The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em

[Pete]

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/[email protected]/date/11-22-09/time/1730

If we don't win this game, then our non-con is going to fist &@#% us in March.  HUGE GAME!

[Applejack]

we win by 10. and i never think we will win.

[Pete]

Is that because Dayton is terrible and won't end up helping our RPI?   

[sys]

a loss today would fist&@#% us more today than at any time in the future, imo.  at least it would me.

[chum1]

I really don't think bad losses hurt you if you're a bubble team in March.  Only a lack of quality wins does that.

[sys]

I really don't think bad losses hurt you if you're a bubble team in March.  Only a lack of quality wins does that.

yeah.  weird/stupid bias by the ncaa in favoring high variance teams.

[michigancat]

I really don't think bad losses hurt you if you're a bubble team in March.  Only a lack of quality wins does that.

bad losses hurt you - this wouldn't be a bad loss (like Iowa or Oregon last year).  it would be the equivalent of a win over a crappy team. Effect is neutral to positive, depending on how good Dayton is at the end of the year.

[Bookcat]

we don't know if Dayton is a bad loss or a good win because we don't know if Dayton is going to be worth a crap this year. Maybe they'll tank...like Iowa and Kentucky did last year...maybe not.