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then we're going to lose to wisconsin
we're going to beat southern miss like emmit till
Kenpom says....Round of 32: 71.9%Sweet 16: 26.7%Elite 8: 10.6%Final 4: 3.4%Champ game: 1.2%Champs: 0.4%1 in 271 to win it!
Quote from: GoodForAnother on March 11, 2012, 06:18:41 PMwe're going to beat southern miss like emmit till
good thing I put my entire life savings on us to the sweet sixteen yesterday also my elderly grandfather's life insurance policy
Quote from: GoodForAnother on March 13, 2012, 01:57:34 PMgood thing I put my entire life savings on us to the sweet sixteen yesterday also my elderly grandfather's life insurance policy that must have been one hell of a collection of lynchin' ropes and klan robes.
Quote from: nicname on March 13, 2012, 02:28:30 PMQuote from: GoodForAnother on March 13, 2012, 01:57:34 PMgood thing I put my entire life savings on us to the sweet sixteen yesterday also my elderly grandfather's life insurance policy that must have been one hell of a collection of lynchin' ropes and klan robes.it was just a joke man!I'm extremely not very racist at all!
Quote from: ksu_FAN on March 12, 2012, 06:42:38 AMKenpom says....Round of 32: 71.9%Sweet 16: 26.7%Elite 8: 10.6%Final 4: 3.4%Champ game: 1.2%Champs: 0.4%1 in 271 to win it!REVISE PLS!!1!
Before we begin: credit to the numbers here go out to Daniel Myers @DSMok1 and his NCAA statistical plus-minus sheet. I have my own version (which I made about a day before his), but it didnt' respond to Sports-Reference's reformatting very well.If we assume that Melo's minutes get replaced by Christmas, and also slightly replaced by James Southerland, we see the following:Efficiency Margin per 100 (with Melo having high Minutes%): 31.7Efficiency Margin per 100 (with Melo's minutes replaced by Christmas, then Southerland): 30.4This is a difference of -1.3 points per 100 possessions, or just -0.82 points per game, in total point margin. So Syracuse moves from a (rough statistical estimate:) #6 team to a #9 team.Why does this happen?I will show you.I am just making some guesses here, but:-Melo was playing 58% of Cuse's minutes beforehand...he missed a few games. So I bump this up to 74% to compensate/guesstimate.-Also to compensate, I bump underrated James Southerland's minutes down by 0.1%, and Christmas' minutes down by 16%.So we then get the following:
Quote from: GoodForAnother on March 13, 2012, 02:29:32 PMQuote from: nicname on March 13, 2012, 02:28:30 PMQuote from: GoodForAnother on March 13, 2012, 01:57:34 PMgood thing I put my entire life savings on us to the sweet sixteen yesterday also my elderly grandfather's life insurance policy that must have been one hell of a collection of lynchin' ropes and klan robes.it was just a joke man!I'm extremely not very racist at all!
