We split with Iowa State and OU, by losing on the road at each place. Meanwhile, Iowa State loses at least 4 against OSU, KU, and BU....and so does OU.
Can we win 2 games against OSU, KU, and BU? I don't think so.
We need to be perfect against Tech, TCU, and UT just to stay in the fight for 4th, IMO.