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General Discussion => The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit => Topic started by: Dr Rick Daris on January 23, 2017, 03:05:32 PM

Title: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Dr Rick Daris on January 23, 2017, 03:05:32 PM
he can't be president of the united god damned states of America forever, so let's guess when his last day as president will be. I'm going with 3/13/2019.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: star seed 7 on January 23, 2017, 03:06:30 PM
1/20/2021
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Institutional Control on January 23, 2017, 03:11:29 PM
1/20/2025
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Tobias on January 23, 2017, 03:11:51 PM
1/20/2029
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: MakeItRain on January 23, 2017, 03:21:57 PM
http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=38374.0

I said first 100 days, he'll make it longer than that but he won't make it four years
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: star seed 7 on January 23, 2017, 03:23:46 PM
1/20/2029

Jade helm  :surprised:

NO GESTOPO IN BASTROP  :curse:
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: bubbles4ksu on January 23, 2017, 03:30:44 PM
10/05/19

Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Phil Titola on January 23, 2017, 03:42:02 PM
7/4/2019
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Tobias on January 23, 2017, 03:43:38 PM
Jade helm  :surprised:

NO GESTOPO IN BASTROP  :curse:

:peek:
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Dr Rick Daris on January 23, 2017, 03:45:04 PM
http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=38374.0

I said first 100 days, he'll make it longer than that but he won't make it four years

thanks. I kind of figured there had been discussion but didn't see this.

who do you guys think dislikes him the most? dems or pubs? maybe a tie?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 23, 2017, 03:52:21 PM
It was the pubs during the election, but it's the dems now.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Kat Kid on January 23, 2017, 03:53:16 PM
Trump is getting re-elected.  Just plan for that.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Mrs. Gooch on January 23, 2017, 03:57:05 PM
11/1/20. That's when he changes his title from President to Emperor.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: AbeFroman on January 23, 2017, 04:15:53 PM
He won't last 4 years. Not cause of impeachment or anything politically related, but beacause his already failing health will only be compounded by the stress of the office. He probably has a heart attack around August of 2019. So I say 8/31/19
Title: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Emo EMAW on January 23, 2017, 04:22:56 PM
He will get re-elected.  On nothing other than an economy that is finally humming along.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: star seed 7 on January 23, 2017, 04:27:10 PM
True, trump is very fortunate to be inheriting a good economy
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: MakeItRain on January 23, 2017, 04:33:32 PM
Trump is getting re-elected.  Just plan for that.

I don't think he will even be the Republican nominee if he does compete the term. I also think the odds aren't great that he'll live a healthy eight years.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Kat Kid on January 23, 2017, 06:52:37 PM
Trump is getting re-elected.  Just plan for that.

I don't think he will even be the Republican nominee if he does compete the term. I also think the odds aren't great that he'll live a healthy eight years.

Ronald Reagan had Alzheimer's in office and is still regarded as a near deity.  If he is alive, he is going to be in office for 8 years.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: MakeItRain on January 24, 2017, 03:12:48 AM
Trump is getting re-elected.  Just plan for that.

I don't think he will even be the Republican nominee if he does compete the term. I also think the odds aren't great that he'll live a healthy eight years.

Ronald Reagan had Alzheimer's in office and is still regarded as a near deity.  If he is alive, he is going to be in office for 8 years.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

The divided Republican party no longer has a unifying common enemy.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: renocat on January 24, 2017, 07:57:50 AM
Mentally or physically?  Oldest president to be inaugurated.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: catastrophe on January 24, 2017, 08:16:54 AM
Trump is getting re-elected.  Just plan for that.

I don't think he will even be the Republican nominee if he does compete the term. I also think the odds aren't great that he'll live a healthy eight years.

Ronald Reagan had Alzheimer's in office and is still regarded as a near deity.  If he is alive, he is going to be in office for 8 years.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

The divided Republican party no longer has a unifying common enemy.

Which is funny because democrats (and some republicans) today seem to be uniformly scared of Russia and Trump DNGAF.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: catastrophe on January 24, 2017, 08:19:43 AM
I think Trump will last 4 years and will be challenged for the primary. I still think he will win but get defeated in the general by the democratic candidate.

This theory assumes the democrats put up someone who is even remotely competent and likeable, so I put the odds at about 50/50.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: john "teach me how to" dougie on January 24, 2017, 12:30:36 PM
If the economy is even remotely improved and the employment participation rate improves he will easily be re-elected.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: ben ji on January 24, 2017, 12:46:58 PM
Initially I was going to say he is would resign for "Health" reasons around year 3 when its clear he will be challenged in the primary...Then I realize that Trumps loves campaigning more than anything in the world no one would be able to talk him out of it.

1-20-21
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: chum1 on January 24, 2017, 08:44:06 PM
I could see him signing all of the executive orders he believes will MAGA in the first 100 days and then deciding he doesn't need this crap. Things are only going to get worse once Congress starts fighting.

Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Emo EMAW on January 24, 2017, 11:43:18 PM
True, trump is very fortunate to be inheriting a good economy

I think the economy is and has been crap.  He's just inheriting good timing because it can't be shitty forever.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: MakeItRain on January 25, 2017, 01:04:01 AM
If the economy is even remotely improved and the employment participation rate improves he will easily be re-elected.

Well the "participation rate" won't vastly improve but it will go back to not mattering like it didn't for the 236 years the country existed before the latest recovery. Participation rate is a made up metric for crap brained partisans to be passive aggressively unamerican. Easier to move the goal posts than acknowledge anything positive that happened in this country under the coon in chief.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: john "teach me how to" dougie on January 25, 2017, 08:41:06 AM
If the economy is even remotely improved and the employment participation rate improves he will easily be re-elected.

Well the "participation rate" won't vastly improve but it will go back to not mattering like it didn't for the 236 years the country existed before the latest recovery. Participation rate is a made up metric for crap brained partisans to be passive aggressively unamerican. Easier to move the goal posts than acknowledge anything positive that happened in this country under the coon in chief.

You think 20-30 year olds not participating in the work force isn't a big deal?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 25, 2017, 08:42:30 AM
eff 'em, john.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Kat Kid on January 25, 2017, 08:52:45 AM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 25, 2017, 08:55:50 AM
Some people would just rather not work. It's not like those people are going to get the good jobs that a strong economy creates. Why would anyone offering a high-paying job consider the 20-something that hasn't ever had a job and lives with his parents?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Poster formerly known as jthutch on January 25, 2017, 09:36:31 AM
Some people would just rather not work. It's not like those people are going to get the good jobs that a strong economy creates. Why would anyone offering a high-paying job consider the 20-something that hasn't ever had a job and lives with his parents?
Because their mommy and Daddy told them they could be anything they want to be and they want to be the boss of those companies now.  Isn't that how it works?  "I want it so you have to give it to me?"
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Phil Titola on January 25, 2017, 09:40:48 AM
You guys suck at guessing games.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: john "teach me how to" dougie on January 25, 2017, 10:58:25 AM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%

Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.

https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: ednksu on January 25, 2017, 11:13:14 AM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%

Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.

https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)

I think you're looking at it from the wrong end.  There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time.  That is skewing your data a bit.  It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs.  At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Cartierfor3 on January 25, 2017, 11:28:13 AM
1/20/2021

Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: john "teach me how to" dougie on January 25, 2017, 01:29:27 PM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%

Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.

https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)

I think you're looking at it from the wrong end.  There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time.  That is skewing your data a bit.  It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs.  At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.

If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Phil Titola on January 25, 2017, 02:56:54 PM
So just to be clear you believe the stats in  lowered participation rate but are suggesting you don't believe the stats of growing jobs....From the same agency?
Y
Maybe the problem here is the grasping of what the participation rate even means.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 25, 2017, 03:30:28 PM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%

Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.

https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)

I think you're looking at it from the wrong end.  There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time.  That is skewing your data a bit.  It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs.  At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.

If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?

If someone were taking jobs from them, they'd be counted as unemployed, not non-participants. These people would just rather not work. The only thing that will drive them to the workforce will be their parents kicking them out or their parents dying.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: john "teach me how to" dougie on January 25, 2017, 04:30:11 PM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%

Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.

https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)

I think you're looking at it from the wrong end.  There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time.  That is skewing your data a bit.  It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs.  At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.

If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?

If someone were taking jobs from them, they'd be counted as unemployed, not non-participants. These people would just rather not work. The only thing that will drive them to the workforce will be their parents kicking them out or their parents dying.

Well, several years back there was much discussion about this. The "unemployed vs not in the work force" definition seemed to change. If you were collecting unemployment payments, you are considered unemployed, but once your unemployment benefits ran out and you were still unemployed, you were no longer considered in the work force. This is how we got tho 4.5% unemployment and the lowest participation rate in 40 years.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 25, 2017, 04:31:35 PM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%

Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.

https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)

I think you're looking at it from the wrong end.  There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time.  That is skewing your data a bit.  It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs.  At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.

If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?

If someone were taking jobs from them, they'd be counted as unemployed, not non-participants. These people would just rather not work. The only thing that will drive them to the workforce will be their parents kicking them out or their parents dying.

Well, several years back there was much discussion about this. The "unemployed vs not in the work force" definition seemed to change. If you were collecting unemployment payments, you are considered unemployed, but once your unemployment benefits ran out and you were still unemployed, you were no longer considered in the work force. This is how we got tho 4.5% unemployment and the lowest participation rate in 40 years.

How long does it take your unemployment benefits to run out?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Dugout DickStone on January 25, 2017, 04:53:23 PM
Not to be a jerk but there are jobs everywhere...
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: star seed 7 on January 25, 2017, 05:00:24 PM
Not for coal miners
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Dugout DickStone on January 25, 2017, 05:03:21 PM
Not for coal miners

lots of unskilled labor jobs.  get on a road crew
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: AbeFroman on January 25, 2017, 05:08:43 PM
You guys realize stay at home moms (and dads!) are counted in that labor participation rate, right?

Not sure if Mommybloggers count for or against the rate though.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: john "teach me how to" dougie on January 25, 2017, 06:17:09 PM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%

Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.

https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)

I think you're looking at it from the wrong end.  There is a lot of information out there that baby boomers aren't retiring early or at the "normal" time.  That is skewing your data a bit.  It's also a HUGE issue for academic jobs.  At some point, through health, or they finally feel "secure" they'll start retiring in mass and we'll see that balance change drastically.

If there was really positive job growth, there should be plenty of jobs to go around, and the 16-24 demographic should be increasing in participation rate rather than dropping 10% from 2004 to 2014. Is grandpa really taking that many jobs away from them?

If someone were taking jobs from them, they'd be counted as unemployed, not non-participants. These people would just rather not work. The only thing that will drive them to the workforce will be their parents kicking them out or their parents dying.

Well, several years back there was much discussion about this. The "unemployed vs not in the work force" definition seemed to change. If you were collecting unemployment payments, you are considered unemployed, but once your unemployment benefits ran out and you were still unemployed, you were no longer considered in the work force. This is how we got tho 4.5% unemployment and the lowest participation rate in 40 years.

How long does it take your unemployment benefits to run out?

I think it was extended to 1 year.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 25, 2017, 06:47:07 PM
Nobody can seriously look for work for a year and not find a job.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: waks on January 26, 2017, 06:24:44 AM
Demographics are working hard against the participation rate improving anywhere near the late 90's/2000 highs of close to 70%

Check out these stats, pretty interesting. While participation rate for younger workers decreased from 2004 to 2014, rates went up for older workers. Seems contrary to what most people believe.

https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm (https://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm)
The only dramatic change that shows is the participation rate for 16 to 24 year olds. Could it be that more people in that age range are seeking higher education? A quick Google search indicates so.

https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=98 (https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=98)
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: renocat on January 26, 2017, 06:42:23 AM
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/an-obscure-way-to-oust-an-american-president/
This is the lead headline on the CBS enews site.  The crux of it is about removing a president because of mental illness.  Now the appears to be mental illness.  Dr. Rick is he?  Or is he Wiley Don Fart?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Phil Titola on January 26, 2017, 08:52:17 AM
It's pretty obvious if you listen to his rants and delusions of grandeur that something isnt clicking.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: AbeFroman on January 26, 2017, 10:40:36 AM
Nobody can seriously look for work for a year and not find a job.

Yeah but you're forgetting how white trash Trumpsters have high and mighty opinions of themselves and think most jobs are beneath them.

Trump voters: willfully unemployed
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Dr Rick Daris on January 30, 2017, 09:52:02 PM
I gave him the least amount of time at a little over two years. No price is right rules in effect so closest wins.   :)
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: MakeItRain on January 30, 2017, 10:17:35 PM
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Tobias on January 30, 2017, 10:27:21 PM
after he does the heavy lifting, there's gotta be a long line of republicans  ready to wedge this thing open
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: AbeFroman on January 30, 2017, 10:40:45 PM
Nah, none of those people are going to do crap to him because they are all spineless and know this is the peak. Bannon won't cross him because he's even more extreme and Trump knows he'd be dead in the water without his controller.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: MakeItRain on January 30, 2017, 10:42:21 PM
after he does the heavy lifting, there's gotta be a long line of republicans  ready to wedge this thing open

Exactly, he hasn't done a damn thing to garner loyalty either. Who has he helped in Washington other than his family, Bannon, and Kellyanne? Doing crap like messing with the joint chiefs is pushing everyone away. I checked several influential Republican twitter accounts over the weekend and there was radio silence about the EO and the restructuring of the NSC. All he had over these people was popularity, as that wanes the rats will flee the ship.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: sys on January 30, 2017, 11:37:35 PM
whoever it is that's going to push him down some stairs should just move the schedule along a little.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Kat Kid on January 31, 2017, 07:57:23 AM
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.

maybe on West Wing reboot or on that other shitty Sorkin show about tv news, but not in the America I know.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: star seed 7 on January 31, 2017, 07:58:36 AM
You have to give a date to play the game
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Kat Kid on January 31, 2017, 08:01:03 AM
You have to give a date to play the game

I said he serves 2 full terms. #math
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: star seed 7 on January 31, 2017, 08:01:49 AM
You have to give a date to play the game

I said he serves 2 full terms. #math

I meant mir, sorry
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: cfbandyman on January 31, 2017, 09:28:16 AM
after he does the heavy lifting, there's gotta be a long line of republicans  ready to wedge this thing open

Exactly, he hasn't done a damn thing to garner loyalty either. Who has he helped in Washington other than his family, Bannon, and Kellyanne? Doing crap like messing with the joint chiefs is pushing everyone away. I checked several influential Republican twitter accounts over the weekend and there was radio silence about the EO and the restructuring of the NSC. All he had over these people was popularity, as that wanes the rats will flee the ship.

Third all of this talk. Especially once he doubles back and runs over those that got him there. Maher (who I'm not a huge fan of) is totally right about Trump in one word: Id. Trump is impulsive and if someone is garnering him the most attention, and is most useful to him at that moment, and if that starts to override people who helped get him there (or think they helped get him there) the scheming will happen. He lays a lot of people to waste. If there is one thing he is really good at, is protecting himself, he will not hesitate to let the bus hit someone else if it conveniences him.

As for a date, I'll go for July 17, 2018. It'll take time for the poison root to really take effect, but it'll happen sooner or later.
Title: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: catastrophe on January 31, 2017, 09:34:19 AM
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.

Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Dr Rick Daris on January 31, 2017, 09:35:22 AM
 in a perfect world, both sides would agree to immediately start construction of a fake white house. then when trump is removed from the job, whenever that is, nobody tells him. they give him a pill to make him go to sleep and then wake him up in the fake white house. hidden cameras are everywhere and we all get to keep loling and smdhing at everything he does. his first week as president has by far been the most amusing one week of any politic week I can ever remember. it's non stop and I'd love to see it continue to play out with no actual real world repercussions.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 31, 2017, 09:35:55 AM
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.

Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.

We've never had someone as mentally disabled, though.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: ChiComCat on January 31, 2017, 09:40:24 AM
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.

Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.

I would put impeachment as more likely than any other president in my lifetime, but I think he steps down.  He'll find a reason to say "I did what I came to do" and leave because he is tired of the job and scrutiny that comes with it. 

I give him a few months past the midterms.  He's out in April 2019.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: wetwillie on January 31, 2017, 01:28:41 PM
Him dying in office seems very likely. Starting at 70 in a job that just demolishes you doesn't bode well for his health.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: chum1 on January 31, 2017, 02:20:13 PM
And he wasn't healthy to begin with. Fat, poor diet, no exercise.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Panjandrum on January 31, 2017, 02:53:02 PM
I don't think he gets to the midterms.  I think his disapproval rating will become so bad that even though Republicans sit in an extremely strong position going into 2018 in terms Senate seats Dems need to defend, they may turn on him bigly to prevent what appears to be a bigger, liberal version of the Tea Party.

I'll say impeachment hearings start sometime in Q2 2018 with him being ousted sometime before 2019.  So, I don't know, 10/31/2018.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Mrs. Gooch on January 31, 2017, 02:55:05 PM
And he wasn't healthy to begin with. Fat, poor diet, no exercise.

He is the healthiest man to ever be elected president. Period.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: sys on January 31, 2017, 03:02:38 PM
i really hope he dies soon.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: MakeItRain on February 01, 2017, 02:23:47 AM
You have to give a date to play the game

5/5/18 his last tweet as president will be a photo of him eating fajitas
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: cfbandyman on February 13, 2017, 11:44:38 PM
Tonight's revelations might move this clock up a bit
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: ednksu on February 13, 2017, 11:51:58 PM
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.

Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.

Man this is an amazing post.  I love it when people who don't know what impeachment is comment about its historical context. 
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Tobias on February 14, 2017, 12:10:46 AM
Heh.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: star seed 7 on February 14, 2017, 12:14:00 AM
Heh.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: The Big Train on February 14, 2017, 09:31:47 PM
June 16, 2017
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Emo EMAW on February 17, 2017, 08:59:18 AM
I sort of think there are a lot of people depending on him to keep his job and they won't let him quit.  In order of most to least likely to happen in the next 4 years:

Serve full term
Be removed / forced to resign
Quit on his own volition
Death
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: SdK on February 17, 2017, 11:49:01 AM
If it keeps up at this pace, IF, I think he makes it a little over a year. March 15, 2018. Ides of March!
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Trim on February 17, 2017, 12:39:36 PM
TBD.
 (https://www.reddit.com/r/nathanforyou/comments/50i9a0/season_4/)
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: catastrophe on February 17, 2017, 12:56:55 PM
I sort of think there are a lot of people depending on him to keep his job and they won't let him quit.  In order of most to least likely to happen in the next 4 years:

Serve full term
Be removed / forced to resign
Quit on his own volition
Death

I'd swap the last two.  There is zero chance of Trump quitting without impeachment being imminent.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: ShellShock on February 17, 2017, 04:47:04 PM
I want to make sure that i'm in for Sunday, January 19th, 2025.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: The Big Train on February 17, 2017, 08:06:42 PM
I want to make sure that i'm in for Sunday, January 19th, 2025.

(http://goEMAW.com/forum/Smileys/goEMAW/LOL.gif)
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!) on February 17, 2017, 10:53:35 PM
I want to make sure that i'm in for Sunday, January 19th, 2025.

This. I'd put his attention span up against the mutants comprising the resistance any day of the week.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: ShellShock on February 20, 2017, 09:35:39 AM
I want to make sure that i'm in for Sunday, January 19th, 2025.

This. I'd put his attention span up against the mutants comprising the resistance any day of the week.

...not sure if serious?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Dr Rick Daris on May 16, 2017, 11:47:14 AM
he can't be president of the united god damned states of America forever, so let's guess when his last day as president will be. I'm going with 3/13/2019.

man I don't know if he can make it that long. did I overestimate?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: The Big Train on May 16, 2017, 12:48:04 PM
June 16, 2017

:peek:
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: ben ji on May 16, 2017, 07:23:39 PM
Initially I was going to say he is would resign for "Health" reasons around year 3 when its clear he will be challenged in the primary...Then I realize that Trumps loves campaigning more than anything in the world no one would be able to talk him out of it.

1-20-21

Update-

I don't see him resigning or going down without a fight. He will fight it to the bitter end and it could get ugly.

2-6-18.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Stevesie60 on May 16, 2017, 07:32:10 PM
We should all start saying he's too dumb, poor and powerless to step down and he'll do it on his own volition.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Kat Kid on May 16, 2017, 07:35:03 PM
8 years folks.


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Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Institutional Control on May 16, 2017, 07:42:26 PM
8 years folks.


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I'll be shocked if he doesn't make it 8.


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Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: SdK on May 16, 2017, 07:59:29 PM
I'll have to spent my 30s with Trump? eff me?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Dr Rick Daris on April 11, 2018, 10:44:18 PM
he can't be president of the united god damned states of America forever, so let's guess when his last day as president will be. I'm going with 3/13/2019.


 :dunno:
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: 8manpick on April 11, 2018, 10:55:39 PM
he can't be president of the united god damned states of America forever, so let's guess when his last day as president will be. I'm going with 3/13/2019.


 :dunno:
That seems about right, I'll guess 2/14/19
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Spracne on April 11, 2018, 10:57:52 PM
2/13/19, Bob...

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Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Phil Titola on July 04, 2018, 09:35:08 AM
7/4/2019

One year left trumpers
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on July 04, 2018, 11:24:17 AM
Lol. Wut?
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: catastrophe on July 04, 2018, 03:09:41 PM
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.

Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.

This post didn't age super well.  We're getting into Warren Harding levels of corruption.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: waks on July 04, 2018, 04:38:04 PM
I originally said sometime in the first 100 days, he'll likely make out that far but no damn way he's making it 2 years. It is now obvious he's going to govern like he leads his life. He's a stupid, petty, vindictive, little child. It is far too easy to make enemies with him. Remember the revolving door with his campaign? Bannon and Kellyanne didn't get embedded until the summer. How long will it be until he starts to feud with Reince again. He won't quit, he will be impeached, someone currently in his circle will take him down. This will also end with either him getting divorced, his daughter getting divorced, or with her and him no longer speaking.

Based on US history, I still find impeachment and removal highly unlikely. FDR and Lincoln were about as crazy in their treatment of the existing political system (though admittedly you can get away with more as a wartime president), and believe it or not we've had more corrupt people take office.

This post didn't age super well.  We're getting into Warren Harding levels of corruption.
Surely we're past Harding. He's already had several Tea-Pot Dome equivalents.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on July 04, 2018, 04:40:25 PM
By gods will, we’ll extend this bitch to 12 year term to clean up the riff raft.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: wetwillie on July 04, 2018, 04:43:17 PM
The best raft is a riff raft I always say
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: catastrophe on July 04, 2018, 09:56:38 PM
Only riff raff would riff on Wacky’s riff raft comment.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on July 04, 2018, 10:44:23 PM
Oh man, you guys are in for a long no ass term. :frown:
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: DaBigTrain on July 04, 2018, 10:46:25 PM
Oh man, you guys are in for a long no ass term. :frown:

:confused:
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on July 04, 2018, 10:48:05 PM
Sd, the kid doesn’t even respect your own board. End this fool.


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Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on July 04, 2018, 10:50:31 PM
I guarantee dc cat smells like hot farts and losing, with an extra long beard with a marijuana smell.


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Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: DaBigTrain on July 04, 2018, 10:52:49 PM
Witch hunt!
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on July 04, 2018, 10:54:31 PM
I rough ridin' knew it. Stop doing illegal drugs, dude. It’s not funny, it’s a legit crime.


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Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: DaBigTrain on July 04, 2018, 10:57:50 PM
I rough ridin' knew it. Stop doing illegal drugs, dude. It’s not funny, it’s a legit crime.


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What if I live in one of the 9 states it’s legal :dunno:
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on July 04, 2018, 11:00:35 PM
Dc cat being a illegal drug smuggler is not a surprise, I just hope everyone is hiding their family and kids from this gd monster tonight.


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Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: DaBigTrain on July 04, 2018, 11:02:08 PM
Dc cat being a illegal drug smuggler is not a surprise, I just hope everyone is hiding their family and kids from this gd monster tonight.


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This site isn’t real, so I hope you don’t bring this level of aggression to those around you IRL tonight.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: star seed 7 on January 08, 2021, 06:04:07 PM
Bump
Title: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: catastrophe on January 08, 2021, 06:07:40 PM
I think Trump will last 4 years and will be challenged for the primary. I still think he will win but get defeated in the general by the democratic candidate.

This theory assumes the democrats put up someone who is even remotely competent and likeable, so I put the odds at about 50/50.
I think I nailed this (although the RNC circled its wagons pretty quickly to shut out Bill Weld). Biden is the living embodiment of remotely competent.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: wetwillie on January 08, 2021, 06:09:24 PM
Hmmmm
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Spracne on January 08, 2021, 06:11:52 PM
The series finale of the Trump Show has me on pins and needles.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: DaBigTrain on January 11, 2021, 02:11:46 PM
Who had today?

https://www.state.gov/biographies/donald-j-trump/
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: Cire on January 11, 2021, 02:50:07 PM
people saying it was a hack or a disgruntled staffer

LOL
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: ChiComCat on January 11, 2021, 04:49:28 PM
The crazy thing is that it still might not be the 20th.  If that rough rider could hold suspense this well on his TV show, he'd still be on it.
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: cfbandyman on January 11, 2021, 05:48:56 PM
If dobber still posted here, he could change his "gonna win em all!" to "gonna taze em all!"
Title: Re: trumps last day as president guess
Post by: cfbandyman on January 11, 2021, 06:51:00 PM
whoops wrong thread