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Offline Dr Rick Daris

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if ksu beats mizzou
« on: February 25, 2011, 11:34:19 AM »
tomorrow. what % chance do you give them to make it out of the first weekend NCAA tourney?  :dunno:


i'm starting to feel pretty bouncy about the whole thing personally. kinda like i want to fight or something. my predicto would be @50%, which is prob too high but good grief how could you not get caught up in stuff?


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Offline CNS

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2011, 11:36:46 AM »
Early game is bad for us, imo.

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Offline EllToPay

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2011, 11:37:09 AM »
Quote from: Rick Daris on February 25, 2011, 11:34:19 AM
tomorrow. what % chance do you give them to make it out of the first weekend NCAA tourney?  :dunno:


i'm starting to feel pretty bouncy about the whole thing personally. kinda like i want to fight or something. my predicto would be @50%, which is prob too high but good grief how could you not get caught up in stuff?

depends if we get that wednesday off of the big 12 tourney, imo.
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Offline The1BigWillie

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #3 on: February 25, 2011, 11:37:42 AM »
We are not winning tomorrow.  Don't do this to yourself.

We'll slink into the tourney on the bubble and get donkey punched in the first round.
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Offline CNS

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #4 on: February 25, 2011, 11:38:45 AM »
Quote from: The1BigWillie on February 25, 2011, 11:37:42 AM
We are not winning tomorrow.  Don't do this to yourself.

We'll slink into the tourney on the bubble and get donkey punched in the first round.

If we lose to MU and TX, I don't think we do get in   :ohno:
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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #5 on: February 25, 2011, 11:57:27 AM »
Missouri is a must win. JMHO.
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Offline Dr Rick Daris

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #6 on: February 25, 2011, 11:58:36 AM »
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 25, 2011, 11:57:27 AM
Missouri is a must win. JMHO.

you didn't answer my original question  :blank:
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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #7 on: February 25, 2011, 11:59:38 AM »
Quote from: Rick Daris on February 25, 2011, 11:58:36 AM
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 25, 2011, 11:57:27 AM
Missouri is a must win. JMHO.

you didn't answer my original question  :blank:

40-ish%
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Offline Dr Rick Daris

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #8 on: February 25, 2011, 12:01:17 PM »
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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #9 on: February 25, 2011, 12:04:59 PM »
Quote from: Rick Daris on February 25, 2011, 12:01:17 PM
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 25, 2011, 11:59:38 AM
Quote from: Rick Daris on February 25, 2011, 11:58:36 AM
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 25, 2011, 11:57:27 AM
Missouri is a must win. JMHO.

you didn't answer my original question  :blank:

40-ish%

 :surprised:

This win still probably puts us on the 8/9 line, and that makes getting to the 2nd weekend tough. I'm expecting a loss @UT, but beat ISU and then get a good win in the Big 12 tournament and then things look up for a 7 seed.  Put us on the 7 line and I'd say >50%.  But right now with just a win against MU, still under 50%.
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Offline Dr Rick Daris

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #10 on: February 25, 2011, 12:08:12 PM »
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 25, 2011, 12:04:59 PM
Put us on the 7 line and I'd say >50%.  But right now with just a win against MU, still under 50%.


 :surprised: :surprised: :surprised:
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Offline EllToPay

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #11 on: February 25, 2011, 12:12:45 PM »
Quote from: Rick Daris on February 25, 2011, 12:08:12 PM
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 25, 2011, 12:04:59 PM
Put us on the 7 line and I'd say >50%.  But right now with just a win against MU, still under 50%.


 :surprised: :surprised: :surprised:

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #12 on: February 25, 2011, 12:13:59 PM »
>50% is probably a bit much. But I'd take our chances against most of the likely 2 seeds.
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Offline EllToPay

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #13 on: February 25, 2011, 12:15:28 PM »
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catzacker

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #14 on: February 25, 2011, 12:32:50 PM »
should we even make the tourney, I don't see how we get past the 1st weekend.  I think our seed range will be 7-10.  The #2 in our bracket will be a big east team, like f'ng Notre Dame or Villinova or GT or someone like that.  They'll destroy us.  And if we get on the 8/9 line, I mean, no f'ing way we beat Pitt or Ohio State or Duke.
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Offline steve dave

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #15 on: February 25, 2011, 12:39:05 PM »
second weekend would feel so damn elite  :horrorsurprise:
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Offline skycat

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #16 on: February 25, 2011, 03:36:09 PM »
Quote from: catzacker on February 25, 2011, 12:32:50 PM
should we even make the tourney, I don't see how we get past the 1st weekend.  I think our seed range will be 7-10.  The #2 in our bracket will be a big east team, like f'ng Notre Dame or Villinova or GT or someone like that.  They'll destroy us.  And if we get on the 8/9 line, I mean, no f'ing way we beat Pitt or Ohio State or Duke.

Quote from: http://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-tournament/bracket-projection/bracket-project
11.48%

That's as a 9 seed.
« Last Edit: February 25, 2011, 03:38:12 PM by skycat »
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Offline Dr Rick Daris

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #17 on: February 25, 2011, 03:37:54 PM »
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Offline hatingfrancisco

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #18 on: February 25, 2011, 04:21:31 PM »
Quote from: The1BigWillie on February 25, 2011, 11:37:42 AM
We are not winning tomorrow.  Don't do this to yourself.

We'll slink into the tourney on the bubble and get donkey punched in the first round.


 :jerk:
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Offline CatMission

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #19 on: February 25, 2011, 05:49:35 PM »
Don't forget that if we win tomorrow, we may send Mizzou into a free-fall as they finish @SLTH and UK at Paige Arena.  If we finish 2-1 and pick up a win in the Dr Pepper, I think we would end up a 7, maybe in a 6 depending on what else happens around us.

 :kstatriot:
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Offline skycat

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #20 on: February 25, 2011, 06:01:06 PM »
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #21 on: February 25, 2011, 06:06:12 PM »
This would put us second in the north then?  Does that mean we play the 3rd from the south :dunno:
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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #22 on: February 25, 2011, 07:39:11 PM »
Quote from: Chingon on February 25, 2011, 06:06:12 PM
This would put us second in the north then?  Does that mean we play the 3rd from the south :dunno:

Come on. Everyone knows 2nd in the north plays FIFTH in the south.
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Offline Stevesie60

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #23 on: February 25, 2011, 08:34:39 PM »
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Offline nicname

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Re: if ksu beats mizzou
« Reply #24 on: February 25, 2011, 10:29:21 PM »
http://kstateupdate.com/kansas-state-basketball/statseed-update/latest


StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is now projecting Kansas State as a seven seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Wildcats are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #25 in the RPI with a 19-9 overall record and a 7-6 record in the Big 12.

Over the last four games, Kansas State got a quality win against AP #3 Kansas and wins against Nebraska and Oklahoma but also struggled with a loss against RPI #85 Colorado.

Kansas State struggles against strong competition, with an 8-9 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-5 record against AP ranked teams. The Wildcats have a single quality win against AP #3 Kansas with no bad losses at all.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Oklahoma State (16-11, 4-9 Big 12, #RPI 54), Michigan (17-12, 7-9 Big Ten, #RPI 63), Florida State (19-8, 9-4 ACC, #RPI 52), and Southern Miss (21-6, 9-4 C-USA, #RPI 42).

The first four teams out are Butler (20-9, 12-5 Horizon, RPI #45), California (15-13, 8-8 Pac 10, RPI #66), Clemson (18-9, 7-6 ACC, RPI #65), and Colorado State (18-9, 8-5 Mountain West, RPI #44).

The next four out are Marshall (19-9, 7-6 C-USA, #RPI 55), Miami (FL) (17-11, 5-8 ACC, #RPI 69), Virginia Tech (18-8, 8-5 ACC, #RPI 67), and Wichita State (23-6, 14-3 Missouri Valley, #RPI 50).

Regional 1
#1   Duke
#2   Brigham Young
#3   Arizona
#4   Connecticut
#5   Louisville
#6   Kentucky
#7   George Mason
#8   Cincinnati
#9   Illinois
#10   UAB
#11   Boston College
#12   Cleveland State
#13   Belmont
#14   CofC
#15   Bucknell
#16   Coastal Carolina
Regional 2
#1   Kansas
#2   Purdue
#3   Florida
#4   North Carolina
#5   Vanderbilt
#6   Missouri
#7   Kansas State
#8   UNLV
#9   Michigan State
#10   Georgia
#11   Marquette
#12   Florida State
#13   Harvard
#14   Kent State
#15   Fairfield
#16   Florida Atlantic
Regional 3
#1   Ohio State
#2   San Diego State
#3   Georgetown
#4   Syracuse
#5   Villanova
#6   St. John's
#7   Tennessee
#8   Temple
#9   Old Dominion
#10   Minnesota
#11   Memphis
#12   Michigan
#13   Missouri State
#14   Oakland
#15   Long Beach State
#16   Montana
Regional 4
#1   Pittsburgh
#2   Texas
#3   Notre Dame
#4   Wisconsin
#5   West Virginia
#6   Texas A&M
#7   Xavier
#8   Utah State
#9   Washington
#10   UCLA
#11   Penn State
#12   Oklahoma State
#13   Saint Mary's
#14   Vermont
#15   Long Island
#16   Murray State

Nicname thinks our ceiling is a 4 seed, floor is still not making the tourney.
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