1/20/2029
Jade helm :surprised:
NO GESTOPO IN BASTROP :curse:
http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=38374.0
I said first 100 days, he'll make it longer than that but he won't make it four years
Trump is getting re-elected. Just plan for that.
Trump is getting re-elected. Just plan for that.
I don't think he will even be the Republican nominee if he does compete the term. I also think the odds aren't great that he'll live a healthy eight years.
Trump is getting re-elected. Just plan for that.
I don't think he will even be the Republican nominee if he does compete the term. I also think the odds aren't great that he'll live a healthy eight years.
Ronald Reagan had Alzheimer's in office and is still regarded as a near deity. If he is alive, he is going to be in office for 8 years.
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Trump is getting re-elected. Just plan for that.
I don't think he will even be the Republican nominee if he does compete the term. I also think the odds aren't great that he'll live a healthy eight years.
Ronald Reagan had Alzheimer's in office and is still regarded as a near deity. If he is alive, he is going to be in office for 8 years.
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The divided Republican party no longer has a unifying common enemy.
Amazing Associated Press sentence about the president. https://t.co/EEUv379I0E pic.twitter.com/A6a3WKN7WP
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) January 24, 2017
True, trump is very fortunate to be inheriting a good economy
If the economy is even remotely improved and the employment participation rate improves he will easily be re-elected.
If the economy is even remotely improved and the employment participation rate improves he will easily be re-elected.
Well the "participation rate" won't vastly improve but it will go back to not mattering like it didn't for the 236 years the country existed before the latest recovery. Participation rate is a made up metric for crap brained partisans to be passive aggressively unamerican. Easier to move the goal posts than acknowledge anything positive that happened in this country under the coon in chief.
Some people would just rather not work. It's not like those people are going to get the good jobs that a strong economy creates. Why would anyone offering a high-paying job consider the 20-something that hasn't ever had a job and lives with his parents?Because their mommy and Daddy told them they could be anything they want to be and they want to be the boss of those companies now. Isn't that how it works? "I want it so you have to give it to me?"
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.
https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.
https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
I think you're looking at it from the wrong end. There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time. That is skewing your data a bit. It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs. At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.
https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
I think you're looking at it from the wrong end. There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time. That is skewing your data a bit. It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs. At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.
If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.
https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
I think you're looking at it from the wrong end. There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time. That is skewing your data a bit. It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs. At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.
If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?
If someone were taking jobs from them, they'd be counted as unemployed, not non-participants. These people would just rather not work. The only thing that will drive them to the workforce will be their parents kicking them out or their parents dying.
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.
https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
I think you're looking at it from the wrong end. There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time. That is skewing your data a bit. It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs. At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.
If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?
If someone were taking jobs from them, they'd be counted as unemployed, not non-participants. These people would just rather not work. The only thing that will drive them to the workforce will be their parents kicking them out or their parents dying.
Well, several years back there was much discussion about this. The "unemployed vs not in the work force" definition seemed to change. If you were collecting unemployment payments, you are considered unemployed, but once your unemployment benefits ran out and you were still unemployed, you were no longer considered in the work force. This is how we got tho 4.5% unemployment and the lowest participation rate in 40 years.
Not for coal miners
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.
https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
I think you're looking at it from the wrong end. There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time. That is skewing your data a bit. It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs. At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.
If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?
If someone were taking jobs from them, they'd be counted as unemployed, not non-participants. These people would just rather not work. The only thing that will drive them to the workforce will be their parents kicking them out or their parents dying.
Well, several years back there was much discussion about this. The "unemployed vs not in the work force" definition seemed to change. If you were collecting unemployment payments, you are considered unemployed, but once your unemployment benefits ran out and you were still unemployed, you were no longer considered in the work force. This is how we got tho 4.5% unemployment and the lowest participation rate in 40 years.
How long does it take your unemployment benefits to run out?
The only dramatic change that shows is the participation rate for 16 to 24 year olds. Could it be that more people in that age range are seeking higher education? A quick Google search indicates so.Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.
https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
Nobody can seriously look for work for a year and not find a job.
after he does the heavy lifting, there's gotta be a long line of republicans ready to wedge this thing open
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.
You have to give a date to play the game
You have to give a date to play the game
I said he serves 2 full terms. #math
after he does the heavy lifting, there's gotta be a long line of republicans ready to wedge this thing open
Exactly, he hasn't done a damn thing to garner loyalty either. Who has he helped in Washington other than his family, Bannon, and Kellyanne? Doing crap like messing with the joint chiefs is pushing everyone away. I checked several influential Republican twitter accounts over the weekend and there was radio silence about the EO and the restructuring of the NSC. All he had over these people was popularity, as that wanes the rats will flee the ship.
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.
Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.
Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.
And he wasn't healthy to begin with. Fat, poor diet, no exercise.
You have to give a date to play the game
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.
Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.
Heh.
I sort of think there are a lot of people depending on him to keep his job and they won't let him quit. In order of most to least likely to happen in the next 4 years:
Serve full term
Be removed / forced to resign
Quit on his own volition
Death
I want to make sure that i'm in for Sunday, January 19th, 2025.
I want to make sure that i'm in for Sunday, January 19th, 2025.
I want to make sure that i'm in for Sunday, January 19th, 2025.
This. I'd put his attention span up against the mutants comprising the resistance any day of the week.
he can't be president of the united god damned states of America forever, so let's guess when his last day as president will be. I'm going with 3/13/2019.
June 16, 2017
Initially I was going to say he is would resign for "Health" reasons around year 3 when its clear he will be challenged in the primary...Then I realize that Trumps loves campaigning more than anything in the world no one would be able to talk him out of it.
1-20-21
8 years folks.I'll be shocked if he doesn't make it 8.
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he can't be president of the united god damned states of America forever, so let's guess when his last day as president will be. I'm going with 3/13/2019.
That seems about right, I'll guess 2/14/19he can't be president of the united god damned states of America forever, so let's guess when his last day as president will be. I'm going with 3/13/2019.
:dunno:
7/4/2019
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.
Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.
Surely we're past Harding. He's already had several Tea-Pot Dome equivalents.I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.
Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.
This post didn't age super well. We're getting into Warren Harding levels of corruption.
Oh man, you guys are in for a long no ass term. :frown:
I rough ridin' knew it. Stop doing illegal drugs, dude. It’s not funny, it’s a legit crime.
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Dc cat being a illegal drug smuggler is not a surprise, I just hope everyone is hiding their family and kids from this gd monster tonight.
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I think Trump will last 4 years and will be challenged for the primary. I still think he will win but get defeated in the general by the democratic candidate.I think I nailed this (although the RNC circled its wagons pretty quickly to shut out Bill Weld). Biden is the living embodiment of remotely competent.
This theory assumes the democrats put up someone who is even remotely competent and likeable, so I put the odds at about 50/50.