2006 College betting record
86-74-5 +8.924 units
2+ plays 17-18-1 -1.705 units
fishy game last night, how do you shut someone out, get all those TO's and not cover 8.5? missed 30 yrd FG late was brutal. the cold streak continues.
C. Mich -7@-117 2 units
Utah -5.5 2 units
Basically C. Mich is the best team in the MAC and i have them #55 overall in college football. They are 7-0 ATS this year and they continue to get underated. All their losses are OOC, but they were very competitive against the likes of Boston College (24-31) and @Michigan (17-45), obviously covering in those games. C. Mich has a good passing offense at #21 overall.
Bowling Green is 3-4 ATS this season and has been fairly difficult to figure out as they've played better on the road than at home. they've played a number of close games against sub-par teams including OT against Buffalo, 5 pt win against Fla. Intl, and a 3 pt win against E. Michigan. Against good competition they've been handled pretty well with lopsided losses against wisc, ohio st., and kent st. The game that stands out most to me is the home loss to kent 38-3. C. Mich is better than Kent and C. Mich will be at home. i see at minimum a 10-14 pt win for C. Mich.
Utah doesn't like close games. they either win big or lose big. none of their games have been decided by less than 13, and that was in a win over tcu (20-7). Utah has throttled poor competition(Utah st, San Diego St., N. Ariz) by over 30 pts 3 times, including 2 on the road. The utes have a solid def at #28 overall, always a plus when going on the road.
New Mex is not good, i have them #86 in college football. Their offense is ranked #103 and they have trouble scoring points against decent defenses. the utes will be the 3rd best team they've faced, and they've lost by double digits against their top opponents (Air force and mizzou). New mex will probably hang around for a while, but in the end they should lose by at least 10.