The Royals

[mocat]

so you're saying it's more about the Tigers falling apart than it is about the Blue Jays, Mariners, and Yankees staying below us in the standings?

[420seriouscat69]

If you want to win the World Series, you want the Tiegers to lose. If you just want to make the playoffs and enjoy some stupid play in game, I guess you want them to keep on winning.

[mocat]

If you want to win the World Series, you want the Tiegers to lose. If you just want to make the playoffs and enjoy some stupid play in game, I guess you want them to keep on winning.

yeah but we aren't talking about "wanting".  sys said it would be easier to overtake the tigers than get the WC spot. i'm just curious to get into his rationale

[420seriouscat69]

If you want to win the World Series, you want the Tiegers to lose. If you just want to make the playoffs and enjoy some stupid play in game, I guess you want them to keep on winning.

yeah but we aren't talking about "wanting".  sys said it would be easier to overtake the tigers than get the WC spot. i'm just curious to get into his rationale

You're dealing with 1 team instead of like 4. Anyone of those 4 could get red hot and we could do Royals stuff. I think focusing one team in the division could be more likely. 

[420seriouscat69]

They broke this down really well on 810 yesterday. I promise, it makes sense.

[Cartierfor3]

If you want to win the World Series, you want the Tiegers to lose. If you just want to make the playoffs and enjoy some stupid play in game, I guess you want them to keep on winning.

WC you're like the fan at a football game when we're down by 21 in the 3rd who keeps saying "If we just get a stop, a turnover, and a couple quick TDs, and then another stop, we'll be right there and back in this thing."

[Cartierfor3]

If you want to win the World Series, you want the Tiegers to lose. If you just want to make the playoffs and enjoy some stupid play in game, I guess you want them to keep on winning.

yeah but we aren't talking about "wanting".  sys said it would be easier to overtake the tigers than get the WC spot. i'm just curious to get into his rationale

You're dealing with 1 team instead of like 4. Anyone of those 4 could get red hot and we could do Royals stuff. I think focusing one team in the division could be more likely. 

Sure that would be ideal. If the Tigers somehow start losing, like 8 out of 10 or something and we're within a game I'll start to view the season in terms of the division, but its just not that likely WC. They added Price. They have a really strong lineup. Frankly, IMO they're more likely than the A's to make the series. Those other 4 teams all have massive flaws, just like us, and probably 1 or 2 of them will be falling back, really fast really soon. By 8/25 it won't be a 4 team race.

[420seriouscat69]

If you want to win the World Series, you want the Tiegers to lose. If you just want to make the playoffs and enjoy some stupid play in game, I guess you want them to keep on winning.

WC you're like the fan at a football game when we're down by 21 in the 3rd who keeps saying "If we just get a stop, a turnover, and a couple quick TDs, and then another stop, we'll be right there and back in this thing."

You have double standards between the two sports. It's annoying. Also, I might be that guy, but i've seen some wins with that mindset. 

[mocat]

They broke this down really well on 810 yesterday. I promise, it makes sense.

yeah they did, and they did not agree with you 

[420seriouscat69]

They broke this down really well on 810 yesterday. I promise, it makes sense.

yeah they did, and they did not agree with you 

They did too.

[Cartierfor3]

If you want to win the World Series, you want the Tiegers to lose. If you just want to make the playoffs and enjoy some stupid play in game, I guess you want them to keep on winning.

WC you're like the fan at a football game when we're down by 21 in the 3rd who keeps saying "If we just get a stop, a turnover, and a couple quick TDs, and then another stop, we'll be right there and back in this thing."

You have double standards between the two sports. It's annoying. Also, I might be that guy, but i've seen some wins with that mindset. 

Because baseball and football are wildly different.

[420seriouscat69]

Don't care. Go cats/royals/chiefs!

[mocat]

i just don't know how being 0.5 back is better than being 4.5 back. the last time we were within 1 game of 1st place in the division was in june

[sys]

so you're saying it's more about the Tigers falling apart than it is about the Blue Jays, Mariners, and Yankees staying below us in the standings?

i'd want to see someone's math before i opined which is actually more likely.  but like wacky said below.  it's the odds of all of 4 teams underperforming the royals vs the odds of all of 2 teams doing so.  even though one of the two teams is likely better than any of the five teams, and that team already has a 4 game lead over the pack leader of the four, i'd bet the odds aren't that different.

[sys]

i'd want to see someone's math before i opined which is actually more likely.

looks like the wc % is quite a bit better than the division %.  about 16% v about 9%.

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/probability.jsp

[Rage Against the McKee]

If you want to win the World Series, you want the Tiegers to lose. If you just want to make the playoffs and enjoy some stupid play in game, I guess you want them to keep on winning.

WC you're like the fan at a football game when we're down by 21 in the 3rd who keeps saying "If we just get a stop, a turnover, and a couple quick TDs, and then another stop, we'll be right there and back in this thing."

I'm that guy at a football game. Can't help it. Watched too much Chiefs playoff football.

[The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep]

i just don't know how being 0.5 back is better than being 4.5 back. the last time we were within 1 game of 1st place in the division was in june

man that was so much rough ridin' fun tho

[8manpick]

Did you guys see where the Tigers have the last 3 Cy Young winners? Surely that has never happened (3 separate pitchers) before.

[TownieCat]

I'm not sure why everyone is so worried about what the other teams are doing right now. KC needs to get to at least 88 wins (30-21 from here on out) to have a realistic shot at this.

[The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep]

nope 90

[Dub]

nope 90

This.  88 wins *could* do it, but would be unlikely.  This team needs 90 to have a great chance of getting in.

[The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep]

nope. 90.

[Dub]

nope. 90.

I was agreeing with you.   

[Cartierfor3]

I'm not sure why everyone is so worried about what the other teams are doing right now. KC needs to get to at least 88 wins (30-21 from here on out) to have a realistic shot at this.

TC makes a good point. With that being said, let's look at this week's pitching matchups:

8/6: Ventura vs. Collmenter
The 'Backs have won 7 of the last 8 this guy has started, but he's been lucky with 5.25 runs per game support during that stretch. Our lineup has 11 total ABs against him, so not much to glean from that. He doesn't walk people, but we don't take walks so whatevs. Yordano had a stinker in Boston, but has 7 Ks each of the last 2 starts. I expect him to get this pud lineup to K a few times, and we win once we get to Arizona's pen.
Advantage: Royals

8/7: Guthrie vs. Nuno
Nuno has given up as many homers as Guts (19), and opponents have a higher Slug and OPS against him than our loser. In this battle of the losers, our power hitting studs come up on top. Get your brooms out.
Advantage: Royals

8/8 Vargas vs. Bumgardner
Our guy Vargy fell apart on Saturday, and in his last start vs. the Mets, Bumgardner when 9 with a shutout. Bumgardner's had a few stinkers this year, but averages a strikeout per inning, and was deserving of his spot on the NL all star team. I'm hoping for some Vargas magic, but reality says we lose this one 5-1.
Advantage: Giants

8/9 Shields vs. Hudson
Buckle up kids. This one should be fun. Sung Woo will be attending his first Royals game this night, and if we let him down, then we don't deserve to be on the field. Hudson was also deserving of his spot in the All Star game, but is 39. Our guys are like, all younger than 30. Young people are better than old people. Fact. Shields has been an ace his last 3 starts, and his game Sunday afternoon was masterful. I think James goes deep into this game, and Davis/Holland do the dirty work on the back end. Royals 3 Giants 1.
Advantage: Royals

8/10 Duffy vs. Lincecum
This game features one of the best young lefties around. He has a 1.1 WHIP and a 2.39 ERA. His name is Danny Duffy you bastards. Lincecum still gets a lot of strikeouts, but has not been the same pitcher since 2011. Is it the drugs? I assume yes. Royals break it open, and Escobar hits his first inside the park home run. Royals 8 Giants 3.
Advantage: Royals

4-1 in our next 5. That would put us at 62-54. 8 over with a .534 winning percentage, which is better than Toronto right now. Guys, let's go. We face some serious pitchers against the Giants, but let's go.

#BeRoyalKC

[kslim]

pretty sure i explained the perfect strategy on this yesterday