confidence falling

[steve dave]

#16 KANSAS ST at TEXAS

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS
The Horns are just a surprising 5-6 vs KSU. UT has been upset in all of the L/3 despite outgaining the Cats in each. LY UT QB Gilbert threw more int (5, tied UT rec’d) than surprise starting KSU QB Klein completed passes on the day (2-4 for 9 yd, 127 rush). KSU dealt Texas their most lopsided loss in 7Y, 39-14 (led 39-0)! The banged up Horns lost 17-5 at Missouri ending any talk about a BCS bowl bid. UT played most of the gm without their top 3 rushers (Brown and Bergeron out-CS) with wildcat QB Fozzy Whittaker (knee) KO’d on the 1st drive (OFY). As a result MO had the FD (19-13) and yd (338-247) edges and beat UT for the 1st time S/’97. UT is #1 B12 rush D (101, 3.5). KSU rallied from a 10 pt 4Q deficit to beat A&M at home in 4 OT’s! The Cats got career numbers from Klein (150 ypg, 59%, 10-5, 1009 rush) whose 3 OT TD’s vs the Ags put him in the FBS lead in rushing TD’s. KSU still allows just 117 rush ypg (3.8) but this is a step down facing a Fr QB after facing OU, OSU and A&M their L/3. Texas has their last Thurs Turkey Day showdown with rival A&M on deck while KSU has a bye but the Cats will have the Horns full attention after LY’s debacle and they have done well with Revenge games so far this season beating Iowa St and UCLA.
PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS 31 KANSAS ST 17

[kim carnes]

#16 KANSAS ST at TEXAS

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS
The Horns are just a surprising 5-6 vs KSU. UT has been upset in all of the L/3 despite outgaining the Cats in each. LY UT QB Gilbert threw more int (5, tied UT rec’d) than surprise starting KSU QB Klein completed passes on the day (2-4 for 9 yd, 127 rush). KSU dealt Texas their most lopsided loss in 7Y, 39-14 (led 39-0)! The banged up Horns lost 17-5 at Missouri ending any talk about a BCS bowl bid. UT played most of the gm without their top 3 rushers (Brown and Bergeron out-CS) with wildcat QB Fozzy Whittaker (knee) KO’d on the 1st drive (OFY). As a result MO had the FD (19-13) and yd (338-247) edges and beat UT for the 1st time S/’97. UT is #1 B12 rush D (101, 3.5). KSU rallied from a 10 pt 4Q deficit to beat A&M at home in 4 OT’s! The Cats got career numbers from Klein (150 ypg, 59%, 10-5, 1009 rush) whose 3 OT TD’s vs the Ags put him in the FBS lead in rushing TD’s. KSU still allows just 117 rush ypg (3.8) but this is a step down facing a Fr QB after facing OU, OSU and A&M their L/3. Texas has their last Thurs Turkey Day showdown with rival A&M on deck while KSU has a bye but the Cats will have the Horns full attention after LY’s debacle and they have done well with Revenge games so far this season beating Iowa St and UCLA.
PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS 31 KANSAS ST 17

31 points?   I don't buy it.

[AppleJack]

 

[pike]

Phil has whiffed on us every time this year, just like everyone else.

[EllToPay]

RISING!

http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=2011CFB_Week12Picks

[Kornheiser]

[Kat Kid]

really like this kornheiser guy.

[Rams]

#16 KANSAS ST at TEXAS

PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS 31 KANSAS ST 17

This is all I read ^^^

Can't handle all the weird rough ridin' abbreviations.

eff you, Phil.

[WillieWatanabe]

really like this kornheiser guy.

was afraid to say it.

[Cire]

We won't move the ball 2002 clone game

[pike]

#16 KANSAS ST at TEXAS

PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS 31 KANSAS ST 17

This is all I read ^^^

Can't handle all the weird rough ridin' abbreviations.

eff you, Phil.

Yeah eff Phil. It's like reading a second grader's paper about penguins or something.

[felix rex]

really like this kornheiser guy.

was afraid to say it.

I think it's how he stuck to his game plan. Never wavered.

[steaksdime]

#16 KANSAS ST at TEXAS

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS
The Horns are just a surprising 5-6 vs KSU. UT has been upset in all of the L/3 despite outgaining the Cats in each. LY UT QB Gilbert threw more int (5, tied UT rec’d) than surprise starting KSU QB Klein completed passes on the day (2-4 for 9 yd, 127 rush). KSU dealt Texas their most lopsided loss in 7Y, 39-14 (led 39-0)! The banged up Horns lost 17-5 at Missouri ending any talk about a BCS bowl bid. UT played most of the gm without their top 3 rushers (Brown and Bergeron out-CS) with wildcat QB Fozzy Whittaker (knee) KO’d on the 1st drive (OFY). As a result MO had the FD (19-13) and yd (338-247) edges and beat UT for the 1st time S/’97. UT is #1 B12 rush D (101, 3.5). KSU rallied from a 10 pt 4Q deficit to beat A&M at home in 4 OT’s! The Cats got career numbers from Klein (150 ypg, 59%, 10-5, 1009 rush) whose 3 OT TD’s vs the Ags put him in the FBS lead in rushing TD’s. KSU still allows just 117 rush ypg (3.8) but this is a step down facing a Fr QB after facing OU, OSU and A&M their L/3. Texas has their last Thurs Turkey Day showdown with rival A&M on deck while KSU has a bye but the Cats will have the Horns full attention after LY’s debacle and they have done well with Revenge games so far this season beating Iowa St and UCLA.
PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS 31 KANSAS ST 17

The fallacy in this is the concept is that UT would want revenge against ISU or KSU.

[8manpick]

RISING!

http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=2011CFB_Week12Picks

From the box score:

                                KSU                                          Texas
Rushes-Yards           28-120    Rushes-Yards               28-124
Comp-Att-Int           20-34-1    Comp-Att-Int              21-35-1
Time of Possession    30:16    Time of Possession        30:32

:dubiouser:
:dobiousest:

[Shacks]

Texas has their last Thurs Turkey Day showdown with rival A&M on deck while KSU has a bye but the Cats will have the Horns full attention after LY’s debacle and they have done well with Revenge games so far this season beating Iowa St and UCLA.
PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS 31 KANSAS ST 17

Phil is conveniently ignoring the outcomes of UT's revenge games against Oklahoma (55-17) and Oklahoma State (38-26)

[kso_FAN]

Ubben!

No. 13 Kansas State 17, No. 23 Texas 13: LHC Bill Snyder won't need much Texas wizardry in this one. K-State is the better team, and inexplicable 9.5-point underdogs. The Longhorns lock down on the K-State offense, but the Wildcats are more than capable of doing the same. We may see the fewest passes thrown in a Big 12 game all season in this one.

 

[Cire]

Ubben!

No. 13 Kansas State 17, No. 23 Texas 13: LHC LHC Bill Snyder won't need much Texas wizardry in this one. K-State is the better team, and inexplicable 9.5-point underdogs. The Longhorns lock down on the K-State offense, but the Wildcats are more than capable of doing the same. We may see the fewest passes thrown in a Big 12 game all season in this one.

 

REPEAT OF 02!!!!!

[slimz]

The line has had my confidence falling all week long, although it looks like it's fallen by .5-2 at some places. Everywhere I look people are like "easy money." 82% of Yahoo folks are picking K-State with the line.

Based on what we'd seen all season long (from these teams and Vegas), I expected a 5-6.5 line for Texas. When you can't explain a line, it can be bad news.   

I suppose you could point at K-State being down 14-0 in the last 3 games and generally slow starts, look at Texas' defense as being the best K-State has faced since OU, and project that K-State being down early will have more difficulty coming back. Still, Texas will have to score points themselves to cover that big a line. K-State running defense exposed against aTm?  Seems like our defensive backs matchup pretty well against Texas' quarterbacks, who sure don't seem to be very accurate and were sailing passes all around the secondary last week--opportunity for a turnover or two.

[steve dave]

The line has had my confidence falling all week long, although it looks like it's fallen by .5-2 at some places. Everywhere I look people are like "easy money." 82% of Yahoo folks are picking K-State with the line.

Based on what we'd seen all season long (from these teams and Vegas), I expected a 5-6.5 line for Texas. When you can't explain a line, it can be bad news.   

I suppose you could point at K-State being down 14-0 in the last 3 games and generally slow starts, look at Texas' defense as being the best K-State has faced since OU, and project that K-State being down early will have more difficulty coming back. Still, Texas will have to score points themselves to cover that big a line. K-State running defense exposed against aTm?  Seems like our defensive backs matchup pretty well against Texas' quarterbacks, who sure don't seem to be very accurate and were sailing passes all around the secondary last week--opportunity for a turnover or two.

yes, very scary