Author Topic: ChiRP PreBowl Ranking (Read 5277 times)

CHONGS · « **on:** December 07, 2011, 09:08:58 PM »

Yes the most accurate ranking system is back. Chingon has forwarded to me his results from his supercomputer ranking system (ChiRP). It has been 83% against the spread this year. (Go back and check the predictions). While controversial it looks like ChiRP agreed with the BCS.

Rank	Team	Off Power	Def Power	Power PLUS	P Win%
1	LSU	43.8.	8.32.	35.5.	1.0.
2	Alabama	37.1.	8.78.	28.4.	0.937.
3	Oklahoma State	40.2.	14.4.	25.8.	0.915.
4	Boise State	35.7.	12.9.	22.8.	0.915.
5	Stanford	42.5.	18.6.	23.9.	0.898.
6	Oregon	37.9.	11.3.	26.6.	0.869.
7	Wisconsin	47.0.	19.8.	27.3.	0.844.
8	Kansas State	38.0.	16.9.	21.2.	0.839.
9	Houston	35.2.	24.3.	10.9.	0.834.
10	South Carolina	30.3.	16.4.	13.9.	0.815.
13	Arkansas	37.7.	24.3.	13.4.	0.789.

I would have stopped at the top ten, but I didn't want our bowl opponent to be left out.

Score predictos a little bit closer to GAME TIME.

puniraptor · « **Reply #1 on:** December 07, 2011, 09:10:32 PM »

Quote from: mind-spirit-cats on December 07, 2011, 09:08:58 PM

Yes the most accurate ranking system is back. Chingon has forwarded to me his results from his supercomputer ranking system (ChiRP). It has been 83% against the spread this year. (Go back and check the predictions). While controversial it looks like ChiRP agreed with the BCS.

I don't see Michigan or VT in there...

kim carnes · « **Reply #2 on:** December 07, 2011, 09:10:46 PM »

EllToPay · « **Reply #3 on:** December 07, 2011, 09:28:18 PM »

steve dave · « **Reply #4 on:** December 07, 2011, 09:32:58 PM »

The chirp is the finest rankings system of all time.

Dr Rick Daris · « **Reply #5 on:** December 07, 2011, 09:39:45 PM »

the fact that we have the chirp and that it is exclusive to this website is proof that bsac is putting together a quality place. it's like a major league baseball team and we have a legit #1 wrapped up for the next six years.

SwiftCat · « **Reply #6 on:** December 07, 2011, 10:57:40 PM »

So blessed etc.

MarilynKay · « **Reply #7 on:** December 07, 2011, 11:35:02 PM »

Quote from: mind-spirit-cats on December 07, 2011, 09:08:58 PM

Yes the most accurate ranking system is back. Chingon has forwarded to me his results from his supercomputer ranking system (ChiRP). It has been 83% against the spread this year. (Go back and check the predictions). While controversial it looks like ChiRP agreed with the BCS.

<table class='Output'>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Rank</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Team</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Off Power</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Def Power</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Power PLUS</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>P Win%</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>1</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>LSU</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>43.8.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>8.32.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>35.5.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>1.0.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>2</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Alabama</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>37.1.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>8.78.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>28.4.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.937.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>3</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Oklahoma State</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>40.2.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>14.4.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>25.8.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.915.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>4</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Boise State</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>35.7.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>12.9.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>22.8.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.915.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>5</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Stanford</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>42.5.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>18.6.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>23.9.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.898.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>6</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Oregon</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>37.9.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>11.3.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>26.6.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.869.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>7</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Wisconsin</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>47.0.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>19.8.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>27.3.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.844.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>8</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Kansas State</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>38.0.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>16.9.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>21.2.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.839.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>9</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Houston</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>35.2.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>24.3.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>10.9.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.834.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>10</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>South Carolina</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>30.3.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>16.4.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>13.9.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.815.</td>

</tr>

<tr style='vertical-align: baseline;'>

<td style='text-align: left;'>13</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>Arkansas</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>37.7.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>24.3.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>13.4.</td>

<td style='text-align: left;'>0.789.</td>

</tr>

</table>

I would have stopped at the top ten, but I didn't want our bowl opponent to be left out.

Score predictos a little bit closer to GAME TIME.

hmmm....interesting. Especially since Arkansas played S.C. this year and won 44 to 28. Interesting indeed.

And since this ranking system is proprietary to this particular site, I think I'll just wait and see. After all, that's the only way anyone will truly know just how much better Arkansas is vs. Kansas.

AbeFroman · « **Reply #8 on:** December 07, 2011, 11:45:12 PM »

oh man this thread might get to 200 pages. ChiRP is going to blow methpigaggie minds

SwiftCat · « **Reply #9 on:** December 07, 2011, 11:54:53 PM »

Just do a search of the chiRP and you will see just how real it is. It's the best thing to come out of this site since the Ain't No Seats thread.

AbeFroman · « **Reply #10 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:00:50 AM »

Quote from: travelhog on December 07, 2011, 11:52:16 PM

Quote from: AbeFroman on December 07, 2011, 11:45:12 PM
oh man this thread might get to 200 pages. ChiRP is going to blow methpigaggie minds

So you admit it's purposely made up. Not only that but you relish the fact all you guys do is lie and make crap up while trying to pass it off as fact. No wonder no one gives your MB any credibility.

Don't be a dumbass. It is real, it has a formula, it has merit. It's just controversial, much like every other poll in college football

Dr Rick Daris · « **Reply #11 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:03:27 AM »

Quote from: travelhog on December 07, 2011, 11:41:09 PM

Yet another thing made up on this board. And the lies just keep coming....

why do you think it is made up? it's not. you can search it. any computer generated statistical system like this is going to have some people that like it and some people that don't. juse because you don't doesn't mean that it is made up. sorry friend.

MarilynKay · « **Reply #12 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:06:34 AM »

Quote from: AbeFroman on December 08, 2011, 12:00:50 AM

Quote from: travelhog on December 07, 2011, 11:52:16 PM
Quote from: AbeFroman on December 07, 2011, 11:45:12 PM
oh man this thread might get to 200 pages. ChiRP is going to blow methpigaggie minds

So you admit it's purposely made up. Not only that but you relish the fact all you guys do is lie and make crap up while trying to pass it off as fact. No wonder no one gives your MB any credibility.

Don't be a dumbass. It is real, it has a formula, it has merit. It's just controversial, much like every other poll in college football

and of course, explaining the formula would jeopardize the merit. Kind of like when you ask your insurance company to explain how they calculate mod factors and reimbursement rates.

Is this ranking system copy written? What sort of algorithm is utilized? What stats are used?

Oh, wait--I'm just a girl, I couldn't possibly understand football--much less the complexity of your rating system

SwiftCat · « **Reply #13 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:11:28 AM »

Just ask Chingon, he's the creator. Best guess is that he doesn't give out trade secrets to opposing team fans.

MarilynKay · « **Reply #14 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:14:13 AM »

Quote from: SwiftCat on December 08, 2011, 12:11:28 AM

Just ask Chingon, he's the creator. Best guess is that he doesn't give out trade secrets to opposing team fans.

How is rankings calculations "trade secrets"? Unless of course there are shenanigans in the way the rankings are calculated...
No! You guys (and girls I guess) would never, ever engage in shenanigans!

theymightbegiants · « **Reply #15 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:14:38 AM »

Quote from: MarilynKay on December 08, 2011, 12:06:34 AM

Quote from: AbeFroman on December 08, 2011, 12:00:50 AM
Quote from: travelhog on December 07, 2011, 11:52:16 PM
Quote from: AbeFroman on December 07, 2011, 11:45:12 PM
oh man this thread might get to 200 pages. ChiRP is going to blow methpigaggie minds

So you admit it's purposely made up. Not only that but you relish the fact all you guys do is lie and make crap up while trying to pass it off as fact. No wonder no one gives your MB any credibility.

Don't be a dumbass. It is real, it has a formula, it has merit. It's just controversial, much like every other poll in college football

and of course, explaining the formula would jeopardize the merit. Kind of like when you ask your insurance company to explain how they calculate mod factors and reimbursement rates.

Is this ranking system copy written? What sort of algorithm is utilized? What stats are used?

Oh, wait--I'm just a girl, I couldn't possibly understand football--much less the complexity of your rating system

I was a hater too when I first joined the site. Sometimes it would pick the cats to lose and I would call BS. After a while I took a look and it is scary close at predicting the correct score.

Dr Rick Daris · « **Reply #16 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:14:53 AM »

Quote from: travelhog on December 08, 2011, 12:04:52 AM

Quote from: rick daris on December 08, 2011, 12:03:27 AM
Quote from: travelhog on December 07, 2011, 11:41:09 PM
Yet another thing made up on this board. And the lies just keep coming....

why do you think it is made up? it's not. you can search it. any computer generated statistical system like this is going to have some people that like it and some people that don't. juse because you don't doesn't mean that it is made up. sorry friend.

Made.

Up.

TOTALLY REAL!

MarilynKay · « **Reply #17 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:17:55 AM »

Quote from: rick daris on December 08, 2011, 12:14:53 AM

Quote from: travelhog on December 08, 2011, 12:04:52 AM
Quote from: rick daris on December 08, 2011, 12:03:27 AM
Quote from: travelhog on December 07, 2011, 11:41:09 PM
Yet another thing made up on this board. And the lies just keep coming....

why do you think it is made up? it's not. you can search it. any computer generated statistical system like this is going to have some people that like it and some people that don't. juse because you don't doesn't mean that it is made up. sorry friend.

Made.

Up.

TOTALLY REAL!

something I found in basic statistics, intro to business law, and working in the insurance industry--all stats can be skewed to support whatever theory/team/results you want to prove or disprove.

So, I guess--we'll have to wait and see what happens. Won't we!?

SwiftCat · « **Reply #18 on:** December 08, 2011, 12:28:18 AM »

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=14918.0

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=15086.0

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=15309.0

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=15532.0

It really isn't that hard.

MarilynKay · « **Reply #19 on:** December 08, 2011, 07:50:19 AM »

Quote from: SwiftCat on December 08, 2011, 12:28:18 AM

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=14918.0

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=15086.0

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=15309.0

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=15532.0

It really isn't that hard.

Ahhh Hell---no one likes this "chiRP system", until he puts Kstate above Arkansas!

Oh well, like I said--I prefer to wait until the game, then we'll see who the top team is.

mcmwcat · « **Reply #20 on:** December 08, 2011, 07:56:29 AM »

mcmwcat · « **Reply #21 on:** December 08, 2011, 07:58:00 AM »

chings, is Southern Cal eligible for the ChiRP?

wes mantooth · « **Reply #22 on:** December 08, 2011, 08:10:43 AM »

Quote from: MarilynKay on December 08, 2011, 12:17:55 AM

Quote from: rick daris on December 08, 2011, 12:14:53 AM
Quote from: travelhog on December 08, 2011, 12:04:52 AM
Quote from: rick daris on December 08, 2011, 12:03:27 AM
Quote from: travelhog on December 07, 2011, 11:41:09 PM
Yet another thing made up on this board. And the lies just keep coming....

why do you think it is made up? it's not. you can search it. any computer generated statistical system like this is going to have some people that like it and some people that don't. juse because you don't doesn't mean that it is made up. sorry friend.

Made.

Up.

TOTALLY REAL!

something I found in basic statistics, intro to business law, and working in the insurance industry--all stats can be skewed to support whatever theory/team/results you want to prove or disprove.

So, I guess--we'll have to wait and see what happens. Won't we!?

Marilyn totally big timing us selling insurance. It's time to give up the fight guys.

Rage Against the McKee · « **Reply #23 on:** December 08, 2011, 08:20:47 AM »

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=14942.0

This was an impressive week for ChiRP.

MarilynKay · « **Reply #24 on:** December 08, 2011, 10:22:07 AM »

Quote from: wes mantooth on December 08, 2011, 08:10:43 AM

Quote from: MarilynKay on December 08, 2011, 12:17:55 AM
Quote from: rick daris on December 08, 2011, 12:14:53 AM
Quote from: travelhog on December 08, 2011, 12:04:52 AM
Quote from: rick daris on December 08, 2011, 12:03:27 AM
Quote from: travelhog on December 07, 2011, 11:41:09 PM
Yet another thing made up on this board. And the lies just keep coming....

why do you think it is made up? it's not. you can search it. any computer generated statistical system like this is going to have some people that like it and some people that don't. juse because you don't doesn't mean that it is made up. sorry friend.

Made.

Up.

TOTALLY REAL!

something I found in basic statistics, intro to business law, and working in the insurance industry--all stats can be skewed to support whatever theory/team/results you want to prove or disprove.

So, I guess--we'll have to wait and see what happens. Won't we!?

Marilyn totally big timing us selling insurance. It's time to give up the fight guys.

No, I didn't, don't and won't sell insurance. I have a hard time lying to people...not salesperson material.