Postseason Odds

[catsfan20012002]

http://blogs.cjonline.com/index.php?entry=830

Odds of a bowl: 35 percent

There’s hope: Besides a decent defense (Missouri game aside), the Wildcats get Iowa State at home and have Colorado and ku left.

Reason there isn’t hope: K-State’s offense is to efficiency what some of the Kansas political campaigns are to class.

Quotable: “We’re real close to breaking through. Everybody can feel it,” K-State QB Josh Freeman said after Saturday’s 41-21 loss to Missouri.

Thought: The Wildcats are as close to breaking through as Kansas is to holding a fourth-quarter lead.

 

[waks]

they gave ku a forty percent chance of making it. no way do they win three out of the next four games, the fatman cannot win on the road (two remaining) and they cannot hold a lead. Their best shot at a win is unfortunately probably against us because ISU is a road game, but no way does ku get to a bowl.

[catsfan20012002]

Odds of a bowl: 35 percent

I'd say those have to be higher by now. Here's a breakdown of the Big XII:

Fact - The Big XII has 8 bowl tie ins

Fact - Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas and Texas A&M are already bowl eligible.

Fact - That leaves 3 spots open for Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech.

Baylor still has to go to Texas Tech and Oklahoma St and they host Oklahoma. They've only won one road game and that was vs. Colorado so I'm not sure it should count. Plus they've lost Shawn Bell. Bye Bye Baylor!

Kansas still has to go to Iowa St and Missouri and they host Kansas St. ku can't win on the road either. They could beat Iowa State but that's it. Bye Bye ku!

Oklahoma State still gets to play Baylor so I could see them going bowling. Two spots left for two teams.

Texas Tech still gets to play Baylor and Oklahoma St at home so I could see them going bowling. One spot left for the Cats.

The Cats get to go to Colorado and ku needing 1 win. I think both are winnable so I definately see them getting at least one of them. They host Texas and, although I don't think the Cats will win that game, the Horns have a history of starting slow. They were down 10-0 vs. Baylor and 21-0 at Texas Tech after the 1st Quarter of those games before storming back to win both of those games. With the way that they Cats are playing defense, with the way we've seen them play special teams and with the way we saw the offense come to life in the last three quarters of the Iowa State game.....The Cats could be dangerous IF the Horns let us stick around.

I'd say that the Cats odds of bowling are now.....60%?





 

[McGrowlTowelZac]

If we win 6, along with 8 other teams from the Big 12, we will go to a bowl because we have a proven history of traveling.

I'm feeling pretty good today, I am gonna say bowl chances are 75, no wait, 80%

[catsfan20012002]

I was gonna go 80% but I didn't want to jinx it.

[McGrowlTowelZac]

I was gonna go 80% but I didn't want to jinx it.

Crap, I meant to write 08%, there.   

[catsfan20012002]

It's officially 99.9% baby!!!!!

Seven teams (Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Missouri, Nebraska, Texas Tech and the Cats) are now qualified for the eight Big XII bowl spots.

Kansas, Oklahoma State and Baylor are all now competing for the eighth, and final, Big XII bowl bid.

Kansas needs another win and still has Kansas St and Missouri on their schedule. I can't see them going to Missouri and winning, so the Sunflower Showdown becomes very important. Not only is it a chance to improve our bowl chances by gaining another win, but we can also prevent ku from bowling.

Oklahoma State needs another win and still has Baylor, at Texas Tech and Oklahoma on their schedule. I can see them beating Baylor to get that 6th win. If they don't get that one they probably won't go bowling.

Baylor needs to win both of their games. There's no way they beat Oklahoma so that eliminates Baylor. If the Bears can beat OSU that could eliminate the Cowboys and make the Kansas State vs. Kansas game be for the eighth, and final, Big XII bowl bid.

 

[AzCat]

Mark it down: if a Big XII team is bowl eligible and doesn't get an invite it will *NOT* be Kansas State.  That's one of the benefits of Ron Prince being our coach.

[catsfan20012002]

http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascity/sports/15946474.htm

What happens if the Big 12, with eight bowl contracts, has nine bowl-eligible teams?

If a second team lands in the Bowl Championship Series, there will be a bowl team for everybody. If there isn’t a second BCS team, look for that ninth team (Kansas, perhaps) to land in the one bowl with an at-large position — the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego.

How about the other bowls?

The league appears to be falling into two tiers. At the top and pointed toward higher-profile bowls are Texas, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Nebraska and Missouri. The next level is Texas Tech, Kansas State, Oklahoma State and Kansas.

[catsfan20012002]

Now that the regular seasons of all 12 teams are complete.....

There are 9 bowl eligible teams for 8 Big XII spots. I'll say that either Kansas or Oklahoma State will be left at home and I'll say that it'll be Kansas because Oklahoma State beat them. Does that seem to be about right?

[WILDCAT NATION]

Will be more because OSU will take more fans.

[Dirty Sanchez]

They also beat Nebraska (north champs).  We were ku's marquee win.

[AzCat]

What happens if the Big 12, with eight bowl contracts, has nine bowl-eligible teams?

Easy, ku stays home.  Meltdown in 5 ... 4... 3...