https://www.theverge.com/2024/12/12/24319879/google-willow-cant-break-rsa-cryptographyThe quantum news was kinda ho hum by itself, but it does show that they are making the expected amount of progress. Talks about how experts predicted by 2035 and also how our government is dictating that all agencies upgrade their security to requisite level by 20235.
The RAND Corporation, a think tank famous for advising on US national security in the past, suggested in a 2023 editorial that the moment an RSA-breaking quantum computer exists, it’ll trigger a worldwide rush to defend against it:
“As soon as the existence of the CRQC becomes public knowledge — or is even considered plausible — and the threat becomes concrete, most vulnerable organizations will immediately move to upgrade all their communications systems to post-quantum cryptography.”
Might be the next Y2K style tech boondoggle.