If we beat Nubb and Fresno, Alamo is very likely.

This assumes 2 Big 12 teams getting into the BCS, and the Gator picks a Big 12 team (Texas, anyone?) I think this is very likely given the way all the other conferences are playing out right now.
MU/ku loser gets Cotton.
Next will come all the 7-5 teams: Tech (may be 8-4 if they beat the Horns), KSU and CU (beats ISU and Nubb). One will get Holiday, one gets Alamo, one gets Insight.
Go ahead and write CU into the Insight. No one else wants them and their crappy traveling fans. Plus...we beat 'em.
That means KSU vs. Tech fighting for the Holiday/Alamo invites.
I'm assuming OSU loses to ku and to OU, leaving them 6-6 and stuck in the Independence again. A&M will lose out, also finishing 6-6 and Frannie will be a lame duck. No one will want to pick them, and the Aggies may even want to decline a bowl bid so they can go ahead and fire Coach Fran.
It's all coming to plan...