ChUMP Week 05

[CHONGS]

 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           

#	Team	Adj Off Eff	Off Drives	Adj Def Eff	Def Drives	Δ Eff
1	Oregon	4.05	14.75	1.11	15.	2.95
2	Baylor	4.2	15.	1.44	15.33	2.76
3	Washington	3.33	11.5	0.73	12.	2.6
4	Alabama	3.31	12.5	0.76	12.5	2.55
5	Florida State	3.91	11.5	1.36	11.	2.54
6	UCLA	3.6	12.33	1.28	12.67	2.32
7	Stanford	3.55	11.5	1.4	11.75	2.15
8	Louisville	3.5	11.5	1.39	11.25	2.11
9	Ohio State	3.63	12.4	1.56	12.2	2.07
10	Florida	2.77	10.5	0.78	11.	1.99
11	Georgia	3.82	12.5	1.85	12.5	1.97
12	Georgia Tech	3.41	10.75	1.57	10.75	1.84
13	LSU	3.51	11.6	1.69	12.4	1.81
14	Oklahoma State	3.21	13.75	1.43	13.75	1.78
15	Clemson	3.17	13.75	1.41	13.5	1.76
16	Miami (Florida)	3.39	13.25	1.66	13.75	1.73
17	Wisconsin	2.93	12.	1.26	12.4	1.67
18	Oklahoma	3.15	12.5	1.51	12.	1.64
19	Mississippi State	2.88	11.75	1.25	11.75	1.63
20	Penn State	2.73	13.25	1.11	13.	1.62
21	Arizona	2.81	12.5	1.26	12.5	1.55
22	Texas A&M	3.97	12.2	2.5	12.6	1.47
23	Syracuse	3.02	14.	1.58	14.25	1.44
24	Missouri	3.	13.	1.58	13.5	1.42
25	UCF	3.09	10.75	1.68	11.25	1.41

                                                                                                                                                         

#	Team	Adj Off Eff	Off Drives	Adj Def Eff	Def Drives	Δ Eff
2	Baylor	4.2	15.	1.44	15.33	2.76
14	Oklahoma State	3.21	13.75	1.43	13.75	1.78
18	Oklahoma	3.15	12.5	1.51	12.	1.64
35	Texas Tech	2.7	15.	1.66	14.75	1.04
55	West Virginia	2.2	13.8	1.56	14.2	0.64
62	TCU	2.22	13.75	1.73	13.5	0.49
68	Kansas State	2.66	11.25	2.22	11.25	0.44
80	Texas	2.39	13.25	2.32	13.25	0.07
94	Iowa State	2.06	12.33	2.44	11.67	-0.38
102	Kansas	1.51	12.67	2.	12.67	-0.49

ChUMP was wrong about the pokes last week, maybe again this week?   

[Stevesie60]

Call the rest of the season off and just have Oregon and Baylor play each other. Man, what fun that would be.

[Mr Bread]

Syracuse...what in the world is going on here?

[steve dave]

I can't even raise my emotions high enough anymore. I guess let's get him guys. or not. whatever.

[kim carnes]

Tbh, I'm pretty happy to be 68th

[Mr Bread]

Penn State ahead of Michigan and Northwestern?  This is madness. 

[catzacker]

not enough Miami love in the chump-o-meter.

[DQ12]

kiss our butts, Texas! 

 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

One comment, one question...

Comment = Why does it like Mississippi State so much??  It has them winning by 10 over LSU, which most models have as an 8-10 favorite.

Question = Does it take into consideration the "neutral field" situation in ASU vs ND game?  Or, does it just assume ND to be at "home"?

[puniraptor]

2 questions

[Mr Bread]

2 3 questions

Yeah, what a rough ridin' idiot.  No one is surprised tho.  Eyelashes batted: 0.

[puniraptor]

2 3 questions

Yeah, what a rough ridin' idiot.  No one is surprised tho.  Eyelashes batted: 0.

three question marks. two questions.

[MadCat]

2 3 questions

Yeah, what a rough ridin' idiot.  No one is surprised tho.  Eyelashes batted: 0.

three question marks. two questions.

1 cup 

[kslim]

2 3 questions

Yeah, what a rough ridin' idiot.  No one is surprised tho.  Eyelashes batted: 0.

three question marks. two questions.

i counted 4, but hey it's the pimp life i guess

[puniraptor]

2 3 questions

Yeah, what a rough ridin' idiot.  No one is surprised tho.  Eyelashes batted: 0.

three question marks. two questions.

i counted 4, but hey it's the pimp life i guess

duplex q marks count as one.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

details...

 

[ChiComCat]

Not a whole lot of respect for USC's defense here

[mocat]

Chump does not take into account SOS. THIS THING IS APTLY NAMED

[CHONGS]

Chump does not take into account SOS. THIS THING IS APTLY NAMED

sure it does.  you have no idea how it works

[Mr Bread]

Why does it think that a 2-loss Syracuse is better than the undefeated Northwestern team that whooped them head-to-head? 

[Mr Bread]

Oh man, does chump not care who wins and loses?  Mystery solved?

[CHONGS]

Why does it think that a 2-loss Syracuse is better than the undefeated Northwestern team that whooped them head-to-head? 

I imagine ChUMP is quite skeptical of NWerns stats.  Their SOS is abysmal.   ChUMP does not care about head to head, just about points per possession on offense and defense (adjusted to the off and def proficiencies of the teams played).

Syracuse will filter back down if they keep losing.

[CHONGS]

                                                                                                                                                                                     

#	Team	Adj Off Eff	Off Drives	Adj Def Eff	Def Drives	Δ Eff
8	Ohio State	3.72	12.4	1.47	12.2	2.25
16	Wisconsin	3.02	12.	1.18	12.4	1.84
23	Nebraska	3.36	13.	1.74	12.75	1.62
24	Penn State	2.72	13.25	1.1	13.	1.61
33	Indiana	3.42	13.75	2.08	13.75	1.33
36	Illinois	3.31	11.75	2.15	11.5	1.16
40	Northwestern	2.93	13.5	1.87	13.5	1.06
44	Michigan	2.91	12.75	1.88	13.	1.03
47	Iowa	2.43	12.6	1.42	13.2	1.01
67	Minnesota	2.68	11.4	2.02	11.2	0.65
70	Michigan State	2.04	13.5	1.44	13.5	0.6
113	Purdue	1.88	12.4	2.66	12.4	-0.78

looking good breadz

[CHONGS]

One comment, one question...

Comment = Why does it like Mississippi State so much??  It has them winning by 10 over LSU, which most models have as an 8-10 favorite.

Question = Does it take into consideration the "neutral field" situation in ASU vs ND game?  Or, does it just assume ND to be at "home"?

It thinks Miss State has a better defense... In general a better defense has a better chance of winning (according to ChUMP).

[Mr Bread]

One comment, one question...

Comment = Why does it like Mississippi State so much??  It has them winning by 10 over LSU, which most models have as an 8-10 favorite.

Question = Does it take into consideration the "neutral field" situation in ASU vs ND game?  Or, does it just assume ND to be at "home"?

It thinks Miss State has a better defense... In general a better defense has a better chance of winning (according to ChUMP).

   
  the breads