Author Topic: Confidence rising!  (Read 5748 times)

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Offline kso_FAN

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Confidence rising!
« on: November 10, 2011, 12:04:43 PM »
Key per play stats:

aTm Off yards per play: 6.29 (#27)
aTm Off points per play: .46 (#38)
aTm Off TOs per possession: .023 (#53)
aTm return game yards per return (KO and Punt): 15.74 (#102)

aTm Def YPP: 5.32 (#51)
aTm Def PPP: .36 (#54)
aTm Def TO forced PP: .010 (#119)
aTm return def YPR: 18.70 (#74)

KSU Off YPP: 5.12 (#92)
KSU Off PPP: .47 (#34)
KSU Off TOPP: .016 (#11)
KSU Ret YPP: 21.50 (#6)

KSU Def YPP: 5.99 (#93)
KSU Def PPP: .41 (#75)
KSU Def TOFPP: .035 (#20)
KSU Ret Def YPP: 16.25 (#27)

In looking at per play numbers, the only place aTm has a real advantage is in yards per play on offense and defense, but that's been the case with most of our opponents. 2 things really stand out in our favor; aTm is pretty bad in the return game and in TOs, especially in forcing TOs. I was slightly surprised that we are slightly better in offensive points per play. Unless K-State does something unconventional (likely multiple turnovers or a complete inability to run the ball) I don't see us losing this game. In fact, I think the win should be somewhat comfortable. I just think we are the better team and match up fairly well, especially given the injury to Michael.

Cats 41 - Aggies 27


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« Last Edit: November 11, 2011, 10:29:24 AM by ksu_FAN »

Offline MadCat

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2011, 12:06:45 PM »

Offline 8manpick

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Re: Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2011, 12:10:22 PM »
Did you factor in the untimely death of Tannehill?
:adios:

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2011, 12:13:19 PM »
Did you factor in the untimely death of Tannehill?

We win either way.

Offline Lefty

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2011, 12:14:34 PM »
textbook classic KITN scenario:

-key injury to opponent
-on paper advantages to our strengths
-controls destiny for Cotton bowl berth, top 10 finish
-home game
-look ahead possibilities towards CTR matchup
elitist since 1994

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2011, 12:15:34 PM »
textbook classic (leave that crap on kstatefans) scenario:

-key injury to opponent
-on paper advantages to our strengths
-controls destiny for Cotton bowl berth, top 10 finish
-home game
-look ahead possibilities towards CTR matchup

We've lost two games in a row, if any of those things are a problem I'll be very disappointed.

Offline steve dave

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2011, 12:24:08 PM »
-controls destiny for Cotton bowl berth

nope

Offline DQ12

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2011, 12:24:53 PM »


"You want to stand next to someone and not be able to hear them, walk your ass into Manhattan, Kansas." - [REDACTED]

Offline steve dave

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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2011, 12:27:04 PM »
-controls destiny for Cotton bowl berth

nope
YES.

 :curse:

no, denied



sd is right, the only bowl you can really control your own destiny for is the BCS game by winning the league.

Offline DQ12

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2011, 12:28:56 PM »
If we win out, we just have to get Cotton Bowl.  Have to.

 :cry:


"You want to stand next to someone and not be able to hear them, walk your ass into Manhattan, Kansas." - [REDACTED]

Offline steve dave

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #11 on: November 10, 2011, 12:30:35 PM »
If we win out, we just have to get Cotton Bowl.  Have to.

 :cry:

If OU loses to OSU they will get it.  sorry bro. 

Offline kso_FAN

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #12 on: November 10, 2011, 12:31:05 PM »
If we win out, we just have to get Cotton Bowl.  Have to.

 :cry:

If OU loses to OSU they will get it.  sorry bro. 

Still might get both in the BCS. Might.

Offline steve dave

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #13 on: November 10, 2011, 12:32:01 PM »
If we win out, we just have to get Cotton Bowl.  Have to.

 :cry:

If OU loses to OSU they will get it.  sorry bro. 

Still might get both in the BCS. Might.

sure, but we definitely don't control any of the factors on if they do or not

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #14 on: November 10, 2011, 12:32:38 PM »

 Unless K-State does something unconventional (likely multiple turnovers or a complete inability to run the ball) I don't see us losing this game. In fact, I think the win should be somewhat comfortable. I just think we are the better team and match up fairly well, especially given the injury to Michael.


 :emawkid:

Offline DQ12

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #15 on: November 10, 2011, 12:34:22 PM »
If we win out, we just have to get Cotton Bowl.  Have to.

 :cry:

If OU loses to OSU they will get it.  sorry bro.  

Still might get both in the BCS. Might.

sure, but we definitely don't control any of the factors on if they do or not
Who are we kidding?  

Oh well, I've never seen the River Walk.  The Builder's Square could be fun.


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Offline AbeFroman

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #16 on: November 10, 2011, 12:37:22 PM »
If we win out, we just have to get Cotton Bowl.  Have to.

 :cry:

If OU loses to OSU they will get it.  sorry bro. 

If OSU wins out they are in the National Title Game. As long as OU doesn't lose 70-0 to OSU they will get the Fiesta. If we win out we get 3rd and that would be the Cottan.

So yeah, go OSU.

Offline pike

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #17 on: November 10, 2011, 01:07:53 PM »
Last time we beat aTm we we're coming of a loss to Tech....big loss. And we 62-14'd em.

This time we're coming off two (2) losses  :chainsaw: :chainsaw: :chainsaw:
« Last Edit: November 10, 2011, 04:37:10 PM by pike »

Offline Winters

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #18 on: November 10, 2011, 01:12:17 PM »
Last time we beat aTm we we're coming of a loss to Tech....big loss. And we 66-14'd em.

This time we're coming off two (2) losses  :chainsaw: :chainsaw: :chainsaw:
Cool stat.  :cool:
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Offline 420seriouscat69

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #19 on: November 10, 2011, 01:23:48 PM »
Cotton Bowl > Alamo Bowl, Dallas < San Antonio  :thumbs:

Offline felix rex

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #20 on: November 10, 2011, 02:41:37 PM »
We are going to TOFPP the eff out of A&M's faces all day.
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Offline steve dave

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #21 on: November 10, 2011, 03:02:00 PM »
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#17 KANSAS ST vs TEXAS A&M

............. Rushing Passing Points TO’s
TEXAS A&M 138 320 32 2.8
KANSAS ST 197 160 33 0.8

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS
KSU has won 2 str and in their last game in ‘09 KSU was off a 66-14 loss to TT and came away with a shocking 62-14 win which they led 59-0! TY A&M is on their 2nd str AG and 3rd in 4W after LW’s 41-25 loss at OU in which they were done in by mistakes as they missed FG’s from 38 and 41, had a 14 yd P which set up a 31 yd TD pass, an int which set up a 28 yd TD drive and an int which set up a 39 yd TD pass. Ags’ #1 rusher Michael (899, 6.0) and WR Swope (874, 14.6) were KO’d in the 4Q and Michael is OFY. A&M allows 110 rush ypg (3.0). KSU took advantage of 4 TO’s and traded big play blows with #3 OSU but couldn’t cash it in the EZ on 3 pass plays from the OSU5 with :12 left in a 52-45 loss. Tough guy Klein leads FBS QB’s in rushing (906, 4.4) with more att on the ground than thru the air (136, 58%, 9-4). KSU is #96 pass eff D (303, 66%, 19-14). The Cats are +11 in TO margin while the Ags are -10. This one will be very close but A&M is desperate for a win and has more talent.

PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS A&M 35 KANSAS ST 34

Offline EllToPay

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #22 on: November 10, 2011, 03:37:38 PM »
This one will be very close but A&M is desperate for a win and has more talent.

really getting tired of the more talent talking point.

Offline kslim

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #23 on: November 10, 2011, 03:45:00 PM »
straight to the bottom

 :lynchmob:

Offline Shacks

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Re: Confidense rising!
« Reply #24 on: November 10, 2011, 04:30:35 PM »
If we win out, we just have to get Cotton Bowl.  Have to.

 :cry:

If OU loses to OSU they will get it.  sorry bro. 

Still might get both in the BCS. Might.

sure, but we definitely don't control any of the factors on if they do or not

Let's breakdown the BCS bids.  There are a total of ten.

ACC: 1
Big 12: 1
big 10: 1
Big East: 1
Pac 12: 1
SEC: 1

That leaves four at large bids.  The SEC will get two BCS teams, so we are down to three.  If Boise State is undefeated they will go to a BCS bowl.  Down to two.  The ACC and Big East are only getting one bid so we can count them out for at-large bids.  The loser of this weekend's Oregon/Stanford game will likely get an at-large bid as long as they win out.  I really don't see the big 10 getting a second BCS bowl.  That leaves us with one at-large bid.  The possible teams for this slot will be the loser of the OU/Okie ST game and Houston (if they win out).  Sorry, but no BCS bowl is going to pick Houston over the Sooners or Pokes.

If OU and OSU don't get upset between now and Bedlam (meaning the only remaining loss for either team is when they play each other) then they will both go to BCS bowls.  The only thing that could take away a second Big 12 BCS bowl (and thus knocking KSU down a slot) would be a second bid going to the big 10.  Doubt it happens, but we have a lot of football left to play.  Upsets happen and the BCS acts in mysterious ways.