The more I think about it, I think Cotton will probably choose OSU if OU wins bedlam.
Let's look at the things the committee may consider:
- National Interest: Edge, OSU. OSU was a national title contender for most of the year, and therefore has a lot more media exposure this year. They also have much more high-scoring offense. K-State is a great story, and has the COTY LHC Bill Snyder angle, but the edge still goes to OSU. This is the most important factor because advertising dollars drive the decision-making process.
- Final BCS Ranking: Edge, OSU. Even is OU thumps OSU, they'll still finish higher than KSU.
- Matchups: Draw. Of the potential SEC opponents, I don't see that ither OSU or KSU has a more compelling matchup.
- Local Economy (Travel): Edge, KSU. This may seem counterintuitive, since OSU Is twice as close to Dallas, but K-Staters will actually use more hotel rooms because they are further away, and KSU will be a lot more excited about this game than OSU Fans.
What else will they look at?
Oh, and along these same lines, there is no way in hell Michigan does not go to Sugar Bowl. They're Michigan. Only chance now is for Houston to somehow lose to Southern Miss.