Initial thoughts... not smart enough to know how/what USC does to replace Watkins other than the generic "others must step up"
They really have only one other dynamic scorer (at least so far this year) in Iriafen and she will be a load to handle (too quick for Yoki, too big for our other posts). Would imagine a lot of doubles (not really our forte) and kickouts - we'll see if USC can make 3s (on the year, not great - 32% as a team). Who else on their team becomes the No. 2/No. 3 scoring option? USC gets to the FT line a LOT (20+ per game) and we'll see how that changes without Watkins. KSU is a team that doesn't foul a lot/send the other team to the line much (they're 14th in the country getting to the line and we're 12th in the country in giving up FT attempts). They also do turn the ball over a lot (247th in the country) and you'd think losing a ball handler like Watkins would make them more likely to have even more. They're a good offensive team, but they're outside the top 50 in efficiency FG%, so not giving them too many second chances will be key.
On the other end, they're a good defensive team, but the thought above (inside/out game and spacing the floor) favors us as we're No. 2 in the country in 3 pt percentage at 38% as a team (they're outside the top 50 in 3 pt % defense, but very, very good defending inside the paint - No. 4 in the country at 2 pt % defense). So, can we get the ball to Yoki/Taylor and either get close-range shots or kick out for open 3s and/or cuts to the basket for layups? Can those two stay out of foul trouble? Will USC be able to close on us effectively with 3-4 viable 3-pt threats for us on the court at any given time?
In my view, if KSU can space the floor (meaning that Poindexter, Glenn, Sides, etc. all hit at least a few 3s), we've got a decent chance. But, if we brick 3s, they'll collapse on Yoki and we're toast. Who on USC steps up to fill that scoring void for Watkins? Iriafen had 36 against Miss. State, but I don't think she'll get that many against KSU (20+ certainly possible). USC had a freshman guard who had 18 against Miss State after being in double figures only a handful of times all year. Can she do that again?
Whatever happens, I will say this - KSU is a far better team than Miss State (they had 1 good win all year - vs. OU) and I think this game will be much, much closer.