoot 35% from 3s on a consistent basis and have around 35% of the shot attempts be from 3.

Offline CNS

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #9 on: November 21, 2013, 12:23:41 PM »
#finesseketball is super horrible to watch without shooters.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=290490356

oscar's best all-oscar Illinois team.

Jesus

Offline AbeFroman

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #10 on: November 21, 2013, 12:25:49 PM »

Offline 0.42

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #11 on: November 21, 2013, 12:27:39 PM »
#finesseketball is super horrible to watch without shooters.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=290490356

oscar's best all-oscar Illinois team.

Jesus

Watching us lose 31-25 to TCU will make for excellent gE in-game chatting.

Offline Mr Bread

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #12 on: November 21, 2013, 12:29:07 PM »
#finesseketball is super horrible to watch without shooters.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=290490356

oscar's best all-oscar Illinois team.

Jesus

Quote
Illinois, which did not shoot any free throws -- the first time a team didn't have an attempt in a game at the 46-year-old Assembly Hall.

Quote
Illinois coach oscar Weber blamed his team's failure to find inside shots.

"You can't settle for jump shots and have to make them guard you," he said. "I didn't think we're going to get a lot of free throws because we're a jump shooting team."

Quote
Illinois' point total was its lowest since a 33-31 loss to Minnesota in 1947.

Quote
"I told the other coaches the other day I wasn't sure how well we would play," Weber said. "But I could have never anticipated this."

Quote
The win was Penn State's third straight at the Assembly Hall.
My prescience is fully engorged.  It throbs with righteous accuracy.  I am sated.

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #13 on: November 21, 2013, 12:30:38 PM »
Here's a chart I made last year, sorted by 3PT%.


Offline Wildcatsfan4248

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #14 on: November 21, 2013, 12:39:04 PM »
Here's a chart I made last year, sorted by 3PT%.



So we need to shoot at least 34% in 3PFG to have a shot at any sort of postseason play. We are shooting 23.5% through 4 games.

 :goodbyecruelworld:

Offline SleepFighter

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #15 on: November 21, 2013, 12:41:20 PM »
Long term, with the new rules, I'm okay with finesseketballTM as a long term strategy. 

No.  This is dumb.  The rewards for attacking the basket are higher than ever.  To have a 6.7% FTR in the first half of this game with the rules and officiating the way they are is ridiculous.

Offline chum1

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #16 on: November 21, 2013, 12:42:08 PM »
Wow.  oscar has made it to the tournament a lot.

Offline michigancat

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #17 on: November 21, 2013, 12:43:59 PM »
Wow.  oscar has made it to the tournament a lot.

:D

Offline Mr Bread

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #18 on: November 21, 2013, 12:46:28 PM »
Long term, with the new rules, I'm okay with finesseketballTM as a long term strategy. 

No.  This is dumb.  The rewards for attacking the basket are higher than ever.  To have a 6.7% FTR in the first half of this game with the rules and officiating the way they are is ridiculous.

Yeah, I didn't understand that either.  oscar's offense is basically designed not to take advantage of that. 
My prescience is fully engorged.  It throbs with righteous accuracy.  I am sated.

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #19 on: November 21, 2013, 12:50:32 PM »
Here's a chart I made last year, sorted by 3PT%.



So we need to shoot at least 34% in 3PFG to have a shot at any sort of postseason play. We are shooting 23.5% through 4 games.

 :goodbyecruelworld:

Yes, #bruceketball seems to trend that way.

I generally make trends to look for now that I follow ADV stats.

My rules for Frank were simple: 40/40/40. K-State needed to force opponents to shoot <40% eFG% and get 40% OR% and FTR. Generally that meant a win.

With oscar its been 50/35/25. oscar's teams need 50% eFG%, 35% 3PT, and to force 25% TOs for opponents. 

Granted, there are plenty of other factors, but those seem to be the important ones for each respective system.

Offline Panjandrum

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #20 on: November 21, 2013, 12:56:06 PM »
Long term, with the new rules, I'm okay with finesseketballTM as a long term strategy. 

No.  This is dumb.  The rewards for attacking the basket are higher than ever.  To have a 6.7% FTR in the first half of this game with the rules and officiating the way they are is ridiculous.

Yeah, I didn't understand that either.  oscar's offense is basically designed not to take advantage of that.

Yeah, I didn't think that all the way through.

Offline Rock Lobster

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #21 on: November 21, 2013, 01:03:04 PM »
Here's a chart I made last year, sorted by 3PT%.



So we need to shoot at least 34% in 3PFG to have a shot at any sort of postseason play. We are shooting 23.5% through 4 games.

 :goodbyecruelworld:

We're going to be worse than his '08 team aren't we?

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #22 on: November 21, 2013, 01:22:56 PM »
_Fan, all stats will need to be broken out between Frank’s  players and oscar’s players.  Last year was all on oscar, this year is all Frank. TIA.

Offline Mixed-Nutz

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #23 on: November 21, 2013, 01:31:44 PM »
We aren't getting a lot of good looks, that is the major problem.

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Char ADV; Sad.
« Reply #24 on: November 21, 2013, 01:32:56 PM »
We aren't getting a lot of good looks, that is the major problem.
If
Probably better ways to attack, but I thought most of the 3s we took in the 2nd half were decent looks. If your offense is going to be based on 3s, you better make even fairly open ones.