people don't realize that with CU is really our only "bad loss" in the eyes of the committee, and CU could still end up being a tourney team. Losses to top 50 rpi teams really don't hurt you that much, as long as you can pick up a couple top 50 wins and avoid bad losses.
the committees have always erred in favor of high variability teams with cacty records and a few high-profile wins. that has usually not been something i've liked. however, i could like the cac out of it this year, if that's what's needed.
We've got to get some quality wins, I'd say 3-4 Top 50 wins minimum.
We could sort of erase the CU loss if we win out there, especially now that we have Kelly. If we are legitimately on the bubble the committee will throw out the UNLV loss b/c we didn't have Pullen or Kelly. I really don't think CU or OSU are tournament teams, so our hope is that the committee gives us a pass b/c we didn't have Kelly.
The problem is only 4 games left on our schedule are against top 50 RPI teams (After playing 3 in our first 5 games). The good thing is that if we play reasonably well we should be able to get wins, we just won't have a ton of quality wins. So then we have to hope for VT, Gonzaga, and WSU to finish well and hopefully 1 or 2 of those can finish as Top 50 RPI teams. Plus some of the other teams we play (like Baylor) in the league hopefully will play well to finish the year and finish in the Top 50.