oscar knows his contract won't be extended if he doesn't improve next year. Why wouldn't he leave now so he can parlay his NCAA berth into a 3-5 year job at some midmajor? Even with less pay. It's not like he needs the money or has any real attachment to Manhattan. Go somewhere with lower expectations, less headache, and a guaranteed paycheck for at least 3 years? Seems like a no brainer.
Maybe this'll work itself out for us? Of course, then we're the school that got dumped by oscar instead of being the dumper. I can live with that.