I think St. John's could be a good dark horse for the final four. Not many people will pick them and they get pretty much a free ride to the sweet 16. Florida is also a little overseeded, imo.
florida is over seeded, but is better than st. john's. St. John's just needed a ref controversy to knock off Rutgers.
Yeah, but picking too much chalk in a pool with 20+ people gives you pretty low odds of winning, because most of those people will also pick a lot of chalk. If I pick St. John's to go to the final 4 and it happens, and I pick safely on the rest of the bracket, I will probably win. I think St. John's has about a 7% chance of getting there, especially when you consider they have already beaten Pitt. Picking nothing but 1's and 2's to the final four gives you less than a 5% chance of winning the pool, assuming that almost everybody else will be picking 3 1's and a 2.
