this happens every season. the dynamic personalities draw too much attention and get booted early.
no chance: gina marie, elissa, candace, judd, jessie
1% chance: howard, andy
chance: aaryn, spencer, mcrae, kaitlin, helen
leader after 3 holes: amanda
amanda is a really good player and does v well with the social aspects of the game. concern is that she will begin to be recognized as the puppet master that she is and people will identify her as a target in the next week or so.
the people i have in the no chance category are just too stupid to execute a winning strategy over the next 8 weeks, regardless of how many times the trip over themselves and happen to win HoH.
andy and spencer are similar players in that they're often overlooked and they've managed to let others make moves that benefit themselves, very little blood on either of their hands
my concern w/ helen is the same as it is with amanda. strong player socially and strategically. this is a help and a hindrance. these clowns form an alliance and then think they can sit back and just vote out the other side. no foresight.
mcrae/kaitlin = too dumb but will manage to survive a few weeks forward. mcrae has the benefit of voting with amanda and being able to trust her.
howard has a target on his back. if he can manage to swing power his way by winning HoH this sunday, he may be a player to watch. as it is now, he's just hanging on until his inevitable eviction.