Some things that stand out...
1) Texas will likely be the best overall defense we've seen all year, thought OU and aTm have slightly better run defenses. It will be tough for the Cats to move the ball, but I think Snyder and staff will have an adequate gameplan to get it done. The positive is that UT has only been average at forcing turnovers. I'd say 25-30 will win this one.
2) Both teams feature great return games, but both teams have lost their best returners in the last two weeks. However, K-State has beenbetter in coverage. Either way the return game will be a big key in establishing field position for this game. In other STs match-ups both teams have solid punters and kickers. ST will likely be the key to this game, but its hard to call who has the advantage.
3) This game could come down to turnovers, and K-State was fortunate to lose TO margin last week and still win. However, last week was the only Big 12 game K-State has been negative in TO margin. UT has only had a positive turnover margin in one Big 12 game. This should be an advantage for K-State and I don't think we'll see a repeat of last week.
Key per play stats:
UT Off yards per play: 6.65 (#60)
UT Off points per play: .42 (#46)
UT Off TOs per possession: .024 (#60)
UT return game yards per return (KO and Punt): 21.22 (#7)
UT Def YPP: 4.72 (#13)
UT Def PPP: .32 (#32)
UT Def TO forced PP: .027 (#51)
UT return def YPR: 19.48 (#89)
KSU Off YPP: 5.13 (#90)
KSU Off PPP: .49 (#21)
KSU Off TOPP: .018 (#20)
KSU Ret YPP: 21.11 (#9)
KSU Def YPP: 5.92 (#90)
KSU Def PPP: .43 (#84)
KSU Def TOFPP: .032 (#22)
KSU Ret Def YPP: 16.54 (#29)
This will be a tough game (again), but I see no reason to pick against the Cats. I think we are the better team and we'll show it in Austin.
Cats 27
Horns 24