they are a good team that didn't have a good game against us on the road. now, we probably had a reason to do with them not having a good game. we didn't necessarily play all that well either (shot 57% from FT line, 23.5% from 3 and 44% from the field), and IIRC, Xavier got in some foul trouble early with one of their bigs. we probably should win this game, but that's under the assumption that we (a) shoot well and (c) crawford doesn't go off. we could certainly turn in a terrible performance offensively and defensively, we've done it before this season against teams we should have beaten. I think the line is 4 or 4.5, which seems about right.