*UPDATE*
The Big 12 to date (ranked by NSD %):
North
TEAM | || | NSD% | PW% | PWR |
NU | = | 18% | 70% | 6-2 |
MU | = | -4.9% | 44% | 4-4 |
KSU | = | -8.5% | 40% | 3-5 |
ISU | = | -13% | 35% | 3-5 |
CU | = | -18% | 30% | 2-6 |
ku | = | -24% | 24% | 2-6 |
South
TEAM | || | NSD% | PW% | PWR |
TU | = | 43% | 90% | 7-1 |
OU | = | 23% | 75% | 6-2 |
TT | = | 20% | 72% | 6-2 |
OSU | = | 16% | 68% | 5-3 |
aTm | = | -5.9% | 43% | 3-5 |
BU | = | -43% | 10% | 1-7 |
NDS = Normalized Scoring Differential
PW% = Pythagorean Winning Percentage (PS^2.37)/(PS^2.37+PA^2.37)
PWR = Predicted Record (based on PW%)
Analysis
KSU actually overachieved this year based on talent I would have to say. By either sheer luck (or most likely the ball control strategy Bill used this year) we won one more game in conference than we should have (as it turns out it was ku game as ku lost one more game than they should have).
Texas probably should have lost that Oklahoma game, but it gets dicey when the PW% is above 90%. Obviously the underachievement (and frankly bad luck) of the Sooners is pretty striking as well as the overachievment of OSU. To be honest there is little difference between TT, OU, and OSU, but OSU got the breaks (and maybe their coach did a better job dealing with injuries) this year.
The Big XII seems to have divided itself into tiers:
TU
OU
TT
OSU
NU
MU
aTM
KSU
ISU
CU
ku
BU
where ISU could argued to be in either of two groups (KSU,MU aTM, or CU,ku).