Author Topic: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV  (Read 6573 times)

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Offline CHONGS

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #50 on: February 25, 2013, 08:08:54 PM »
statistics are hard so most people discount them (because they don't understand them).  its understandable and human nature.

Offline Powercat Posse

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #51 on: February 25, 2013, 08:12:05 PM »
When u shoot 3-16 from 3pt, its nice to counter that wth 63.4% from 2pt (26-41).  Still adds up to 53.5 eFG

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #52 on: February 25, 2013, 08:33:53 PM »
FYI  if we assume it follows a normal distribution:

mean = 36%
std dev =  9.3%

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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #53 on: February 25, 2013, 08:38:07 PM »
I'm glad it came against Tech. Hopefully we don't have another one in us, but we could.

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #54 on: February 25, 2013, 08:50:38 PM »
FYI  if we assume it follows a normal distribution:

mean = 36%
std dev =  9.3%

Is this post the ttech game?  Michi said sigma was 6.8%.

Quite the outlier


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Offline CHONGS

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #55 on: February 25, 2013, 08:51:17 PM »
post texas game, plus my std dev is for the model not the data (and michi said his was estimated).


ps the data (post UT game) is
mean:  36%
std dev:  9.4%

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #56 on: February 25, 2013, 08:55:24 PM »
post texas game, plus my std dev is for the model not the data (and michi said his was estimated).

He estimated 6.8%

:confused:
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #57 on: February 25, 2013, 09:05:09 PM »
post texas game, plus my std dev is for the model not the data (and michi said his was estimated).

He estimated 6.8%

:confused:
I dunno looks like he was wrong (probably didn't normalize quite correctly, should be divided by (n-1)).

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #58 on: February 25, 2013, 09:34:32 PM »
i didn't calculate or estimate anything, and i still got it completely right.  teamlazy&smart wins again.
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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #59 on: February 25, 2013, 09:40:53 PM »
i didn't calculate or estimate anything, and i still got it completely right.  teamlazy&smart wins again.

Whatever.  It's like my Silver Lake coach used to say "Stats are for losers that never played the game".

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #60 on: February 26, 2013, 10:49:04 AM »
post texas game, plus my std dev is for the model not the data (and michi said his was estimated).

He estimated 6.8%

:confused:
I dunno looks like he was wrong (probably didn't normalize quite correctly, should be divided by (n-1)).

I just took excel and made the end percentage of every game a data point. then used the excel functions. I'm not a pro, but the numbers seemed reasonable. And yes the 18.8% performance would skew the Std. Dev.

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Re: ErWINning formula (again); UT ADV
« Reply #61 on: February 26, 2013, 10:49:24 AM »
post texas game, plus my std dev is for the model not the data (and michi said his was estimated).

He estimated 6.8%

:confused:
I dunno looks like he was wrong (probably didn't normalize quite correctly, should be divided by (n-1)).

I just took excel and made the end percentage of every game a data point. then used the excel functions. I'm not a pro, but the numbers seemed reasonable. And yes the 18.8% performance would skew the Std. Dev.

still, it feels good to be right.