Author Topic: 10.4 percent  (Read 3234 times)

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Offline kso_FAN

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10.4 percent
« on: March 12, 2013, 12:19:38 PM »
kp's Big 12 log5 is out.

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As is customary in this event, Kansas is a convincing favorite. The Jayhawks have won five tournaments during the previous eight years of sharing or outright winning the regular-season Big 12 title. The two through six seeds are good enough to give the Jayhawks some competition, so Kansas’ chances of winning aren’t much better than a coin flip. Because the bottom four teams are quite a bit worse than the rest of the conference, there was a nice bonus for the teams the got the top two-seeds. So even though Kansas State and Iowa State are roughly equal in skill, the Wildcats’ chances of winning the title are significantly better.

Kansas gets half of a home-court share in this analysis.

Qtrs Semis Final Champ
 1 Kansas       100  93.5  73.3  54.2
 3 Oklahoma St. 100  63.4  41.9  17.1
2 Kansas St.   100  75.9  33.2  10.4
 5 Iowa St.     100  55.6  15.0   7.1
 6 Baylor       100  36.6  19.6   5.8
 4 Oklahoma     100  44.4  10.3   4.3
 7 Texas       86.7  23.4   5.3   0.8
 8 W. Virginia 81.1   6.1   1.4   0.3
 9 Texas Tech  18.9   0.4   0.02  0.001
10 TCU         13.3   0.7   0.03  0.0009

And: :(

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All-kenpom: Marcus Smart, Oklahoma State (kPOY); Jeff Withey, Kansas; Ben McLemore, Kansas; Pierre Jackson, Baylor; Romero Osby, Oklahoma.


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Offline GCJayhawker

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2013, 12:21:28 PM »
Man think of the odds you could get on TCU winning the whole thing.

Offline CNS

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2013, 12:22:50 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Online Dugout DickStone

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #3 on: March 12, 2013, 12:24:16 PM »
Man think of the odds you could get on TCU winning the whole thing.

Would it matter?

Offline GCJayhawker

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #4 on: March 12, 2013, 12:27:13 PM »
Man think of the odds you could get on TCU winning the whole thing.

Would it matter?

No, not unless a higher power has some sort of a sick and twisted sense of humor

Offline kougar24

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #5 on: March 12, 2013, 12:30:44 PM »
kp was a frankite

Offline The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2013, 12:43:05 PM »
Man think of the odds you could get on TCU winning the whole thing.

Stranger things have happened amirite?
I think what my friend Mitch is trying to say is that true love is blind.

Offline EMAWzified

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #7 on: March 12, 2013, 12:43:14 PM »
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So even though Kansas State and Iowa State are roughly equal in skill, the Wildcats’ chances of winning the title are significantly better.

What a rough ridin' :rolleyes: eunuch.

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2013, 12:52:17 PM »
 :bracketmouse:

Offline Bqqkie Pimp

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #9 on: March 12, 2013, 01:03:48 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:
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Offline GCJayhawker

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #10 on: March 12, 2013, 01:05:44 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:

There is absolutely no doubt that the majority, if not all, KSU fans will be rooting for KU's opponent in each of KU's games.

Offline EMAWzified

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #11 on: March 12, 2013, 01:08:50 PM »
Whereas, the sqwawks will be sharing (that word again) in cheers for the Wildcats?

Online Dugout DickStone

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #12 on: March 12, 2013, 01:10:17 PM »
Whereas, the sqwawks will be sharing (that word again) in cheers for the Wildcats?

Lol, no.

Offline Bqqkie Pimp

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #13 on: March 12, 2013, 01:11:27 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:

There is absolutely no doubt that the majority, if not all, KSU fans will be rooting for KU's opponent in each of KU's games.

As will the fans of Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and other schools that got jobbed by the officiating in games vs ku.

The OSU folks we met in Stillwater TO A MAN this weekend have no fondness for your little community college whatsoever.
bears are fast...

Offline GCJayhawker

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #14 on: March 12, 2013, 01:11:32 PM »
Whereas, the sqwawks will be sharing (that word again) in cheers for the Wildcats?

Nope, KU fans will be cheering against KSU as well.  Wouldn't really expect it either way for both fanbases.  All though it would be pretty sweet to see a KU-KSU championship game.

Offline GCJayhawker

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #15 on: March 12, 2013, 01:12:58 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:

There is absolutely no doubt that the majority, if not all, KSU fans will be rooting for KU's opponent in each of KU's games.

As will the fans of Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and other schools that got jobbed by the officiating in games vs ku.

The OSU folks we met in Stillwater TO A MAN this weekend have no fondness for your little community college whatsoever.

 :lol: :lol: :lol: Now that's funny.  I wouldn't expect any other fan base to like KU in basketball.  Why would they? Ku has been dominating them for a long time, makes sense to hate them.  Same reason people outside of Texas don't like UT football

Offline Winters

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #16 on: March 12, 2013, 01:15:31 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:

There is absolutely no doubt that the majority, if not all, KSU fans will be rooting for KU's opponent in each of KU's games.

As will the fans of Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and other schools that got jobbed by the officiating in games vs ku.

The OSU folks we met in Stillwater TO A MAN this weekend have no fondness for your little community college whatsoever.

 :lol: :lol: :lol: Now that's funny.  I wouldn't expect any other fan base to like KU in basketball.  Why would they? Ku has been dominating them for a long time, makes sense to hate them.  Same reason people outside of Texas don't like UT football
that makes no sense. we own those idiots.
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Offline Bqqkie Pimp

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #17 on: March 12, 2013, 01:19:47 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:

There is absolutely no doubt that the majority, if not all, KSU fans will be rooting for KU's opponent in each of KU's games.

As will the fans of Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and other schools that got jobbed by the officiating in games vs ku.

The OSU folks we met in Stillwater TO A MAN this weekend have no fondness for your little community college whatsoever.

 :lol: :lol: :lol: Now that's funny.  I wouldn't expect any other fan base to like KU in basketball.  Why would they? Ku has been dominating them for a long time, makes sense to hate them.  Same reason people outside of Texas don't like UT football

No, you're wrong.

Has nothing to do with the conference title streak or 'domination'.  Has to do with the preferential treatment by the officials during games and the arrogant attitude of the vast majority of the fan base, most of which couldn't find Lawrence on a map, let alone ever having stepped foot in a classroom there.

Basically, ku is disliked because they're shitty neighbors... not because of your successes.



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Offline GCJayhawker

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #18 on: March 12, 2013, 01:21:57 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:

There is absolutely no doubt that the majority, if not all, KSU fans will be rooting for KU's opponent in each of KU's games.

As will the fans of Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and other schools that got jobbed by the officiating in games vs ku.

The OSU folks we met in Stillwater TO A MAN this weekend have no fondness for your little community college whatsoever.

 :lol: :lol: :lol: Now that's funny.  I wouldn't expect any other fan base to like KU in basketball.  Why would they? Ku has been dominating them for a long time, makes sense to hate them.  Same reason people outside of Texas don't like UT football

No, you're wrong.

Has nothing to do with the conference title streak or 'domination'.  Has to do with the preferential treatment by the officials during games and the arrogant attitude of the vast majority of the fan base, most of which couldn't find Lawrence on a map, let alone ever having stepped foot in a classroom there.

Basically, ku is disliked because they're shitty neighbors... not because of your successes.

The problem with this logic is that all the reasons you set forth are due to the successes of the program.  If there was not the level of success there has been, then you would not have the other issues you set forth.

Offline K-S-U-Wildcats!

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #19 on: March 12, 2013, 01:26:32 PM »
Seems about right. As for KU fans cheering against K-State, let's face it, any smart fan would much prefer to play the Cats in the finals over OSU.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, K-State fans could have beheaded the entire KU team at midcourt, and K-State fans would be celebrating it this morning.  They are the ISIS of Big 12 fanbases.

Offline EMAWzified

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #20 on: March 12, 2013, 01:43:11 PM »
Especially since they would be playing a jump-shooting teamplaying for the 3rd straight day.

Seems about right. As for KU fans cheering against K-State, let's face it, any smart fan would much prefer to play the Cats in the finals over OSU.

Offline Bqqkie Pimp

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #21 on: March 12, 2013, 01:50:39 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:

There is absolutely no doubt that the majority, if not all, KSU fans will be rooting for KU's opponent in each of KU's games.

As will the fans of Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and other schools that got jobbed by the officiating in games vs ku.

The OSU folks we met in Stillwater TO A MAN this weekend have no fondness for your little community college whatsoever.

 :lol: :lol: :lol: Now that's funny.  I wouldn't expect any other fan base to like KU in basketball.  Why would they? Ku has been dominating them for a long time, makes sense to hate them.  Same reason people outside of Texas don't like UT football

No, you're wrong.

Has nothing to do with the conference title streak or 'domination'.  Has to do with the preferential treatment by the officials during games and the arrogant attitude of the vast majority of the fan base, most of which couldn't find Lawrence on a map, let alone ever having stepped foot in a classroom there.

Basically, ku is disliked because they're shitty neighbors... not because of your successes.

The problem with this logic is that all the reasons you set forth are due to the successes of the program.  If there was not the level of success there has been, then you would not have the other issues you set forth.

Great.  We agree that ku has a shitty fanbase then, and the rest of the league dislikes your program enough to cheer against them because of it rather than just watching in neutrality as is the case at most tourney games.

 :thumbsup:
bears are fast...

Offline GCJayhawker

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #22 on: March 12, 2013, 04:21:17 PM »
Could be argued that the home court could be evened btwn us and KU

Actually, I think the truth of the matter is this;  ISU will have the HCA vs ku in the semi's if ISU beats OU as expected.

The 'clown fans have been known to travel in droves to this thing, and I'm of the belief that there's not too many people from K-State that will really be TSC'ing it up in the Sprint Center.  Therefore, ISU will have both KSU and ISU fans backing them plus my belief is that the OSU people will back Iowa State as well...

 :bill:

There is absolutely no doubt that the majority, if not all, KSU fans will be rooting for KU's opponent in each of KU's games.

As will the fans of Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and other schools that got jobbed by the officiating in games vs ku.

The OSU folks we met in Stillwater TO A MAN this weekend have no fondness for your little community college whatsoever.

 :lol: :lol: :lol: Now that's funny.  I wouldn't expect any other fan base to like KU in basketball.  Why would they? Ku has been dominating them for a long time, makes sense to hate them.  Same reason people outside of Texas don't like UT football

No, you're wrong.

Has nothing to do with the conference title streak or 'domination'.  Has to do with the preferential treatment by the officials during games and the arrogant attitude of the vast majority of the fan base, most of which couldn't find Lawrence on a map, let alone ever having stepped foot in a classroom there.

Basically, ku is disliked because they're shitty neighbors... not because of your successes.

The problem with this logic is that all the reasons you set forth are due to the successes of the program.  If there was not the level of success there has been, then you would not have the other issues you set forth.

Great.  We agree that ku has a shitty fanbase then, and the rest of the league dislikes your program enough to cheer against them because of it rather than just watching in neutrality as is the case at most tourney games.

 :thumbsup:

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Offline kougar24

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #23 on: March 12, 2013, 04:25:42 PM »
K-State is straddling the tops of two mountains. Just call us The Gondola.

Offline deputy dawg

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Re: 10.4 percent
« Reply #24 on: March 13, 2013, 12:06:28 PM »
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3 Oklahoma St. 100  63.4  41.9  17.1
   :sdeek:

17.1% probability for Okie State vs. 10.4% for 'Cats?  I guess that Pistol Pete mascot is effective, or that 6 point loss is Stillwater zings more than anyone would have thought.