goemaw.com

TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Basketball is hard => Topic started by: kso_FAN on February 02, 2011, 10:29:00 PM

Title: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: kso_FAN on February 02, 2011, 10:29:00 PM
9 teams in the middle seperated by a game and a half now.

TEAM CONF GB OVR
#3 Texas 7-0 -- 19-3
#2 Kansas 6-1 1 21-1
#16 Texas A&M 4-3 3 17-4
Oklahoma 4-3 3 12-9
Baylor 4-4 3.5 14-7
Colorado 4-4 3.5 15-8
#15 Missouri 3-4 4 17-5
Nebraska 3-4 4 15-6
Oklahoma State 3-5 4.5 15-7
Kansas State 3-5 4.5 15-8
Texas Tech 3-5 4.5 11-12

Iowa State 1-7 6.5 14-9
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: nicname on February 02, 2011, 10:32:00 PM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blxNPHEO51Y
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Cire on February 02, 2011, 10:35:23 PM
Its over rated, bunch of mediocre teams
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Stevesie60 on February 02, 2011, 10:37:46 PM
Looking at the fact that we already went through our tough stretch of conference play, I have hope of finishing 4th.

Please kill my hope, _FAN. Please.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 02, 2011, 10:38:50 PM
Looking at the fact that we already went through our tough stretch of conference play, I have hope of finishing 4th.

Please kill my hope, _FAN. Please.

OSU and aTm already beat us, so they own tiebreakers. We still have to go to CU and if they sweep, they own us.

How's that?
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Stevesie60 on February 02, 2011, 10:40:20 PM
Looking at the fact that we already went through our tough stretch of conference play, I have hope of finishing 4th.

Please kill my hope, _FAN. Please.

OSU and aTm already beat us, so they own tiebreakers. We still have to go to CU and if they sweep, they own us.

How's that?

Thanks _FAN.  :grin:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 02, 2011, 10:40:59 PM
Big 12 reads the board...

 Big12Conference Big 12 Conference
#Big12 MBB: Standings logjam - behind 1st place Texas and 2nd place Kansas, 9 teams bunched from 3rd to 9th separated by 1.5 games.
10 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply

 :runaway:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: CHONGS on February 02, 2011, 10:41:22 PM
I love B12 Hoops sorry guys, but I do.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: jake4kstate on February 02, 2011, 10:41:42 PM
with a game in ames this wkend that i would hope that we would win, we right back in the race for a top 4 finish. funny how much can change in a day.  oklahoma is a team that you would think isnt going to pull off many more wins, same with ttu, and baylor is ungodly inconsistent. we have another h2h w/ mu in manhattan. aTm doesnt seem to be improving and really i dont know what to think about cu. got a h2h w/ the buffs in boulder. in all honesty i dont think that nebraska will pull off more than 2 or 3 more big12 wins and we hav a h2h w/ them in lincoln that i feel prtty good about even though they have proved that they can be great at home, and our recent road games havnt been real prtty on our part.  ok state is good at home but dont really expect them to make much more of a push.  seriously guys, we can do this. we can keep our first round bye streak alive!!!  we gotta beat the obvious teams like isu(2 games) and nu(1 more game). then i really like the chances of us beating mu or ku at home, honestly expect to win atleast one of those games. @cu can be done.  @ut is a game that you might just wanna mark down as an L but i mean who knows, we always seem to hook em.  ou should be a win(for the love of god plz let it be)  :woot:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Ira Hayes on February 02, 2011, 10:44:19 PM
Don't care about tiebreakers. We just need to get in the tourney. 8-8 would probably do it. Lose to Texas and KU and one other. Any more hiccups than that and it's iffy.

Might need 8-8 and a win in the conference tourney if we don't get a bye. 9-7 would be a lock to get in.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 02, 2011, 10:46:36 PM
Don't care about tiebreakers. We just need to get in the tourney. 8-8 would probably do it. Lose to Texas and KU and one other. Any more hiccups than that and it's iffy.

Might need 8-8 and a win in the conference tourney if we don't get a bye. 9-7 would be a lock to get in.

True. I usually combine league record and whatever happens in the league tournament. 8 total conference wins (lose 1st game in conference tournament) would be iffy, but our OOC and mostly "good losses" may do it. 9 total wins would be in pretty good shape. 10 would be a lock.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: jake4kstate on February 02, 2011, 10:48:13 PM
plus nobody outside of us, uk, ut, aTm really have good wins outside of conf.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Ira Hayes on February 02, 2011, 10:51:05 PM
Don't care about tiebreakers. We just need to get in the tourney. 8-8 would probably do it. Lose to Texas and KU and one other. Any more hiccups than that and it's iffy.

Might need 8-8 and a win in the conference tourney if we don't get a bye. 9-7 would be a lock to get in.

True. I usually combine league record and whatever happens in the league tournament. 8 total conference wins (lose 1st game in conference tournament) would be iffy, but our OOC and mostly "good losses" may do it. 9 total wins would be in pretty good shape. 10 would be a lock.

That's a good point. It might be better to finish 5th and get the extra win against the 12 seed.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: pike on February 02, 2011, 11:11:45 PM
Losing to CU at home really, really sucks
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: SoonerHoopsfan on February 02, 2011, 11:15:47 PM
hahah, the team that lost to Chaminade is tied for 3rd in the conference.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: wetwillie on February 02, 2011, 11:16:53 PM
hahah, the team that lost to Chaminade is tied for 3rd in the conference.

look at you and your renewed sense of confidence  :thumbsup:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kougar24 on February 02, 2011, 11:24:47 PM
You guys are letting this win give you false hope. Stop it.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 03, 2011, 10:53:17 AM
The difference in the middle is apparent when you look at PPP as well. 

The outlier being Texas Tech who has been really bad in their losses and 2 of their wins are by only 1 point.  The trend would indicate they'll work themselves out of the group and finish at the bottom with ISU.

Team    Pace   Off PPP   Def PPP   Diff
UT   64.8   1.11   0.82   0.29
KU   70.4   1.13   0.99   0.14
MU   72.7   1.05   1.00   0.05
CU   69.4   1.09   1.05   0.04
aTm   61.5   1.05   1.05   0.00
BU   64.9   1.04   1.04   0.00
NU   66.2   0.98   0.99   -0.01
KSU   67.9   1.00   1.02   -0.02
OU   66.1   1.00   1.05   -0.05
OSU   68.6   0.99   1.05   -0.06
ISU   76.9   0.95   1.07   -0.12
Tech   70.0   0.98   1.16   -0.17
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: lifeasakstatefan on February 03, 2011, 11:57:23 AM
Sitting at 3-5 right now, i see no reason why we can't make the tournament. nebraska is garbage, they will give us a game in lincoln but i fully expect to win now that ive seen us dominate them. i also fully expect to sweep ISU, win at home against OU and Missouri. so that right there is 8 wins, if we steal one against ku  or tx or at colorado we r sitting pretty good. even at 8-8 we are still in good shape for the tournament. if we win a total of 9 confernce games, including the big12 tournament no way we dont get in. :doom:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: slucat on February 03, 2011, 12:26:48 PM
I think we might be punished for going from #3 to oblivion and fracking up ESPN's schedule with crappy games.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: catzacker on February 03, 2011, 12:29:41 PM
You guys are letting this win give you false hope. Stop it.

this.  we're 15-8 (3-5).  Playing well is the exception, quit treating it like it's the rule.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: CHONGS on February 03, 2011, 12:32:58 PM
You guys are letting this win give you false hope. Stop it.
whatever dork
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kougar24 on February 03, 2011, 12:34:54 PM
You guys are letting this win give you false hope. Stop it.
whatever dork

You like me, admit it in public chingon.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: CHONGS on February 03, 2011, 12:39:19 PM
You guys are letting this win give you false hope. Stop it.
whatever dork

You like me, admit it in public chingon.
:rolleyes:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kougar24 on February 03, 2011, 12:40:17 PM
You guys are letting this win give you false hope. Stop it.
whatever dork

You like me, admit it in public chingon.
:rolleyes:

 :comehere:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: CNS on February 03, 2011, 12:44:25 PM
hahah, the team that lost to Chaminade is tied for 3rd in the conference.

Has to feel amazing. 
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: PowercatPat on February 03, 2011, 12:45:19 PM
We've already lost as many conference games as last season.

 :cry:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Stevesie60 on February 03, 2011, 05:39:32 PM
I think we might be punished for going from #3 to oblivion and fracking up ESPN's schedule with crappy games.

The opposite would happen. They don't want to look like idiots for predicting us to do well.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 05, 2011, 03:33:06 PM
Update on the nutty league:

Big 12 Conference StandingsTEAM CONF W-L TOTAL W-L
#3 Texas 7-0 19-3
#2 Kansas 6-1 21-1
Baylor 5-4 15-7
#16 Texas A&M 4-4 17-5
Oklahoma 4-4 12-10
Colorado 4-4 15-8
Oklahoma State 4-5 16-7
Kansas State 4-5 16-8
#15 Missouri 3-4 17-5
Nebraska 3-4 15-6
Texas Tech 3-5 11-12
Iowa State 1-8 14-10
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: nicname on February 05, 2011, 03:36:53 PM
Update on the nutty league:

Big 12 Conference StandingsTEAM CONF W-L TOTAL W-L
#3 Texas 7-0 19-3
#2 Kansas 6-1 21-1
Baylor 5-4 15-7
#16 Texas A&M 4-4 17-5
Oklahoma 4-4 12-10
Colorado 4-4 15-8
Oklahoma State 4-5 16-7
Kansas State 4-5 16-8
#15 Missouri 3-4 17-5
Nebraska 3-4 15-6
Texas Tech 3-5 11-12
Iowa State 1-8 14-10


Nice to know we have a week to prepare for what will be  bit of a "revenge/ retribution" type game.  Winning the way we did today should help the cause.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 05, 2011, 03:38:50 PM
Nice to know we have a week to prepare for what will be  bit of a "revenge/ retribution" type game.  Winning the way we did today should help the cause.

True, and I'm guessing CU may be 5-5 when we play them. Not sure who to pull for in their midweek game vs aTm (in Boulder).
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: RonLongshaft on February 05, 2011, 03:43:24 PM
Nice to know we have a week to prepare for what will be  bit of a "revenge/ retribution" type game.  Winning the way we did today should help the cause.

True, and I'm guessing CU may be 5-5 when we play them. Not sure who to pull for in their midweek game vs aTm (in Boulder).

i know its not to hard to understand what we need to do.... WIN, but eff that is a jumbled mess to wrap your head around!
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Trim on February 05, 2011, 03:45:33 PM
I'm all about being able to flash this in a month.  :nowednesdayscombofan:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Andy on February 05, 2011, 03:58:10 PM
really looks like an 8-8 team will get a bye
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Trim on February 05, 2011, 04:04:54 PM
really looks like an 8-8 team will get a bye

:woot:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 05, 2011, 04:09:44 PM
Not sure who to pull for in their midweek game vs aTm (in Boulder).

a&m.  this is back to traditional bubblemode.  always root for any team with no chance to make the tourney or no chance to miss.  in matchups between two bubbles, root for high probability bubbles, against low probability bubbles.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 06, 2011, 03:07:00 PM
Updated PPP: (pace is unadjusted; the method to determine the #s is the same that Gasaway uses though)

Team    Pace   Off PPP   Def PPP   Diff
UT   65.3   1.11   0.83   0.28
KU   70.2   1.14   0.99   0.15
MU   73.4   1.06   0.99   0.07
CU   70.1   1.07   1.06   0.01
BU   65.2   1.05   1.05   0.00
aTm   62.2   1.06   1.06   0.00
KSU   68.0   1.03   1.04   -0.02
OSU   68.5   1.01   1.06   -0.04
NU   66.7   0.97   1.02   -0.05
OU   66.4   1.01   1.07   -0.05
ISU   75.8   0.98   1.09   -0.11
Tech   76.3   1.00   1.18   -0.19
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 06, 2011, 03:35:38 PM
i'm surprised by how much separation there is between mu and the pack.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 06, 2011, 03:40:49 PM
i'm surprised by how much separation there is between mu and the pack.

Home blowouts and close road losses (besides UT).
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 06, 2011, 03:48:53 PM
i'm surprised by how much separation there is between mu and the pack.

Home blowouts and close road losses (besides UT).

yeah.  just took a look at their schedule.  there isn't a real noticeable first half/second half split.  they had roads vs ut and a&m in the first, but both ku games in the second.  also still have roads vs kstate and nu plus bu at home.  kenpom's 9-7 predict looks fair.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 06, 2011, 03:56:20 PM
i'm surprised by how much separation there is between mu and the pack.

Home blowouts and close road losses (besides UT).

yeah.  just took a look at their schedule.  there isn't a real noticeable first half/second half split.  they had roads vs ut and a&m in the first, but both ku games in the second.  also still have roads vs kstate and nu plus bu at home.  kenpom's 9-7 predict looks fair.

9-7 is probably about right, and 8-8 is more likely than 10-6 looking at their schedule.

And 8-8 could likely be a Top 4 record looking at other schedules. The other thing of note from schedules is Baylor's weird game vs a D2 school (Wayland Baptist) coming up.
 
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 06, 2011, 04:08:50 PM
8-8 is more likely than 10-6 looking at their schedule.

yes, absolutely.  based on their performance to date, 10-6 looks very improbable.

i think 9-7 will be good for third (or a tie for 3rd).  a&m looks to have by far the best chance of getting to 10-6, as they've already gotten their ut beatdowns out of the way, and play a lot of games against poor to mediocre teams from here out.  they just have to steal several road wins.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: mcmwcat on February 07, 2011, 08:59:40 AM
awesome to come back after a long vaca and see the league look like this  :excited:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 10, 2011, 08:22:54 AM
Standings:

Team Big 12 Pct Overall Pct
Texas  9-0  1.000  21-3  .875 
Kansas  8-1  .889  23-1  .958 
Baylor  6-4  .600  16-7  .696 
Texas A&M  5-4  .556  18-5  .783 
Missouri  4-5  .444  18-6  .750 
Oklahoma State  4-5  .444  16-7  .696 
Kansas State  4-5  .444  16-8  .667 
Oklahoma  4-5  .444  12-11  .522 
Colorado  4-6  .400  15-10  .600 
Nebraska  3-6  .333  15-8  .652 
Texas Tech  3-6  .333  11-13  .458 
Iowa State  1-8  .111  14-10  .583 

Saturday games: aTm @ Tech, OU @ MU, BU @ UT, ISU @ KU, OSU @ NU, KSU @ CU.

Points per possession:

Team    Pace   Off PPP   Def PPP   Diff
UT   64.9   1.14   0.83   0.31
KU   70.5   1.17   1.01   0.16
MU   73.1   1.07   1.04   0.03
CU   69.7   1.07   1.06   0.01
BU   65.4   1.06   1.05   0.01
aTm   62.2   1.07   1.07   0.00
KSU   68.0   1.03   1.04   -0.02
OSU   68.5   1.01   1.06   -0.04
NU   66.7   0.98   1.03   -0.05
OU   65.9   0.99   1.07   -0.07
ISU   75.8   0.98   1.09   -0.11
Tech   69.8   0.97   1.15   -0.18
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: WillieWatanabe on February 10, 2011, 08:31:12 AM
I just can't figure out Baylor.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 10, 2011, 08:43:43 AM
I just can't figure out Baylor.

Really the only surprise has been winning at aTm, but that wasn't overly surprising. Every team in the middle of the pack is likely going to go on a little winning streak sometime, followed by a losing streak. They still play UT twice, @ MU, and @ OSU, so they likley have at least 3 more losses coming. But the win @ aTm is putting them in position to be 9-7 instead of 8-8.

We could pretty much put CU into the NIT with a win there Saturday and "make up" for our loss to them at home at the same time.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: pissclams on February 10, 2011, 09:04:51 AM
I just can't figure out Baylor.
they are poorly coached team who played garbage competition in the non-con only to be lured into a false sense of confidence beating up scrub teams.  conference season came and bitch slapped them in the face with a sink and now they're trying to catch up.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Stevesie60 on February 10, 2011, 09:09:47 AM
Missouri's PPP Diff dropped a bunch after playing KU.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 12, 2011, 04:46:47 PM
With this afternoons games added (assuming KU/UT wins) the game in Boulder is very big.  So is OSU/NU tonight.

Big 12 StandingsTEAM CONF OVERALL
Texas 10-0 22-3
Kansas 9-1 24-1
Texas A&M 6-4 19-5
Baylor 6-5 16-8
Missouri 5-5 19-6
Oklahoma State 4-5 16-7
Kansas State 4-5 16-8
Oklahoma 4-6 12-12
Colorado 4-6 15-10
Nebraska 3-6 15-8
Texas Tech 3-7 11-14
Iowa State 1-9 14-11
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Dub on February 12, 2011, 05:03:03 PM
Errrr.... don't speak too soon about Baylor/UT.   We really need Baylor to lose this.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 12, 2011, 05:10:27 PM
Errrr.... don't speak too soon about Baylor/UT.   We really need Baylor to lose this.

Yeah, Baylor made it a game.

And they are a great example for home/away fouls. At home vs NU this week they shot 44 FTs to NU's 19.

Today they have 7 FTAs and UT has 33 FTAs.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 12, 2011, 05:17:11 PM
UT finished with 37 FTAs and BU had 8.

BU had a 110% FT rate game and a 12.3% FT rate game in the same week. Crazy.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: doom on February 12, 2011, 05:24:02 PM
UT finished with 37 FTAs and BU had 8.

BU had a 110% FT rate game and a 12.3% FT rate game in the same week. Crazy.

I want to know what ku's ratios are for away games.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 13, 2011, 08:56:51 AM
The Big 12 broken down various ways.

Standings      
   Wins   Losses
UT   10   0
KU   9   1
aTm   6   4
BU   6   5
MU   5   5
CU   5   6
KSU   4   6
NU   4   6
OSU   4   6
OU   4   6
TT   3   7
ISU   1   9

All categories sorted DIF (OFF-DEF).

kenpom               
   OFF   DEF   DIF   Wins   Losses
UT   1.100   0.837   0.264   10   0
KU   1.187   1.006   0.181   9   1
MU   1.091   1.029   0.062   5   5
CU   1.066   1.057   0.009   5   6
aTm   1.067   1.059   0.008   6   4
BU   1.038   1.045   -0.007   6   5
KSU   1.018   1.037   -0.019   4   6
NU   0.994   1.023   -0.029   4   6
OSU   1.009   1.065   -0.056   4   6
OU   0.978   1.079   -0.101   4   6
ISU   0.980   1.111   -0.131   1   9
TT   0.976   1.144   -0.167   3   7

eFG%               
   eFG%   OppeFG%   DIF   Wins   Losses
UT   54.2%   39.1%   15.1%   10   0
KU   59.0%   47.9%   11.1%   9   1
BU   53.5%   50.0%   3.5%   6   5
MU   50.0%   49.0%   1.0%   5   5
aTm   49.1%   50.7%   -1.5%   6   4
CU   48.9%   50.9%   -2.0%   5   6
OU   48.3%   50.9%   -2.6%   4   6
NU   47.9%   51.7%   -3.8%   4   6
KSU   47.5%   51.5%   -4.1%   4   6
TT   47.7%   52.8%   -5.1%   3   7
ISU   47.9%   53.3%   -5.4%   1   9
OSU   43.4%   49.5%   -6.1%   4   6

TO%               
   TO%   OppTO%   DIF   Wins   Losses
MU   15.4%   21.5%   -6.1%   5   5
OSU   18.6%   22.0%   -3.4%   4   6
aTm   18.2%   19.3%   -1.1%   6   4
KU   17.4%   18.2%   -0.9%   9   1
OU   20.1%   20.9%   -0.8%   4   6
NU   20.4%   20.9%   -0.5%   4   6
KSU   23.1%   22.8%   0.3%   4   6
CU   20.0%   18.7%   1.3%   5   6
UT   19.8%   18.1%   1.7%   10   0
ISU   18.8%   17.0%   1.9%   1   9
TT   21.2%   18.9%   2.3%   3   7
BU   24.6%   19.8%   4.8%   6   5

OR%               
   OR%   Opp OR%   DIF   Wins   Losses
KSU   40.7%   32.9%   7.8%   4   6
UT   35.0%   28.6%   6.4%   10   0
KU   33.8%   27.8%   6.0%   9   1
aTm   38.3%   32.6%   5.7%   6   4
CU   36.1%   31.4%   4.7%   5   6
BU   34.6%   34.7%   -0.1%   6   5
NU   28.9%   29.4%   -0.5%   4   6
OSU   35.8%   36.9%   -1.1%   4   6
MU   32.4%   36.6%   -4.2%   5   5
TT   33.1%   40.0%   -6.9%   3   7
OU   27.6%   36.3%   -8.7%   4   6
ISU   24.4%   34.0%   -9.7%   1   9

FTR               
   FTR   OppFTR   DIF   Wins   Losses
UT   51.0%   27.0%   24.0%   10   0
aTm   47.8%   34.3%   13.5%   6   4
KU   36.9%   30.4%   6.4%   9   1
BU   41.6%   36.2%   5.4%   6   5
TT   37.7%   38.1%   -0.4%   3   7
CU   35.5%   36.6%   -1.1%   5   6
OU   36.1%   39.7%   -3.6%   4   6
OSU   46.9%   53.6%   -6.8%   4   6
ISU   24.1%   31.4%   -7.3%   1   9
NU   35.2%   44.4%   -9.3%   4   6
MU   33.6%   43.2%   -9.6%   5   5
KSU   41.4%   53.5%   -12.1%   4   6

UFR               
   OFF   DEF   DIF   Wins   Losses
UT   0.945   0.703   0.242   10   0
KU   1.020   0.867   0.153   9   1
MU   0.919   0.862   0.057   5   5
BU   0.899   0.875   0.024   6   5
CU   0.890   0.901   -0.012   5   6
NU   0.857   0.875   -0.018   4   6
aTm   0.870   0.909   -0.039   6   4
OSU   0.833   0.892   -0.059   4   6
OU   0.848   0.916   -0.068   4   6
KSU   0.829   0.901   -0.072   4   6
ISU   0.863   0.935   -0.072   1   9
TT   0.836   0.966   -0.130   3   7
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: michigancat on February 13, 2011, 09:02:01 AM
We create more turnovers than MU. :surprised:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 13, 2011, 09:07:59 AM
We create more turnovers than MU. :surprised:

Yeah. MU needs to change their slogan. Maybe "40 minutes of pretty efficient offense with some average defense mixed in at a high pace".

Imagine our offense if we didn't offensive rebound. I'm thining Manley may have come up with his PPP system just to make K-State look worse.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: mcmwcat on February 13, 2011, 02:51:34 PM
We create more turnovers than MU. :surprised:

Yeah. MU needs to change their slogan. Maybe "40 minutes of pretty efficient offense with some average defense mixed in at a high pace".

Imagine our offense if we didn't offensive rebound. I'm thining Manley may have come up with his PPP system just to make K-State look worse.

that was the first reason i thought of  :dunno:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 15, 2011, 10:15:19 AM
Looks a little better today...

Standings      
   Wins   Losses
UT   10   0
KU   9   2
aTm   6   4
BU   6   5
MU   5   5
CU   5   6
KSU   5   6
NU   4   6
OSU   4   6
OU   4   6
TT   3   7
ISU   1   9

kenpom         
   OFF   DEF   DIF
UT   1.100   0.837   0.264
KU   1.168   1.025   0.144
MU   1.091   1.029   0.062
CU   1.066   1.057   0.009
aTm   1.067   1.059   0.008
KSU   1.036   1.032   0.004
BU   1.038   1.045   -0.007
NU   0.994   1.023   -0.029
OSU   1.009   1.065   -0.056
OU   0.978   1.079   -0.101
ISU   0.980   1.111   -0.131
TT   0.976   1.144   -0.167

eFG%         
   eFG%   OppeFG%   DIF
UT   54.2%   39.1%   15.1%
KU   58.0%   49.0%   9.0%
BU   53.5%   50.0%   3.5%
MU   50.0%   49.0%   1.0%
aTm   49.1%   50.7%   -1.5%
CU   48.9%   50.9%   -2.0%
KSU   48.7%   51.1%   -2.4%
OU   48.3%   50.9%   -2.6%
NU   47.9%   51.7%   -3.8%
TT   47.7%   52.8%   -5.1%
ISU   47.9%   53.3%   -5.4%
OSU   43.4%   49.5%   -6.1%

TO%         
   TO%   OppTO%   DIF
MU   15.4%   21.5%   -6.1%
OSU   18.6%   22.0%   -3.4%
aTm   18.2%   19.3%   -1.1%
OU   20.1%   20.9%   -0.8%
KU   18.2%   18.7%   -0.5%
NU   20.4%   20.9%   -0.5%
KSU   23.1%   23.1%   0.0%
CU   20.0%   18.7%   1.3%
UT   19.8%   18.1%   1.7%
ISU   18.8%   17.0%   1.9%
TT   21.2%   18.9%   2.3%
BU   24.6%   19.8%   4.8%

OR%         
   OR%   Opp OR%   DIF
KSU   41.0%   33.2%   7.8%
UT   35.0%   28.6%   6.4%
aTm   38.3%   32.6%   5.7%
KU   34.0%   28.8%   5.2%
CU   36.1%   31.4%   4.7%
BU   34.6%   34.7%   -0.1%
NU   28.9%   29.4%   -0.5%
OSU   35.8%   36.9%   -1.1%
MU   32.4%   36.6%   -4.2%
TT   33.1%   40.0%   -6.9%
OU   27.6%   36.3%   -8.7%
ISU   24.4%   34.0%   -9.7%

FTR         
   FTR   OppFTR   DIF
UT   51.0%   27.0%   24.0%
aTm   47.8%   34.3%   13.5%
KU   38.5%   32.7%   5.8%
BU   41.6%   36.2%   5.4%
TT   37.7%   38.1%   -0.4%
CU   35.5%   36.6%   -1.1%
OU   36.1%   39.7%   -3.6%
OSU   46.9%   53.6%   -6.8%
ISU   24.1%   31.4%   -7.3%
NU   35.2%   44.4%   -9.3%
MU   33.6%   43.2%   -9.6%
KSU   42.9%   53.9%   -11.0%

UFT         
   OFF   DEF   DIF
UT   0.945   0.703   0.242
KU   1.006   0.883   0.123
MU   0.919   0.862   0.057
BU   0.899   0.875   0.024
CU   0.890   0.901   -0.012
NU   0.857   0.875   -0.018
aTm   0.870   0.909   -0.039
KSU   0.848   0.897   -0.049
OSU   0.833   0.892   -0.059
OU   0.848   0.916   -0.068
ISU   0.863   0.935   -0.072
TT   0.836   0.966   -0.130
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Cire on February 15, 2011, 10:20:14 AM
good shot at finishing 6th and possibly 5th if MU collapses.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: AbeFroman on February 15, 2011, 10:31:12 AM
good shot at finishing 6th and possibly 5th if MU collapses.
Need Colorado to choke. We still have one with Mizzou and they still have 2 other road games and they suck dick on the road. Baylor is key as they still have @MU, UT and A&M, and we have the tiebreaker.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 15, 2011, 10:39:18 AM
FYI:
aTm - ISU, @OSU, OU, @BU, @KU, TT
BU - D2, TT, @MU, aTm, @OSU, UT.
MU - TT, @ISU, BU, @KSU, @NU, KU
CU - @KU, @TT, UT, @ISU, NU
OSU - @UT, aTm, @KU, TT, BU, @OU
NU - @OU, UT, KSU, @ISU, MU, @CU
OU - NU, @KSU, @aTm, KU, @TT, OSU

Will be rooting for ISU and Tech to help us out in some of those.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: bakerman on February 15, 2011, 12:26:08 PM
any feasibility of us getting the 4 seed in the B12 tourney?

I would think it's not out of the question completely yet. Really the most you should expect is 2(MU and UT) more losses from us, but both aren't completely out of the question.

BU- I would say probably 3 losses(@MU, aTm, @OSU) just because those road games are tough
MU- I think we can get them at home and I think KU probably gets them
CU- losses at KU and UT at home for sure.


Leaving:

KSU- 9-7
MU- 9-7
BU- 8-8
CU- 8-8
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 15, 2011, 12:33:29 PM
My guess:

1. Texas (16 - 0)
2. Kansas (14 - 2)
3. Texas A&M (10 - 6)
4. Kansas State (8 - 8) Defeated Missouri based on record against #1 North Division teams.
5. Missouri (8 - 8) Lost to Kansas State based on record against #1 North Division teams.
6. Baylor (7 - 9) Defeated Oklahoma State based on South Division record.
7. Oklahoma State (7 - 9) Lost to Baylor based on South Division record.
8. Oklahoma (6 - 10) Defeated Colorado based on head-to-head record.
9. Colorado (6 - 10) Defeated Nebraska based on North Division record. Lost to Oklahoma based on head-to-head record.
10. Nebraska (6 - 10) Lost to Colorado based on North Division record.
11. Texas Tech (5 - 11)
12. Iowa State (3 - 13)

Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: bakerman on February 15, 2011, 12:44:34 PM
would take!  :cheese:

Thanks _FAN
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: WillieWatanabe on February 15, 2011, 12:47:45 PM
If that would happen....wow.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 15, 2011, 12:53:10 PM
I think there is a good chance...

And I'm being cautious with my post-KU elation.  I'm hopeful for 9-7, but I could see another loss besides @UT, likely @NU, maybe MU at home, but not both.  9-7 would almost be a lock for the 4 seed IMO.  aTm definitely has the inside track for the 3.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 15, 2011, 01:17:10 PM
My guess:

1. Texas (16 - 0)
2. Kansas (14 - 2)
3. Texas A&M (10 - 6)
4. Kansas State (8 - 8) Defeated Missouri based on record against #1 North Division teams.
5. Missouri (8 - 8) Lost to Kansas State based on record against #1 North Division teams.
6. Baylor (7 - 9) Defeated Oklahoma State based on South Division record.
7. Oklahoma State (7 - 9) Lost to Baylor based on South Division record.
8. Oklahoma (6 - 10) Defeated Colorado based on head-to-head record.
9. Colorado (6 - 10) Defeated Nebraska based on North Division record. Lost to Oklahoma based on head-to-head record.
10. Nebraska (6 - 10) Lost to Colorado based on North Division record.
11. Texas Tech (5 - 11)
12. Iowa State (3 - 13)

 :surprised:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: 1/64th on February 15, 2011, 02:11:11 PM
My guess:

Texas- 16-0
KU- 14-2
aTm- 10-6
KSU- 9-7
MU- 9-7
BU- 8-8
CU- 7-9
OSU- 7-9
NU- 6-10
OU- 5-11
ISU- who cares
TT- no one cares
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 15, 2011, 02:13:21 PM
My guess:

1. Texas (16 - 0)
2. Kansas (14 - 2)
3. Texas A&M (10 - 6)
4. Kansas State (8 - 8) Defeated Missouri based on record against #1 North Division teams.
5. Missouri (8 - 8) Lost to Kansas State based on record against #1 North Division teams.
6. Baylor (7 - 9) Defeated Oklahoma State based on South Division record.
7. Oklahoma State (7 - 9) Lost to Baylor based on South Division record.
8. Oklahoma (6 - 10) Defeated Colorado based on head-to-head record.
9. Colorado (6 - 10) Defeated Nebraska based on North Division record. Lost to Oklahoma based on head-to-head record.
10. Nebraska (6 - 10) Lost to Colorado based on North Division record.
11. Texas Tech (5 - 11)
12. Iowa State (3 - 13)

 :surprised:

I leaned toward home wins in most cases, seemed safe.  :ck:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 15, 2011, 02:19:37 PM
home wins in most cases, seemed safe.  :ck:

you're predicting a really nice little late season collapse for baylor.  also going one under the kenpom on mu, which presumably isn't coming at the hands of baylor.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Panjandrum on February 15, 2011, 02:19:39 PM
I think there is a good chance...

And I'm being cautious with my post-KU elation.  I'm hopeful for 9-7, but I could see another loss besides @UT, likely @NU, maybe MU at home, but not both.  9-7 would almost be a lock for the 4 seed IMO.  aTm definitely has the inside track for the 3.

For me, I just can't seem to get the thought out of my head that 4-1 is very possible.  If we 'should' have beaten CU on the road, we 'can' beat NU on the road.  OU and ISU at home makes three, and MU is just an awful road team.  I really think we can win that one.

It may be elation, but I just can't seem to get this out of my head.  I think KSU has a very favorable schedule coming down the stretch.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 15, 2011, 02:41:54 PM
home wins in most cases, seemed safe.  :ck:

you're predicting a really nice little late season collapse for baylor.  also going one under the kenpom on mu, which presumably isn't coming at the hands of baylor.

Baylor's last four are tough, I'm giving then credit to win one. MU hasn't proven they can win on the road, though I'm giving them one road win. I'm assuming KU/UT home losses for them also. I'll admit each could have another win though.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 15, 2011, 02:51:04 PM
Baylor's last four are tough, I'm giving then credit to win one.

assuming they beat tech at home, one win out of their last four would have them at 8-8.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 15, 2011, 02:54:05 PM
Baylor's last four are tough, I'm giving then credit to win one.

assuming they beat tech at home, one win out of their last four would have them at 8-8.

Guess I have aTm the nod, that should probably be switched.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 15, 2011, 03:02:59 PM
Guess I have aTm the nod, that should probably be switched.

you should leave it.  calling his shot worked for chum1.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: theKSU on February 15, 2011, 03:08:06 PM
I think we go 4-1 and finish 4th.  However, this includes a win in the CTR (as usual we pwn Tejas) and a loss to another tard team, probably Nebraska. 
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 20, 2011, 09:28:22 PM
Standings      
   Wins   Losses
UT   11   1
KU   10   2
aTm   8   4
MU   7   5
KSU   6   6
NU   6   6
BU   6   6
CU   5   7
TT   4   8
OU   4   8
OSU   4   8
ISU   1   11


kenpom         
   OFF   DEF   DIF
UT   1.093   0.855   0.238
KU   1.174   1.011   0.162
MU   1.101   1.033   0.068
KSU   1.049   1.026   0.022
aTm   1.066   1.051   0.015
BU   1.040   1.058   -0.018
NU   1.004   1.023   -0.019
CU   1.049   1.072   -0.023
OSU   0.987   1.058   -0.070
OU   0.976   1.081   -0.105
ISU   0.987   1.110   -0.124
TT   1.005   1.143   -0.138


eFG%         
   eFG%   OppeFG%   DIF
UT   52.9%   40.1%   12.8%
KU   58.3%   48.4%   9.9%
BU   53.3%   50.5%   2.8%
MU   51.3%   49.5%   1.8%
aTm   49.6%   50.9%   -1.4%
NU   48.9%   50.7%   -1.8%
KSU   49.2%   51.2%   -2.0%
OU   48.6%   51.7%   -3.2%
CU   48.3%   51.8%   -3.5%
TT   49.0%   53.7%   -4.7%
ISU   48.6%   53.4%   -4.8%
OSU   43.5%   49.4%   -5.9%


TO%         
   TO%   OppTO%   DIF
MU   16.3%   21.5%   -5.2%
aTm   18.2%   20.2%   -2.0%
OSU   19.6%   21.0%   -1.4%
NU   20.0%   20.5%   -0.5%
KU   18.4%   18.9%   -0.5%
KSU   22.7%   23.1%   -0.4%
OU   20.2%   20.5%   -0.3%
UT   19.2%   18.6%   0.6%
CU   20.1%   18.9%   1.2%
TT   21.0%   19.3%   1.7%
ISU   19.3%   17.6%   1.7%
BU   24.6%   19.6%   5.1%


OR%         
   OR%   Opp OR%   DIF
KSU   40.4%   32.3%   8.1%
KU   34.8%   28.5%   6.3%
UT   35.1%   29.5%   5.6%
aTm   36.0%   32.7%   3.3%
CU   35.2%   32.4%   2.8%
OSU   34.6%   34.7%   0.0%
BU   34.7%   34.9%   -0.2%
NU   28.9%   29.8%   -0.9%
MU   33.0%   36.8%   -3.9%
TT   34.2%   38.8%   -4.7%
OU   26.8%   34.4%   -7.7%
ISU   26.2%   34.6%   -8.4%


FTR         
   FTR   OppFTR   DIF
UT   50.8%   29.1%   21.7%
aTm   48.8%   34.3%   14.5%
BU   42.6%   36.1%   6.5%
KU   38.1%   32.6%   5.4%
TT   37.8%   38.6%   -0.8%
CU   35.2%   36.3%   -1.1%
OU   34.3%   39.0%   -4.7%
MU   34.3%   40.3%   -6.0%
NU   35.9%   42.8%   -6.9%
OSU   47.0%   55.3%   -8.3%
KSU   42.6%   52.1%   -9.5%
ISU   22.1%   32.3%   -10.2%

aTm - OU, @BU, @KU, TT
MU - BU, @KSU, @NU, KU
NU - KSU, @ISU, MU, @CU
BU - @MU, aTm, @OSU, UT
CU - @TT, UT, @ISU, NU

Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: nicname on February 20, 2011, 10:33:35 PM
MU has a real chance to close out 1-3 tghis is good
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: mcmwcat on February 21, 2011, 08:57:26 AM
MU has a real chance to close out 1-3 tghis is good

meh.  so do we. 
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 21, 2011, 02:28:25 PM
'grats to _fan on his bu collapse predicto.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: SoonerHoopsfan on February 21, 2011, 03:39:35 PM
Travis Ford can't win without James Anderson.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: PowercatPat on February 21, 2011, 03:46:19 PM
Travis Ford can't win without James Anderson.

Kinda like Jeff Capel and Blake Griffin?
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 21, 2011, 05:01:40 PM
Travis Ford can't win without James Anderson.

Kinda like Jeff Capel and Blake Griffin?

shut up, dumbass.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 24, 2011, 08:20:36 AM
Things are starting to shake out in the league, K-State's defense moving up has made a huge difference in the season.

aTm - @BU, @KU, TT
MU - @KSU, @NU, KU
NU - @ISU, MU, @CU
BU - aTm, @OSU, UT
CU - UT, @ISU, NU


Standings      
   Wins   Losses
UT   12   1
KU   11   2
aTm   9   4
MU   8   5
KSU   7   6
NU   6   7
CU   6   7
BU   6   7
TT   4   9
OU   4   9
OSU   4   9
ISU   1   12


kenpom         
   OFF   DEF   DIF
UT   1.094   0.848   0.246
KU   1.179   1.000   0.179
MU   1.102   1.020   0.082
aTm   1.065   1.034   0.031
KSU   1.041   1.016   0.025
CU   1.047   1.065   -0.018
NU   0.995   1.018   -0.023
BU   1.025   1.062   -0.037
OSU   0.978   1.073   -0.095
OU   0.964   1.079   -0.114
TT   1.003   1.134   -0.131
ISU   0.971   1.110   -0.139


eFG%         
   eFG%   OppeFG%   DIF
UT   52.7%   39.9%   12.8%
KU   58.7%   48.2%   10.4%
MU   51.5%   49.2%   2.3%
BU   52.7%   50.8%   1.9%
aTm   49.8%   50.1%   -0.2%
NU   48.2%   49.9%   -1.7%
KSU   48.6%   50.3%   -1.7%
CU   48.1%   51.4%   -3.3%
OU   47.9%   51.8%   -4.0%
TT   48.8%   53.1%   -4.3%
ISU   47.7%   53.2%   -5.4%
OSU   43.7%   50.6%   -6.9%


TO%         
   TO%   OppTO%   DIF
MU   16.7%   22.1%   -5.4%
aTm   18.2%   20.2%   -2.1%
OSU   19.4%   20.7%   -1.2%
KSU   22.2%   23.4%   -1.2%
KU   18.3%   18.7%   -0.4%
OU   20.3%   20.3%   0.0%
UT   19.0%   18.6%   0.4%
NU   20.5%   20.2%   0.4%
CU   19.7%   18.7%   1.0%
TT   20.7%   19.0%   1.7%
ISU   19.3%   17.5%   1.8%
BU   25.1%   19.7%   5.4%


OR%         
   OR%   Opp OR%   DIF
KU   34.2%   27.1%   7.1%
KSU   39.4%   32.8%   6.6%
UT   35.5%   29.8%   5.8%
aTm   35.5%   32.3%   3.2%
CU   35.2%   32.2%   3.0%
NU   29.7%   29.6%   0.1%
BU   35.1%   35.5%   -0.4%
OSU   32.8%   34.1%   -1.2%
MU   33.7%   37.1%   -3.4%
TT   33.8%   38.6%   -4.8%
OU   26.9%   34.0%   -7.2%
ISU   26.8%   35.0%   -8.2%


FTR         
   FTR   OppFTR   DIF
UT   49.3%   27.6%   21.7%
aTm   47.9%   34.4%   13.5%
BU   39.8%   35.1%   4.8%
KU   38.8%   34.6%   4.1%
CU   35.2%   36.0%   -0.8%
TT   37.4%   38.4%   -1.0%
OU   34.4%   38.7%   -4.3%
MU   33.5%   38.1%   -4.6%
OSU   48.1%   54.6%   -6.5%
NU   37.3%   44.6%   -7.3%
KSU   44.3%   52.4%   -8.0%
ISU   21.3%   32.4%   -11.1%
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Panjandrum on February 24, 2011, 08:24:14 AM
Things are starting to shake out in the league, K-State's defense moving up has made a huge difference in the season.

aTm - @BU, @KU, TT
MU - @KSU, @NU, KU
NU - @ISU, MU, @CU
BU - aTm, @OSU, UT
CU - UT, @ISU, NU


You look at that, and you have to think KSU has the inside track on the #4 seed.

I'd love to beat Mizzou at home and then get a crack at them in KC after they played the day before.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: EllToPay on February 24, 2011, 08:25:19 AM
If both MU and KSU finish at 9-7 with no one else, who gets the 4 seed?
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: CrushNasty on February 24, 2011, 08:52:46 AM
CU is going to win out.  UT on the road for the last time in Boulder, two days before their Super Bowl back at home...  :users:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Panjandrum on February 24, 2011, 08:55:29 AM
If both MU and KSU finish at 9-7 with no one else, who gets the 4 seed?

Assuming we beat MU and they lose to KU at home, we'll be #4 based on our record against the #1 North Division team.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: mcmwcat on February 24, 2011, 09:00:15 AM
If both MU and KSU finish at 9-7 with no one else, who gets the 4 seed?

Assuming we beat MU and they lose to KU at home, we'll be #4 based on our record against the #1 North Division team.

there are more factors than that.  MIR breakdown of tiebreaker: http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=11042.msg241257#msg241257
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: steve dave on February 24, 2011, 09:01:42 AM
If both MU and KSU finish at 9-7 with no one else, who gets the 4 seed?

Assuming we beat MU and they lose to KU at home, we'll be #4 based on our record against the #1 North Division team.

there are more factors than that.  MIR breakdown of tiebreaker: http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=11042.msg241257#msg241257

But he basically got it.  We must beat MU and then must cheer for KU v. MU.  (also cheer against CU I guess but TX should get them)
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: EllToPay on February 24, 2011, 11:56:50 AM
Quote
kkwhb kevin kietzman
If ksu beats mu, cats hold 9-7 tiebreakers. MU holds 10-6 tiebreaker. These are for 4th seed in 2 team ties.
26 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply

:ck:
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: WillieWatanabe on February 24, 2011, 01:49:58 PM
Good stuff from Winn...

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fi.cdn.turner.com%2Fsi%2F.element%2Fimg%2F4.0%2Fglobal%2Fswapper%2F201102%2F110224.09.jpg&hash=46f6a6d6e5e9b9d3bab6ac0c198798209c1a1f74)
Quote
I'm skeptical about Missouri or K-State doing much in the NCAA tournament this year, given that their efficiency levels drop off a cliff once they leave home.

 :frown:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/luke_winn/02/24/power.rankings/index.html?eref=twitter_feed
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: CrushNasty on February 24, 2011, 01:52:57 PM

Quote
I'm skeptical about Missouri or K-State doing much in the NCAA tournament this year, given that their efficiency levels drop off a cliff once they leave home.

 :frown:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/luke_winn/02/24/power.rankings/index.html?eref=twitter_feed

We're in with WINN!! FTW!
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Andy on February 24, 2011, 03:16:49 PM
Things are starting to shake out in the league, K-State's defense moving up has made a huge difference in the season.

aTm - @BU, @KU, TT
MU - @KSU, @NU, KU
NU - @ISU, MU, @CU
BU - aTm, @OSU, UT
CU - UT, @ISU, NU

would like to see nu and cu win their next 2--would essentially setup a playin game for them. probably the only shot at the big 12 getting 6 in.  baylor winning out is the other longshot.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: nicname on February 24, 2011, 03:53:57 PM
Good stuff from Winn...

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fi.cdn.turner.com%2Fsi%2F.element%2Fimg%2F4.0%2Fglobal%2Fswapper%2F201102%2F110224.09.jpg&hash=46f6a6d6e5e9b9d3bab6ac0c198798209c1a1f74)
Quote
I'm skeptical about Missouri or K-State doing much in the NCAA tournament this year, given that their efficiency levels drop off a cliff once they leave home.

 :frown:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/luke_winn/02/24/power.rankings/index.html?eref=twitter_feed

Those numbers are really skewed by some home non-con cupcakes and early debacles against Florida, OSU and MU. 
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: michigancat on February 24, 2011, 04:06:00 PM
Oh, if that's not conference games only, it's kind of pointless. Good idea, though.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: SleepFighter on February 24, 2011, 04:11:23 PM
Quote from: winn
Using the "Game Plan" pages on kenpom.com, I created a database of all Big East games through Tuesday, and then placed the splits of the league's 11 NCAA tournament candidates on a Hoopism-style grid. The visualization makes it clear that Pitt is the class of the nation's deepest conference -- and it's even more impressive that a portion of the Panthers' road work (wins at West Virginia and Villanova) came without star guard Ashton Gibbs.

It is conference games only.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: nicname on February 24, 2011, 04:27:11 PM
Oh, if that's not conference games only, it's kind of pointless. Good idea, though.

Oh, my bad.  I think it is conference games only.  Still skewed by horrible performances against OSU and MU though.

There is a pretty big drop-off.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 24, 2011, 05:18:21 PM
certainly some skew in the data based on home/vs road south opponents, and played vs remaining north games.  still, very encouraging for saturday's game.  go cats.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: michigancat on February 24, 2011, 06:31:05 PM
OK, so those numbers don't include last night's game, which moved KSU from .15 to .12 for road efficiency margin. Still a surprising gap, but not nearly as dramatic. Playing at UT will probably send us back down and make it worse, though.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: steve dave on February 24, 2011, 06:38:08 PM
man, I really like to look at stuff like this.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: sys on February 24, 2011, 09:01:46 PM
man, I really like to look at stuff like this.

like the crap out of it.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 24, 2011, 09:15:50 PM
I appreciate Winn's use of quality stats.

Our first 4 road games in the league we were terrible. Our highest PPP was barely over .9, and we gave up > 1.0 PPP in each game. I'm not sure how much better we are now, but I'd say we'd perform much better in several of those if the team was playing with its current mentality.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: mcmwcat on February 25, 2011, 09:45:29 AM
http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/why_i_wont_give_up_on_washington_or_kentucky/

Quote
... is there such a thing as an otherwise great team being inherently bad on the road, even when taking home-court advantage into account? I don’t know the answer to that nor, I suspect, does anybody else. Oh you might think you know, but I’d like to suggest those people reconsider this idea.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: WillieWatanabe on February 25, 2011, 09:48:04 AM
kenpom has been getting lots of grief on twitter for Washington being so high in his rankings.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 25, 2011, 10:07:16 AM
http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/why_i_wont_give_up_on_washington_or_kentucky/

Quote
... is there such a thing as an otherwise great team being inherently bad on the road, even when taking home-court advantage into account? I don’t know the answer to that nor, I suspect, does anybody else. Oh you might think you know, but I’d like to suggest those people reconsider this idea.


I've been waiting on this, I was curious as to what kenpom would say.

FWIW, our average home efficiencies vs teams rated 150 or better in kenpom is 1.095 to .897 with an average score of 76-62.

On the road its .953 to 1.027, average score of 64-69.

Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: KITNfury on February 25, 2011, 10:13:08 AM
Good stuff from Winn...

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fi.cdn.turner.com%2Fsi%2F.element%2Fimg%2F4.0%2Fglobal%2Fswapper%2F201102%2F110224.09.jpg&hash=46f6a6d6e5e9b9d3bab6ac0c198798209c1a1f74)
Quote
I'm skeptical about Missouri or K-State doing much in the NCAA tournament this year, given that their efficiency levels drop off a cliff once they leave home.

 :frown:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/luke_winn/02/24/power.rankings/index.html?eref=twitter_feed
The most surprising part of this is looking at aTm. Not real good at home, worse on the road (although not a huge change b/w the two) yet here they are with 3rd all but locked up. I know it's indicative of them winning so many close games, but I guess the 3rd seed in the conference is almost always a lot less "average" in that statistical category.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: kso_FAN on February 25, 2011, 10:23:02 AM
The most surprising part of this is looking at aTm. Not real good at home, worse on the road (although not a huge change b/w the two) yet here they are with 3rd all but locked up. I know it's indicative of them winning so many close games, but I guess the 3rd seed in the conference is almost always a lot less "average" in that statistical category.

aTm has done an amazing job being consistent, and you've got to give Turgeon some credit for that. He's basically Doc-ed up games, but has a few better players, especially Middleton. They play the slowest pace of any team in the league and are solid at pretty much everything.  Their best wins are Washington, MU, and us; so they aren't exactly world beaters, they've just avoided the losses like we had to CU and OSU.

I'd guess they'd be a prime team to be a 4/5/6 seed in the dance to get beat in the first round. I'd love to be able to play them in the Big 12 tournament, but its very unlikely.
Title: Re: The league is nuts...
Post by: Kat Kid on February 25, 2011, 10:36:50 AM
I think this thread should be called:

The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

:pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj:
Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: kso_FAN on February 25, 2011, 10:45:28 AM
I think this thread should be called:

The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

:pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj:

:pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj:
Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: kso_FAN on February 27, 2011, 11:57:44 AM
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fblog%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2011%2F02%2Fbig12b-2-27-11.png&hash=e19fc4d7b403f6ac2788f092d48279107f2c9cc0)

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fblog%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2011%2F02%2Fbig12a-2-27-11.png&hash=4cdc7503278e8da0c3b7e8a685ebd6313b5514aa)
Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: kso_FAN on March 03, 2011, 08:21:40 AM
Updated with 1 to go. This looks much better than it did a month ago.

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fblog%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2011%2F03%2Fbig12a-3-3-11.png&hash=e6fcd1087cd5ab62187da49349a5b0b061609848)

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fblog%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2011%2F03%2Fbig12b-3-3-11.png&hash=ac7d1dd8de6d6b7e7ada00bda4c2646d32e8b0b6)

Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: WildcatNkilt on March 03, 2011, 08:45:39 AM
Tech has been playing decent ball as of late.  Here is to hoping they knock off A&M.   :crossfingers:
Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: j rake on March 03, 2011, 08:53:13 AM
Where did that phrase even come from, anyway? Why bananas. Why not apples or grapefruits?  :dubious:
Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: kso_FAN on March 03, 2011, 09:05:40 AM
Where did that phrase even come from, anyway? Why bananas. Why not apples or grapefruits?  :dubious:

I think this thread should be called:

The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

:pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj: :pbj:

Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: SleepFighter on March 03, 2011, 09:19:55 AM
Baylor making a case against UFR style efficiency.
Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: kso_FAN on March 03, 2011, 02:08:36 PM
The difference in a month of a Big 12 hoops:

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fblog%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2011%2F03%2Ffebtomarchbig12.png&hash=c99e1ef603d29e9b921c5ffe59f21e87266ca815)

Also, this is kind of interesting. (http://statsheet.com/mcb/conferences/big-12/motion)
Title: Re: The league is bananas! B-A-N-A-N-A-S!
Post by: sys on March 03, 2011, 02:24:57 PM
i'd really like it if kstate could beat mu in the efficiency standings.  with vs ku and vs isu, a tie seems likely (rounded #)s, but i don't want a shared title.  i hope the players understand what's at stake when they're up 15 at the half.