Author Topic: Last 5 road games  (Read 3143 times)

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Offline Powercat Posse

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Last 5 road games
« on: February 28, 2012, 08:41:02 PM »
40-79 3pt,  50.6%    :love:

12-17
6-9
7-20
8-21
7-12


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Offline kougar24

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #1 on: February 28, 2012, 08:42:32 PM »
40-79 3pt,  50.6%    :love:

12-17
6-9
7-20
8-21
7-12

It's clear the Briggs tarp is a huge distraction to the boys. :dubious:

Offline Dugout DickStone

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #2 on: February 28, 2012, 08:48:20 PM »
There is no explanation, no matter how high your bbiq.

Offline michigancat

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #3 on: February 28, 2012, 09:09:36 PM »
There is no explanation, no matter how high your bbiq.

The explanation is that three point shooting is a lottery...

...that we are winning (on the road). :gocho:

Offline Powercat Posse

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #4 on: February 28, 2012, 11:29:00 PM »
Since right before we went out to Hawaii (21 games since then)

Gruds 37-81 (45.7%)
Angel 25-64 (39.1%)
Tay 13-28  ( 46.4%)
Spradling 29-90 (32.2%) --- and this thread not intended to rag on Will.  Just showing what our shooters are doing
 Samuels 14-42 (33.3%)

And the 12 games away from the OOD
Gruds 22-46 (47.8%)
Angel 16-36 (44.4%)
Tay 9-16 (56.2%)
Spradling 17-51 (33.3%)
Samuels 9-20 (45.0%)

So those 5 are 73-169 (43.2%) away from home last 12 games.   Did not include Shane or Jones in this because Shane doesnt shoot many and Jones has been hurt.

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #5 on: February 29, 2012, 12:49:50 PM »
Here are the home/road adv stats for the Big 12 season.



Most glaring difference home/away is our first half shooting. Nearly 5% better on the road. Also worse o-boarding at home in the first half. FT rate difference home/away is not a surprise.

Offline schreds21

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #6 on: February 29, 2012, 01:21:26 PM »
There is no explanation, no matter how high your bbiq.

The explanation is that three point shooting is a lottery...

...that we are winning (on the road). :gocho:

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #7 on: February 29, 2012, 01:22:45 PM »
Here's something weird to munch on: if you look at RPI, K-State's 3 best HOME victories are:

1. Missouri
2. Texas
3. Charleston Southern  :sdeek:

Offline steve dave

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #8 on: February 29, 2012, 01:24:19 PM »
Here's something weird to munch on: if you look at RPI, K-State's 3 best HOME victories are:

1. Missouri
2. Texas
3. Charleston Southern  :sdeek:

 :sdeek:

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #9 on: February 29, 2012, 01:40:11 PM »
Home Big 12 3PT shooting: 28.3%
Road Big 12 3PT shooting: 38.8%

Home Big 12 2PT shooting: 57.4%
Road Big 12 2PT shooting: 55.1%

Home Big 12 3PT attempts: 15.9
Road Big 12 3PT attempts: 16.9

Shooting from three is 10% better on the road is just strange. And the closest explanation is Rusty's.

EDIT: Error in original calculations; actually 28.3% at home.
« Last Edit: February 29, 2012, 02:16:00 PM by ksu_FAN »

Offline Winters

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #10 on: February 29, 2012, 01:46:15 PM »
Here's something weird to munch on: if you look at RPI, K-State's 3 best HOME victories are:

1. Missouri
2. Texas
3. Charleston Southern  :sdeek:

 :sdeek:
Always knew that was a good win!
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Offline JKEYS

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #11 on: February 29, 2012, 01:48:02 PM »
Since right before we went out to Hawaii (21 games since then)

Gruds 37-81 (45.7%)
Angel 25-64 (39.1%)
Tay 13-28  ( 46.4%)
Spradling 29-90 (32.2%) --- and this thread not intended to rag on Will.  Just showing what our shooters are doing
 Samuels 14-42 (33.3%)

And the 12 games away from the OOD
Gruds 22-46 (47.8%)
Angel 16-36 (44.4%)
Tay 9-16 (56.2%)
Spradling 17-51 (33.3%)
Samuels 9-20 (45.0%)

So those 5 are 73-169 (43.2%) away from home last 12 games.   Did not include Shane or Jones in this because Shane doesnt shoot many and Jones has been hurt.

So...we're better off with Jam-Sam shooting 3's than Will?  :sdeek:
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Offline Winters

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #12 on: February 29, 2012, 01:49:03 PM »
Here's something weird to munch on: if you look at RPI, K-State's 3 best HOME victories are:

1. Missouri
2. Texas
3. Charleston Southern  :sdeek:
Also, goes to show how much we have sucked at home.
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Offline Powercat Posse

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #13 on: February 29, 2012, 02:09:29 PM »
1st half defense on the road.  43 eFG%.   Sweet.   

Only Ku had higher than 50 eFG% on us in the 1st half.    The other true road game (VT) our 1st half D was good too

Home losses by 2,3,4,6....... would have been nice to see the 3Pt shooting be better at home.

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #14 on: February 29, 2012, 04:18:52 PM »
Here's something weird to munch on: if you look at RPI, K-State's 3 best HOME victories are:

1. Missouri
2. Texas
3. Charleston Southern  :sdeek:
Also, goes to show how much we have sucked at home.

If we were undefeated at home, Charleston Southern would be our 7th best home win

Offline kougar24

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #15 on: March 01, 2012, 07:51:44 AM »
Since right before we went out to Hawaii (21 games since then)

Gruds 37-81 (45.7%)
Angel 25-64 (39.1%)
Tay 13-28  ( 46.4%)
Spradling 29-90 (32.2%) --- and this thread not intended to rag on Will.  Just showing what our shooters are doing
 Samuels 14-42 (33.3%)

And the 12 games away from the OOD
Gruds 22-46 (47.8%)
Angel 16-36 (44.4%)
Tay 9-16 (56.2%)
Spradling 17-51 (33.3%)
Samuels 9-20 (45.0%)

So those 5 are 73-169 (43.2%) away from home last 12 games.   Did not include Shane or Jones in this because Shane doesnt shoot many and Jones has been hurt.

Tay...goodness.

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #16 on: March 01, 2012, 08:57:32 AM »
The Octagon of Bad 3 Point Shooting?



After finding that we have shot 10% better from 3 on the road this year compared to at home, I looked back at the last 5 years to see if there was any trend. We have shot worse at home 3 of the last 4 years, and this year is the 2nd year of the last 3 where we shot worse than 30% at home. Last year we were really good shooting 3 point shots at home though. Granted, I don't know if any of those are really trends; if anything it probably gives more evidence to kenpom's "3 point shooting is a lottery" discussion of late.

Offline kougar24

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #17 on: March 01, 2012, 12:35:10 PM »
The Octagon of Bad 3 Point Shooting?



After finding that we have shot 10% better from 3 on the road this year compared to at home, I looked back at the last 5 years to see if there was any trend. We have shot worse at home 3 of the last 4 years, and this year is the 2nd year of the last 3 where we shot worse than 30% at home. Last year we were really good shooting 3 point shots at home though. Granted, I don't know if any of those are really trends; if anything it probably gives more evidence to kenpom's "3 point shooting is a lottery" discussion of late.

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Offline Powercat Posse

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #18 on: March 01, 2012, 02:12:42 PM »
Yikes, i cant believe we were that bad at home in 09-10.   26.7%  is just awful.   And we were shooting 20 per game, meening we were only making just over 5 per game.

Unless Shane improves his 3..... he really doesnt need to be taking any 3s next year.   So between Gruds-Angel-Will-Tay-Jones, we should be a decent 3 pt shooting team next year.   

Offline kougar24

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #19 on: March 01, 2012, 11:00:40 PM »
Why does everyone assume Will will be a good 3PT shooter next year? As far as I'm concerned, he's been bad as nearly as much as he's been "just okay," and never great.

I think his future as a shooter is a complete unknown.

Offline michigancat

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #20 on: March 01, 2012, 11:16:58 PM »
Why does everyone assume Will will be a good 3PT shooter next year? As far as I'm concerned, he's been bad as nearly as much as he's been "just okay," and never great.

I think his future as a shooter is a complete unknown.

his ft shooting is still high:

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/back_in_the_lab/

Offline Powercat Posse

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #21 on: March 02, 2012, 12:03:42 AM »
I have my doubts he will ever be a great shooter.    Last year from Big 12 play thru our NCAA tourney games, he shot 34.7% from 3.  In the non con this year he was 23-51.      He was 10-20 in our 4 toughest non con games (WV, Beach, Bama, at VT).   

So Big12/NCAAs of 2011 and non con of this year =  39.0% (31 games).   In those same games he shot 50.8% from 2pt. (33.3 in B12 this yr)   

I am hopeful his shooting slump wont carry over to his junior year.   I think he is capable of being a 40% 3pt, 50% 2pt, 85% FT guy for us next year.     


Offline kougar24

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #22 on: March 02, 2012, 12:05:46 AM »
Why does everyone assume Will will be a good 3PT shooter next year? As far as I'm concerned, he's been bad as nearly as much as he's been "just okay," and never great.

I think his future as a shooter is a complete unknown.

his ft shooting is still high:

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/back_in_the_lab/

Seems to be a weak correlation at best.

Offline michigancat

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #23 on: March 02, 2012, 12:25:50 AM »
Why does everyone assume Will will be a good 3PT shooter next year? As far as I'm concerned, he's been bad as nearly as much as he's been "just okay," and never great.

I think his future as a shooter is a complete unknown.

his ft shooting is still high:

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/back_in_the_lab/

Seems to be a weak correlation at best.

Still, it's a correlation. He also shot OK last season.

Offline sys

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Re: Last 5 road games
« Reply #24 on: March 02, 2012, 12:33:34 AM »
Seems to be a weak correlation at best.

Still, it's a correlation. He also shot OK last season.

it's by far the best means of evaluating how well a player can shoot, or has the potential to shoot.
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