ISU hitting a bunch of 3s is a valid concern, but the profile for K-State losing is pretty simple.
If we allow ourselves to get beat on the boards, especially the offensive glass, and we have a TO rate far greater than our opponents, we will lose. We are likely going to have a TO rate of around 20%, we just have to force our opponents into the same amount or more. If we can get to the FT line that would be great too. What I like about this game is that it is a decent match-up for us in most of those areas, its just a matter of whether or not we take advantage of that match-up.