Author Topic: Trump 2024  (Read 13253 times)

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Offline steve dave

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #100 on: May 31, 2024, 07:03:51 AM »
Not gE’ing when I say there is zero chance outside of death that Trump loses this election. It’s in the bag.


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Let's put cash on it.
Ok, how much? This is the type of life hedge I crave.


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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #101 on: May 31, 2024, 07:47:47 AM »
I read that one reputable poll said that only 6% of all likely Trump voters would not vote for him if he was convicted.  However, 6% flipping could make the difference in a given state.
Those 6% were lying because they felt embarrassed telling a pollster they would vote for a convicted felon. Yesterday does nothing to change their minds at this point.

Offline Cire

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #102 on: May 31, 2024, 08:17:09 AM »
trump isn't winning,

I bet they try to nominate haley or marco at the convention.

Offline Dugout DickStone

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #103 on: May 31, 2024, 08:27:02 AM »
twitter is going all in on the assassination theory

Offline chum1

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #104 on: May 31, 2024, 08:33:37 AM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.

Offline mocat

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #105 on: May 31, 2024, 08:46:35 AM »
Meade KS facebook is a hell of a drug

Offline mocat

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #106 on: May 31, 2024, 08:47:35 AM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.
Could be a really low turnout maybe

Offline CNS

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #107 on: May 31, 2024, 08:51:07 AM »
Trump Simp Energy seems to be at an all time high in the areas I move in, anecdotally. Anyone, like Wacky, that was swayed to vote normie last election isn’t voting normie this election. The shame shackles are off. They are going to simp their asses off this go ‘round.

Offline chum1

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #108 on: May 31, 2024, 08:54:05 AM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.
Could be a really low turnout maybe

Good point. Should we expect the high turnout that we had in 2020? It doesn't seem so. And lower turnout is better for Biden.

Offline mocat

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #109 on: May 31, 2024, 08:58:21 AM »
I think low turnout is more unpredictable. A lot of Biden voters may feel this verdict means the election is in the bag

Offline CNS

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #110 on: May 31, 2024, 09:00:39 AM »
I think Gen Z is going to turn out heavily. 

Offline chum1

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #111 on: May 31, 2024, 09:10:51 AM »
I think low turnout is more unpredictable. A lot of Biden voters may feel this verdict means the election is in the bag

The rationale there is that lower turnout means the people who are voting tend to be more engaged/informed than otherwise. And this favors Biden.

Offline cfbandyman

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #112 on: May 31, 2024, 09:19:43 AM »
It's going to be an interesting one. Biden/those that will vote for him are going to have to not act like he's got it in the bag.

Like reasons for Biden:

Roe V Wade
Trump conviction/the inevitable pardoning of himself and all that crap
Economy is actually not that bad despite what people feel
Pure motivation of people who hate Trump

Reasons for Trump winning:
Absolutely pissed off and motivated voters, though their numbers dwindle over time
Last four years have just been meh 9but again not terrible, but to trump voters it's basically hell)
Never undervalue the value of hatred.
They changed a bunch of voting laws that made it harder

I don't know, it really depends on obviously who shows up. I think Biden can do it again but there is just so much pissed off trump people it's hard to be a for sure thing. I personally would find it crazy if they both passed away before then and then it's a really cluster, just for the sheer chaos (or kayos if you're so inclined)
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Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #113 on: May 31, 2024, 09:20:43 AM »
Dems should have learned their lesson with Clinton on elections being "in the bag." 

Trump got his ass kicked in 2020.  With Jan 6, Roe v Wade, and all the other crap that has happened since then I have a hard time seeing him make up all those votes.  Plus, a bunch of new Swifities are of voting age while a lot of older MAGA are 6ft under. 
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Offline Dugout DickStone

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #114 on: May 31, 2024, 09:25:08 AM »
Dems should have learned their lesson with Clinton on elections being "in the bag." 

Trump got his ass kicked in 2020.  With Jan 6, Roe v Wade, and all the other crap that has happened since then I have a hard time seeing him make up all those votes.  Plus, a bunch of new Swifities are of voting age while a lot of older MAGA are 6ft under.

this is the wildcard

Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #115 on: May 31, 2024, 09:28:36 AM »
It's amazing how out of touch many of you have become to do anything to defend this current presidency. The clean sweep is coming in November. Prepare your anuses.

Offline mocat

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #116 on: May 31, 2024, 09:29:38 AM »


a lot of older MAGA are 6ft under.

and the remaining MAGA are under 6ft

Offline nicname

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #117 on: May 31, 2024, 09:32:34 AM »
It's amazing how out of touch many of you have become to do anything to defend this current presidency. The clean sweep is coming in November. Prepare your anuses.

 :Wha:
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Online wetwillie

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #118 on: May 31, 2024, 09:39:08 AM »
Return of the wack!
When the bullets are flying, that's when I'm at my best

Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #119 on: May 31, 2024, 09:40:35 AM »
What's it like simping for dildo baggins, gents?  :love: :ROFL:

Offline cfbandyman

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #120 on: May 31, 2024, 09:43:25 AM »


a lot of older MAGA are 6ft under.

and the remaining MAGA are under 6ft

 :ROFL:
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Offline Fedor

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #121 on: May 31, 2024, 10:32:57 AM »
twitter is going all in on the assassination theory
Double?!?   :crossfingers: :excited:
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Offline Kat Kid

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #122 on: May 31, 2024, 12:30:17 PM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.
Georgia and Michigan

Offline chum1

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #123 on: May 31, 2024, 12:55:02 PM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.
Georgia and Michigan

306-32=274, but I don't think he'll lose Michigan.

Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: Trump 2024
« Reply #124 on: May 31, 2024, 01:29:09 PM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.
Georgia and Michigan

306-32=274, but I don't think he'll lose Michigan.

150k delta or 3% is a lot to make up
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