I think Ellis is a safer bet than Judge was/is. Judge is clearly the superior run & jump athlete* but Ellis can consistently knock down the mid-range jump shot and score against smaller and similar sized players in the post. IMO, Judge's lack of ability to do anything consistently led to his downfall at KSU.
MIR, Maybe I misintrepeted FFY's post but I thought the general theme of it was that Ellis is not 1 and done talent or maybe more relevantly, not an immediate dominant force in college. I agree with that sentiment. No question he is an immense talent and KSU would take him in a heartbeat and I believe he has the potential to be a great college player in 3 maybe even 2 years. However, anybody that thinks he's going to be 20 and 10 in his FR yr is blowing his abilities out of proportion.
Yes, Kentucky has offered him and clearly wants him and that is absolutely a testament to his elite ability. However, if he was perceived as being ultra-elite nationally Duke would still have their hat in the ring here. They wouldn't have taken the wait and see approach with him(which Ellis understandably balked at) so that they can see what happens with the likes of Mitch McGary and Alex Poythress. That doesn't mean that Duke is the absolute barometer as to how talent is measured. It also doesn't mean that Ellis won't have a better collegiate or even pro career than McGary or Poythress, it just means that the evaluation is out there that Ellis is elite but not upper-crust elite on the national hoops scene. Kentucky can alos afford to be a little more liberal with their scollys as they could have as many as 7 open up for the Class of '12.
*Yet still amazingly awkward in traffic and amongst contact
