My hypothetical says GM would have rehired all of those people back, many at a lower rate, 401k's, and HMO insurance and be better able to compete. Now they're right back where they were before the bailout with their stock tanking.
Yeah, but you have zero evidence that supports that. Even if you did, it is debatable that Obama's constituents as a whole would have been better off.
There is zero evidence of any hypothetical outcome once the deal was done. But, the $25 billion is real. Who knows, maybe in 10-20 years the stock will be up to $50 and we break even.
Actually, there is evidence is that doing nothing (your hypothetical) would have caused a loss 1.14 million jobs (quoted in the article you posted). I thought this was about benefiting constituents? Is stock price the best way to determine whether or not constituents benefit? The article you posted didn't mention what the stock price would be if nothing had been done.
"Likely saved 1.14 million jobs" is not evidence. Had they been able to renegotiate with the unions, they likely would have hired more than that. Good for GM, the constituents, and tax revenue.
That quote was from an economist with a Phd who obtained those numbers from a study he conducted. Where did you get your numbers? (Note, feel free to call it something other than evidence - we can call it "support for your hypothetical" if you'd like).
Studies are just that, studies. There are economists with PHDs that said we would have an unemployment rate below 7% right now if we just spent $900,000,000,000 on government pet projects and it didn't work. There are more unemployed now than in 2009. They often make assumptions based on what the desired outcome requires.