Author Topic: BCS Odds (Read 17141 times)

Coley · « **on:** November 27, 2011, 06:09:25 PM »

So where do we land in the BCS this week? I say we stay at 11.

TheHamburglar · « **Reply #1 on:** November 27, 2011, 06:39:17 PM »

70% we stay at 11
30% we drop to 12

We had a .0256 lead on South Carolina and they made up .0105 in the Coaches/Harris poll. On top of that they beat a decent opponent in Clemson to help them in the computers. 30%-40% shot they jump us.

kim carnes · « **Reply #2 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:20:23 PM »

What if Michigan can't get to 14 even if Georgia loses? I can see Georgia not falling at all, even with a loss.

Coley · « **Reply #3 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:21:23 PM »

Stayed at number #11. .002 points ahead of South Carolina.

EMAW SP8 · « **Reply #4 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:22:06 PM »

michigan drops to 16!!!!

Cats still in the running for the sugar!! (hoping that georgia keeps it close against LSU this weekend)

wetwillie · « **Reply #5 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:23:12 PM »

3 top 25 wins

pike · « **Reply #6 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:26:54 PM »

I don't really care about a BCS game, but if Michigan somehow gets one over us it would be bull crap. Glad we have Shulzy and Currie tho.

kim carnes · « **Reply #7 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:28:54 PM »

Quote from: pike on November 27, 2011, 07:26:54 PM

I don't really care about a BCS game, but if Michigan somehow gets one over us it would be bull crap. Glad we have Shulzy and Currie tho.

Ummm... they will definitely get a BCS bid over us if they get into the top 14 of the BCS standings. That isn't even in question.

EllToPay · « **Reply #8 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:29:35 PM »

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:28:54 PM

Quote from: pike on November 27, 2011, 07:26:54 PM
I don't really care about a BCS game, but if Michigan somehow gets one over us it would be bull crap. Glad we have Shulzy and Currie tho.

Ummm... they will definitely get a BCS bid over us if they get into the top 14 of the BCS standings. That isn't even in question.

they don't have anymore games.

pike · « **Reply #9 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:30:55 PM »

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:28:54 PM

Quote from: pike on November 27, 2011, 07:26:54 PM
I don't really care about a BCS game, but if Michigan somehow gets one over us it would be bull crap. Glad we have Shulzy and Currie tho.

Ummm... they will definitely get a BCS bid over us if they get into the top 14 of the BCS standings. That isn't even in question.

And it would be absolute bull crap. Further proving the insolvency of the BCS.

kim carnes · « **Reply #10 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:31:08 PM »

Quote from: EllToPay on November 27, 2011, 07:29:35 PM

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:28:54 PM
Quote from: pike on November 27, 2011, 07:26:54 PM
I don't really care about a BCS game, but if Michigan somehow gets one over us it would be bull crap. Glad we have Shulzy and Currie tho.

Ummm... they will definitely get a BCS bid over us if they get into the top 14 of the BCS standings. That isn't even in question.

they don't have anymore games.

Yeah, but Mich St plays Wisconsin, and Georgia plays LSU, so there is a good chance they could get to #14 next week.

Pendergast · « **Reply #11 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:32:50 PM »

Would be shocked to see Georgia fall below Michigan.

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #12 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:42:38 PM »

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:31:08 PM

Quote from: EllToPay on November 27, 2011, 07:29:35 PM
Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:28:54 PM
Quote from: pike on November 27, 2011, 07:26:54 PM
I don't really care about a BCS game, but if Michigan somehow gets one over us it would be bull crap. Glad we have Shulzy and Currie tho.

Ummm... they will definitely get a BCS bid over us if they get into the top 14 of the BCS standings. That isn't even in question.

they don't have anymore games.

Yeah, but Mich St plays Wisconsin, and Georgia plays LSU, so there is a good chance they could get to #14 next week.

This. Michigan will be 14 next Sunday night.

ednksu · « **Reply #13 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:49:32 PM »

talking heads saying Mich/K-State v. Houston in Sugar.

Also Big East is trash.

kim carnes · « **Reply #14 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:50:25 PM »

If Georgia stays close to LSU, they could stay ahead of Michigan, and Michigan will only move up to #15 next week ahead of whoever loses the Big 10 championship.

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #15 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:57:47 PM »

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:50:25 PM

If Georgia stays close to LSU, they could stay ahead of Michigan, and Michigan will only move up to #15 next week ahead of whoever loses the Big 10 championship.

Could happen, but very doubtful. Still, Iguess this gives us another upset to hope for: Southern Miss over Hoston or Georgia over LSU!

The3ears · « **Reply #16 on:** November 27, 2011, 07:58:56 PM »

Our best chance is:
  1. OSU beat OU, Somehow got to the top two (Either GA beat LSU, or enough voters does not want to the rematch) and goes to the NCG.
  2. Feista pick KSU due to the ties with big12.

Michigan will be picked over us if it get into the top 14. This will help prevent that:
  1. LSU lose to GA
  2. Clemson beat VT (so Clemson will like to jump over Michigan)

kim carnes · « **Reply #17 on:** November 27, 2011, 08:00:26 PM »

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on November 27, 2011, 07:57:47 PM

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:50:25 PM
If Georgia stays close to LSU, they could stay ahead of Michigan, and Michigan will only move up to #15 next week ahead of whoever loses the Big 10 championship.

Could happen, but very doubtful. Still, Iguess this gives us another upset to hope for: Southern Miss over Hoston or Georgia over LSU!

No, if Georgia beats LSU then they get Sugar Bowl bid.

kim carnes · « **Reply #18 on:** November 27, 2011, 08:01:45 PM »

Quote from: The3ears on November 27, 2011, 07:58:56 PM

Our best chance is:
  1. OSU beat OU, Somehow got to the top two (Either GA beat LSU, or enough voters does not want to the rematch) and goes to the NCG.
  2. Feista pick KSU due to the ties with big12.

Michigan will be picked over us if it get into the top 14. This will help prevent that:
  1. LSU lose to GA
  2. Clemson beat VT (so Clemson will like to jump over Michigan)

This isn't even possible.

The3ears · « **Reply #19 on:** November 27, 2011, 08:05:59 PM »

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 08:00:26 PM

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on November 27, 2011, 07:57:47 PM
Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:50:25 PM
If Georgia stays close to LSU, they could stay ahead of Michigan, and Michigan will only move up to #15 next week ahead of whoever loses the Big 10 championship.

Could happen, but very doubtful. Still, Iguess this gives us another upset to hope for: Southern Miss over Hoston or Georgia over LSU!

No, if Georgia beats LSU then they get Sugar Bowl bid.

Yes. This means LSU miss the BCS. OSU goes to the NCG.
However, we should hope VT win, as VT will most likely still stay ahead of us with a lose.

kim carnes · « **Reply #20 on:** November 27, 2011, 08:07:01 PM »

Quote from: The3ears on November 27, 2011, 08:05:59 PM

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 08:00:26 PM
Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on November 27, 2011, 07:57:47 PM
Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:50:25 PM
If Georgia stays close to LSU, they could stay ahead of Michigan, and Michigan will only move up to #15 next week ahead of whoever loses the Big 10 championship.

Could happen, but very doubtful. Still, Iguess this gives us another upset to hope for: Southern Miss over Hoston or Georgia over LSU!

No, if Georgia beats LSU then they get Sugar Bowl bid.

Yes. This means LSU miss the BCS. OSU goes to the NCG.
However, we should hope VT win, as VT will most likely still stay ahead of us with a lose.

LSU is going to the NC no matter what happens next week, dude.

fatty fat fat · « **Reply #21 on:** November 27, 2011, 08:43:35 PM »

go sooners. they can't take a big 12 away from us

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #22 on:** November 27, 2011, 08:52:37 PM »

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 08:07:01 PM

Quote from: The3ears on November 27, 2011, 08:05:59 PM
Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 08:00:26 PM
Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on November 27, 2011, 07:57:47 PM
Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:50:25 PM
If Georgia stays close to LSU, they could stay ahead of Michigan, and Michigan will only move up to #15 next week ahead of whoever loses the Big 10 championship.

Could happen, but very doubtful. Still, Iguess this gives us another upset to hope for: Southern Miss over Hoston or Georgia over LSU!

No, if Georgia beats LSU then they get Sugar Bowl bid.

Yes. This means LSU miss the BCS. OSU goes to the NCG.
However, we should hope VT win, as VT will most likely still stay ahead of us with a lose.

LSU is going to the NC no matter what happens next week, dude.

Good point. A Georgia win would actually put 3 SEC teams into the BCS! That's because Georgia would AQ, but Alabama and LSU would probably remain 1 and 2. That's the only way that one conference can get 3 teams into the BCS. The SEC could actally fix the game so that LSU barely loses to Georgia, and the conference would then rake in another 16 million or so. If any conference would do it, its the SEC.

SdK · « **Reply #23 on:** November 27, 2011, 08:59:53 PM »

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on November 27, 2011, 08:52:37 PM

Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 08:07:01 PM
Quote from: The3ears on November 27, 2011, 08:05:59 PM
Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 08:00:26 PM
Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on November 27, 2011, 07:57:47 PM
Quote from: kim carnes on November 27, 2011, 07:50:25 PM
If Georgia stays close to LSU, they could stay ahead of Michigan, and Michigan will only move up to #15 next week ahead of whoever loses the Big 10 championship.

Could happen, but very doubtful. Still, Iguess this gives us another upset to hope for: Southern Miss over Hoston or Georgia over LSU!

No, if Georgia beats LSU then they get Sugar Bowl bid.

Yes. This means LSU miss the BCS. OSU goes to the NCG.
However, we should hope VT win, as VT will most likely still stay ahead of us with a lose.

LSU is going to the NC no matter what happens next week, dude.

Good point. A Georgia win would actually put 3 SEC teams into the BCS! That's because Georgia would AQ, but Alabama and LSU would probably remain 1 and 2. That's the only way that one conference can get 3 teams into the BCS. The SEC could actally fix the game so that LSU barely loses to Georgia, and the conference would then rake in another 16 million or so. If any conference would do it, its the SEC.

I HOPE IT HAPPENS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD

Panjandrum · « **Reply #24 on:** November 27, 2011, 09:06:12 PM »

Well, if I understood the BCS show correctly, should Houston win, the Sugar is down to Michigan and KSU, should Michigan become eligible.

Also, there are really only two games of relevance that probably impact Michigan's ability to get in: Big Ten Championship, SEC Championship.

With Michigan State sitting at 13, Georgia at 14, and Whisky at 15, it looks like Michigan is banking on sneaking up two spots with losses to two of those teams. But, the problem is that if Whisky wins, they'll leapfrog Michigan, and Michigan lost to MSU, so that may hurt their computer poll numbers.

I think the chances are high Michigan gets into the Top 14, but it's probably going to be pretty close.

Another thing to consider is Baylor sitting out there at #17. If Baylor can beat Texas, there is a chance Baylor can leapfrog Michigan in the human polls, and that would kill Michigan's chances at the BCS.