i'm pretty excited

[fatty fat fat]

what are the chances we go 9-7? below fifty or above? and if we go 9-7, are we flirting w/a 7 seed? 

[CatsFan_58]

I am trying to remain cautiously optimistic... It is a definite possibility, although, lincoln scares me.

[Pete]

Would LOVE a 7 seed.  Seven seeds are sexy...prolly pick one every year to "make noise" in the tourney, ya know?


I know that this is pretty unpopular (not cool) around here, but I don't think we beat Texas in Austin.  Tossing that game out, I'd say we at least have a 50% chance of winning out.  At NU is iffy, and Mizzou at home will be tough.

[nicname]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

[0.42]

I don't think we beat Texas in Austin.

THIS IS CTR


YOUR ARGUMENT IS INVALID

[pike]

I'd feel really good if we can win our next 3. Then a split with UT/ISU should have us in, right? Especially if more team's burst the bubble as MSU may have tonight

[fatty fat fat]

good chat guys. fun to be excited again!

[Dub]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

kenpom had us losing to KU

[nicname]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

kenpom had us losing to KU

he had us losing to KU 80% of the time.  20% happens.

[jdagg2003]

At first I was like  everybody wins sometimes, but the more time that passes since the game the more  I get.
 I don't think it's healthy

[KITNfury]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

Sounds like a 70% chance to make tourney, boi 

[kso_FAN]

Would LOVE a 7 seed.  Seven seeds are sexy...prolly pick one every year to "make noise" in the tourney, ya know?


I know that this is pretty unpopular (not cool) around here, but I don't think we beat Texas in Austin.  Tossing that game out, I'd say we at least have a 50% chance of winning out.  At NU is iffy, and Mizzou at home will be tough.

Good post by HBBIQ Pete. I'm guessing a split with MU/@NU, but its possible to win both.

[Rage Against the McKee]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

Sounds like a 70% chance to make tourney, boi 

Better than 70 when you consider the Big 12 tourney games.

[kougar24]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

Sounds like a 70% chance to make tourney, boi 

Better than 70 when you consider the Big 12 tourney games.

Hmm....I just don't see us getting in at 7-9, even if we win 3 tourney games. Hard to imagine.

On the other hand, I think we're an absolute lock at 8-8, with our RPI/SOS.

[bradleigh]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

kenpom had us losing to KU

10-6?

[Skipper44]

We may be favored by Vegas in all but the Texas game, depending on how bad Texas beats NU on Saturday. 

[Cire]

didn't FSU get in at 7-9 one of the years that we didn't at 10-6/9-7?

[michigancat]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

Sounds like a 70% chance to make tourney, boi 

Better than 70 when you consider the Big 12 tourney games.

Hmm....I just don't see us getting in at 7-9, even if we win 3 tourney games. Hard to imagine.

On the other hand, I think we're an absolute lock at 8-8, with our RPI/SOS.

those two statements contradict each other. 7-9 +3 wins in the Big 12 tourney would most likely give us 2 wins against MU or aTm and KU or UT. That is more of a lock than 8-8.

[kso_FAN]

didn't FSU get in at 7-9 one of the years that we didn't at 10-6/9-7?

I don't think so; I believe you are talking about the 07 FSU team and they went to the NIT.

[catzacker]

IMO, our chances:

7-9 40%
8-8 40%
9-7 20%

imo, i think we put too much into the big 12 tourney.  it seems like every time they talk to the committee, teams are basically in/out before the tourney starts, and only a run to the conf championship game (either wining it or just getting to it) makes any difference.  so...at 8-8, I don't think we're in.  we'd probably have to win at least 2 games in the conf tourney to make any difference (and that wouldn't get us to the conf championship game).

[kougar24]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

Sounds like a 70% chance to make tourney, boi 

Better than 70 when you consider the Big 12 tourney games.

Hmm....I just don't see us getting in at 7-9, even if we win 3 tourney games. Hard to imagine.

On the other hand, I think we're an absolute lock at 8-8, with our RPI/SOS.

those two statements contradict each other. 7-9 +3 wins in the Big 12 tourney would most likely give us 2 wins against MU or aTm and KU or UT. That is more of a lock than 8-8.

But we've seen the committee disregard tourney games in the past. I certainly don't think they carry as much weight as reg season games, regardless of the opponent.

[michigancat]

kenpom has us at 50% to get 8-8, 30% for 7-9, and 20% for 9-7. 

Sounds like a 70% chance to make tourney, boi 

Better than 70 when you consider the Big 12 tourney games.

Hmm....I just don't see us getting in at 7-9, even if we win 3 tourney games. Hard to imagine.

On the other hand, I think we're an absolute lock at 8-8, with our RPI/SOS.

those two statements contradict each other. 7-9 +3 wins in the Big 12 tourney would most likely give us 2 wins against MU or aTm and KU or UT. That is more of a lock than 8-8.

But we've seen the committee disregard tourney games in the past. I certainly don't think they carry as much weight as reg season games, regardless of the opponent.

You didn't read what I posted, did you? This isn't 2007.

[JVKCcat]

didn't FSU get in at 7-9 one of the years that we didn't at 10-6/9-7?

I don't think so; I believe you are talking about the 07 FSU team and they went to the NIT.

I think you are talking about us going 10-6 two years ago and T Tech getting in at 9-7 ahead of us despite beating them in the b12 tourney.

[sys]

we'd probably have to win at least 2 games in the conf tourney to make any difference (and that wouldn't get us to the conf championship game).

if it comes down to big 12 tourney games, it will almost certainly take 2 wins to move the needle (_fan's four seed projection aside).  kstate appears highly likely to match against tech or isu in their first round game, which are opponents that can only hurt you, beating them is meaningless.


lots of bubble impacting games going tonight.  it's nice to be back in bubble position, where you'll have a rooting interest in a dozen or more games on wed and sat.

[kso_FAN]

Note: please do not compare this year's team to the 07/09 versions that didn't make it. Much different resumes and bubbles to compare.