Assume we win out.
There are a total of 10 BCS slots. 6 big conf champs are automatic. BCS rule allow one guaranteed BCS spot to a non-Big Six conference champion if finishes in the top 12 or in the top 16 and its ranking is higher than that of a conference champion with an automatic berth.
Since Big east does not have a team ranked, there should be at least one slot for them. So there are only 3 "at large" slots left.
1. We won't win the big 12, (even OU or OSU both has two loses, we lose the tie break). We cannot get the automatic bid. So we can only hope for an at large bid.
2. Current BCS rule limits two teams from a conference, OSU will still be ranked ahead of us even if they lose the last two (very unlikely against ISU). For us to have a chance, we need OU to lose two more games (At Baylor and vs OSU).
3. BCS rule says At-large candidates must have at least nine victories and finish in the top 14 in the final BCS standings. We are currently #13. That rank will improve as we win the remian 2 games. So no problem on our qualification.
4. SEC will take one and only one at large slot. regarless. ( currently LSU, Bama, Ark and SC are all ahead of us)
5. Clemson and VT shall meet at the ACC Champ game, so the loser should drop below us.
6. Pac10 has two teams ahead. Oregon is #4. it will remain ahead of us even if they lose to USC. So it helps a great deal if Stanford lose another one.
Giving the great story we have this year, We shall be selected by a BCS if:
A. OU loses two more games
B. Stanford lose another game.